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The World is Spiky – Th I t ti li ti The Internationalization Process

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<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> <strong>World</strong> <strong>is</strong> <strong>Spiky</strong> –<br />

<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

<strong>ti</strong> <strong>ti</strong><br />

<strong>Process</strong><br />

Torben Pedersen<br />

Professor<br />

Center for Strategic Management and Global<strong>is</strong>a<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

Copenhagen Business School<br />

tp.smg@cbs.dk


A <strong>li</strong>ttle about me…<br />

Educa<strong>ti</strong>on: PhD, Copenhagen Business School, 1994<br />

Guest reseacher: Sweden (Gothenburg), Austria<br />

(Vienna), Finland (Helsinki), New Zeland (Auckland),<br />

USA (Stanford, Rutgers), Austra<strong>li</strong>a (AGSM and<br />

UNSW), Spain (Valencia), Italy (Bocconi and Padova)<br />

Research interests:<br />

• Interna<strong>ti</strong>onal Business Strategy<br />

• Globa<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on, offshoring and outsourcing<br />

• Knowledge management/governance<br />

• Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on process


Structure of seminars<br />

1. Today: <strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> world <strong>is</strong> spiky<br />

• Local responsiveness<br />

• Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on <strong>Process</strong><br />

• Case illustra<strong>ti</strong>ons: Ribe and Danfoss<br />

2. Tomorrow: <strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> world <strong>is</strong> flat<br />

• Global integra<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

• Offshoring<br />

• Case illustra<strong>ti</strong>ons: Ecco and Vestas


Who cares whether the<br />

world <strong>is</strong> spiky or flat?


Imp<strong>li</strong>ca<strong>ti</strong>ons for business strategy<br />

<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> best way to organize a firm depends<br />

on the nature of the environment to<br />

which the firm must relate<br />

<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> environment <strong>is</strong> the exogenous<br />

variable while strategy and structure<br />

are endogenous ones


Two types of compe<strong>ti</strong><strong>ti</strong>ve pressure<br />

coming from the environment<br />

1. Pressures for local adapta<strong>ti</strong>on – the spiky world<br />

2. Pressures for cost reduc<strong>ti</strong>ons through global<br />

integra<strong>ti</strong>on – the flat world<br />

– Conf<strong>li</strong>c<strong>ti</strong>ng and contradictory; being locally<br />

responsive can make it difficult to reap benefits<br />

of global l integra<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

<strong>ti</strong><br />

• Often expressed as the ’local vs global’ (or<br />

integra<strong>ti</strong>on vs responsiveness) dilemma


GM’s Global Brand Hierarchy<br />

Global<br />

Interna<strong>ti</strong>onal<br />

Europe, Middle East,<br />

Asia<br />

North America,<br />

Middle East, Europe<br />

North America, Asia<br />

North America<br />

North America<br />

Local<br />

United Kingdom Austra<strong>li</strong>a Korea


Globa<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

- Please, where do you see the signs<br />

of globa<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on in everyday <strong>li</strong>fe?


Signs of globa<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

• <strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> financial cr<strong>is</strong><strong>is</strong><br />

• <strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> internet<br />

• China and India<br />

• Environmental problems<br />

• Travel<strong>li</strong>ng (air-traffic)<br />

• Container transport<br />

• Engl<strong>is</strong>h as the global language<br />

• Mul<strong>ti</strong>-ethnic socie<strong>ti</strong>es


Flat world?<br />

Does th<strong>is</strong> mean that we <strong>li</strong>ve in a flat<br />

world without any major spa<strong>ti</strong>al<br />

barriers?<br />

Is it equally easy to conduct business<br />

in Catania, Veneto region, Denmark,<br />

China or Kazakhstan?


Probably bl not<br />

– and why not?


S<strong>ti</strong>ll many differences


Interna<strong>ti</strong>onal versus domes<strong>ti</strong>c ac<strong>ti</strong>vi<strong>ti</strong>es


Nature of differences<br />

• Cultural<br />

• Admin<strong>is</strong>tra<strong>ti</strong>ve (po<strong>li</strong><strong>ti</strong>cal context,<br />

regula<strong>ti</strong>on, standards d and levels l of<br />

corrup<strong>ti</strong>on)<br />

• Geographical g p (<strong>ti</strong>me zone, c<strong>li</strong>mate)<br />

• Economic (levels of economic and<br />

technical development)


Cultural differences<br />

• Culture refers to learned, shared, and<br />

enduring orienta<strong>ti</strong>ons of a society,<br />

which are expressed in values, ideas,<br />

at<strong>ti</strong>tudes, behaviors, and other<br />

meaningful symbols and ar<strong>ti</strong>facts<br />

“the collec<strong>ti</strong>ve mental programming of people”


Cross-cultural encounters<br />

Why problema<strong>ti</strong>c?<br />

ar<strong>ti</strong>facts, including behavior<br />

mental maps (person schemas, person-in-situa<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

schemas, self-schemas, scripts, cogni<strong>ti</strong>ve maps)<br />

values<br />

In a society: people share values, mental maps<br />

==> easy to func<strong>ti</strong>on


Differences matters<br />

• When developing products and services<br />

• Interac<strong>ti</strong>on with foreign business<br />

partners<br />

• Selec<strong>ti</strong>on foreign d<strong>is</strong>tributors<br />

• Business nego<strong>ti</strong>a<strong>ti</strong>ons<br />

• Dea<strong>li</strong>ng with customers<br />

• Preparing for trade fairs<br />

• Preparing promo<strong>ti</strong>onal materials


Cannot use knowledge from one<br />

market in another market – at<br />

least not the key knowledge that<br />

really matter when conduc<strong>ti</strong>ng<br />

business abroad?


Pressures for Local Adapta<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

• Diversity of local customer needs. Businesses, such as clothing and<br />

food, require significant adapta<strong>ti</strong>on to local customer needs.<br />

• Differences in d<strong>is</strong>tribu<strong>ti</strong>on channels. Small retailers in Japan<br />

understand local customs and needs, so locally responsive MNEs use<br />

them.<br />

• Local compe<strong>ti</strong><strong>ti</strong>on.<br />

When compe<strong>ti</strong>ng against numerous local rivals,<br />

centrally-controlled MNEs will have difficulty gaining market share with<br />

global products that are not adapted to local needs.<br />

• Cultural differences. For those products where cultural differences are<br />

important, such as clothing and furniture, local managers require<br />

considerable freedom from HQ to adapt the product and marke<strong>ti</strong>ng.<br />

• Host government requirements and regula<strong>ti</strong>ons. When governments<br />

impose trade barriers or complex business regula<strong>ti</strong>ons, it can halt or<br />

reverse the compe<strong>ti</strong><strong>ti</strong>ve threat of foreign firms.


Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on <strong>Process</strong> Model<br />

• Psychic d<strong>is</strong>tance<br />

– Unfami<strong>li</strong>arity because of differences in<br />

language, culture, business prac<strong>ti</strong>ce and<br />

po<strong>li</strong><strong>ti</strong>cal systems<br />

• Psychic d<strong>is</strong>tance d<strong>is</strong>turb the flow of<br />

y<br />

informa<strong>ti</strong>on between a firm and its market


“Lack of knowledge about foreign<br />

markets and opera<strong>ti</strong>ons are the main<br />

obstacle to the development of<br />

interna<strong>ti</strong>onal opera<strong>ti</strong>ons and the<br />

necessary knowledge can be<br />

acquired mainly through h opera<strong>ti</strong>ons<br />

abroad”<br />

(Johanson & Vahlne, 1977)


<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> mechan<strong>is</strong>m of interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

-<br />

Increased market knowledge<br />

Market r<strong>is</strong>k = uncertainty x market investments<br />

+<br />

Wil<strong>li</strong>ngness to increase market commitment<br />

Interplay between knowledge and commitment


Imp<strong>li</strong>ca<strong>ti</strong>ons<br />

• Successful foreign expansion <strong>is</strong> a costly and <strong>ti</strong>meconsuming<br />

process (no short-cuts), as experien<strong>ti</strong>al<br />

knowledge <strong>is</strong>:<br />

– difficult to acquire<br />

– difficult to integrate if acquired<br />

• Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on <strong>is</strong> a process of cultural learning,<br />

as it reduces psychic d<strong>is</strong>tance<br />

• Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on <strong>is</strong> often a reac<strong>ti</strong>ve process rather<br />

than an proac<strong>ti</strong>ve process


What <strong>is</strong> the order of entry?<br />

• Firms will start their interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on in<br />

markets with lowest psychic d<strong>is</strong>tance, as they<br />

can understand d these markets -> low<br />

uncertainty<br />

• With increasing i experien<strong>ti</strong>al knowledge the firm<br />

will expand into markets with greater psychic<br />

d<strong>is</strong>tance<br />

– Like rings in the water


<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> stages model (Establ<strong>is</strong>hment chain)<br />

Sporadic<br />

Foreign<br />

Sales<br />

Assembly<br />

Produc<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

export intermediary subsidiary produc<strong>ti</strong>on subsidiary<br />

<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> usual pattern of gradually increasing<br />

<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> usual pattern of gradually increasing<br />

resource commitment on the foreign markets


Resource commitment<br />

to foreign sales<br />

(<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> Establ<strong>is</strong>hment Chain phenomenon)<br />

<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> Opera<strong>ti</strong>onal level of the Uppsala Model<br />

Equity<br />

(FDI)<br />

Contractual<br />

(outsourcing)<br />

Market knowledge accumula<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

Arm’s length<br />

(procurement)<br />

Market knowledge accumula<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

Local<br />

Regional<br />

Global<br />

Geographical expansion<br />

of sales<br />

(<strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> Psychic D<strong>is</strong>tance<br />

phenomenon)


Extensions of the original<br />

(Uppsala) model of the<br />

Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on <strong>Process</strong>


Petersen et. al., 2008<br />

• Not all firms are equally good at learning:<br />

• <strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> absorp<strong>ti</strong>ve capacity matters e.g. set<strong>ti</strong>ng<br />

up systems and architecture<br />

• <strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> percep<strong>ti</strong>on of the performance of the<br />

foreign venture matters<br />

• It <strong>is</strong> typically not a smooth and <strong>li</strong>near learning<br />

process, but rather a bumpy and comp<strong>li</strong>cated<br />

learning process


Overconfidence<br />

0,4<br />

Perceived knowledge gap in a<br />

foreign market<br />

0,35<br />

03 0,3<br />

0,25<br />

0,2<br />

0,15<br />

0,1<br />

0,05<br />

0<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9<br />

Elapsed <strong>ti</strong>me in years


Oviatt and McDougall, 1994<br />

• Interna<strong>ti</strong>onal New Ventures / Born Global’s are<br />

able to speed up the interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

process:<br />

• Managers might have gained interna<strong>ti</strong>onal<br />

experience<br />

• Use other less resource demanding entry<br />

modes<br />

• Focus more on growth opportuni<strong>ti</strong>es


Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on <strong>ti</strong> <strong>ti</strong> process<br />

Born Globals<br />

l<br />

model<br />

Interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

<strong>ti</strong> <strong>ti</strong> Reac<strong>ti</strong>ve<br />

Proac<strong>ti</strong>ve opportunity seeking<br />

strategic posture<br />

Resource access and<br />

Interna<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on, i internal<br />

Selec<strong>ti</strong>ve ownership,<br />

control<br />

development<br />

mobi<strong>li</strong>zed through networks<br />

Criteria for choosing<br />

foreign markets<br />

Importance of<br />

management’s experience<br />

Nature of path dependency<br />

Minimize difference between<br />

ex<strong>is</strong><strong>ti</strong>ng ac<strong>ti</strong>vi<strong>ti</strong>es and new ones<br />

Does not matter<br />

Each market entry creates a<br />

path dependency for growth<br />

Maximize the growth<br />

poten<strong>ti</strong>al<br />

Crucial factor for early and<br />

rapid interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

Early interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

ins<strong>ti</strong>lls a path dependency for<br />

interna<strong>ti</strong>onal growth


Take-aways<br />

• Two conf<strong>li</strong>c<strong>ti</strong>ng forces for: local adapta<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

versus global integra<strong>ti</strong>on – as imp<strong>li</strong>ed by the<br />

spiky versus flat world<br />

• Clearly, some spikiness in the world – need<br />

for local adapta<strong>ti</strong>on<br />

• <strong><strong>Th</strong>e</strong> interna<strong>ti</strong>ona<strong>li</strong>za<strong>ti</strong>on process typically a<br />

slow <strong>ti</strong>me consuming process fueled by<br />

learning in the local market<br />

• However, systema<strong>ti</strong>c learning and the<br />

pursuing of growth opportuni<strong>ti</strong>es speed up the<br />

process

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