World Energy Outlook 2011.pdf - Thomas Piketty

ANNEX A
TABLES FOR SCENARIO PROJECTIONS
General note to the tables
The tables detail projections for energy demand, gross electricity generation and electrical
capacity, and carbon-dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions from fuel combustion in the Current Policies,
New Policies and 450 Scenarios. The following countries and regions are covered: World,
OECD 1 , OECD Americas, the United States, OECD Europe, the European Union, OECD Asia
Oceania, Japan, non-OECD, Eastern Europe/Eurasia, Russia, non-OECD Asia, China, India, the
Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Brazil. The definitions for regions, fuels and sectors
can be found in Annex C. By convention, in the table headings CPS and 450 refers to Current
Policies and 450 Scenarios respectively.
Data for energy demand, gross electricity generation and CO 2 emissions from fuel
combustion up to 2009 are based on IEA statistics, published in Energy Balances of OECD
Countries, Energy Balances of Non-OECD Countries and CO 2 Emissions from Fuel Combustion.
Historical data for electrical capacity is supplemented from the Platts World Electric Power
Plants Database (December 2010 version) and the International Atomic Energy Agency PRIS
database.
Both in the text of this book and in the tables, rounding may lead to minor differences
between totals and the sum of their individual components. Growth rates are calculated on
a compound average annual basis and are marked “n.a.” when the base year is zero or the
value exceeds 200%. Nil values are marked “-”.
Definitional note to the tables
Total primary energy demand (TPED) is equivalent to power generation plus other energy
sector excluding electricity and heat, plus total final consumption (TFC) excluding electricity
and heat. TPED does not include ambient heat from heat pumps or electricity trade.
Sectors comprising TFC include industry, transport, buildings (residential and services) and
other (agriculture and non-energy use). Projected electrical capacity is the net result of
existing capacity plus additions less retirements. Total CO 2 includes emissions from other
energy sector in addition to the power generation and TFC sectors shown in the tables. CO 2
emissions and energy demand from international marine and aviation bunkers are included
only at the world transport level. CO 2 emissions do not include emissions from industrial
waste and non-renewable municipal waste.
© OECD/IEA, 2011
1. Since the last Outlook, the regional groupings have been updated to incorporate the accession of Chile, Estonia, Israel
and Slovenia to the OECD; see Annex C for full details of the new groupings.
Annex A - Tables for Reference scenario projections Scenario projections 543