World Energy Outlook 2011.pdf - Thomas Piketty

OECD: New Policies Scenario
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%)
CAAGR (%)
© OECD/IEA, 2011
1990 2009 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2009 2035 20092035
TPED 4 521 5 236 5 549 5 575 5 598 5 640 5 681 100 100 0.3
Coal 1 080 1 033 1 097 1 046 984 896 802 20 14 1.0
Oil 1 870 1 958 1 946 1 856 1 768 1 700 1 640 37 29 0.7
Gas 843 1 248 1 362 1 404 1 438 1 486 1 516 24 27 0.7
Nuclear 451 585 610 635 662 691 722 11 13 0.8
Hydro 102 114 122 127 131 134 137 2 2 0.7
Biomass and waste 146 242 305 357 415 477 542 5 10 3.1
Other renewables 29 56 107 152 200 255 322 1 6 6.9
Power generation 1 719 2 175 2 322 2 370 2 422 2 473 2 503 100 100 0.5
Coal 759 846 870 823 767 686 593 39 24 1.4
Oil 154 75 51 35 26 24 23 3 1 4.5
Gas 176 434 479 501 521 556 575 20 23 1.1
Nuclear 451 585 610 635 662 691 722 27 29 0.8
Hydro 102 114 122 127 131 134 137 5 5 0.7
Biomass and waste 53 74 94 115 138 162 185 3 7 3.6
Other renewables 25 48 94 134 176 220 268 2 11 6.8
Other energy sector 398 447 453 451 449 446 444 100 100 0.0
Electricity 105 123 129 130 132 133 132 27 30 0.3
TFC 3 110 3 581 3 837 3 866 3 884 3 919 3 962 100 100 0.4
Coal 236 115 137 132 125 118 111 3 3 0.1
Oil 1 593 1 752 1 782 1 719 1 649 1 593 1 545 49 39 0.5
Gas 589 709 774 787 797 804 810 20 20 0.5
Electricity 552 771 857 902 943 982 1 012 22 26 1.1
Heat 43 59 65 67 70 72 73 2 2 0.8
Biomass and waste 94 167 210 242 276 315 356 5 9 3.0
Other renewables 4 8 12 17 24 36 54 0 1 7.5
Industry 830 773 896 909 908 901 889 100 100 0.5
Coal 161 90 111 107 102 97 91 12 10 0.0
Oil 169 114 112 106 101 95 88 15 10 1.0
Gas 226 236 277 279 277 274 268 31 30 0.5
Electricity 222 239 285 294 297 297 295 31 33 0.8
Heat 15 24 26 26 25 25 24 3 3 0.0
Biomass and waste 37 69 86 96 104 114 123 9 14 2.3
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 2.8
Transport 941 1 172 1 220 1 188 1 152 1 136 1 135 100 100 0.1
Oil 914 1 106 1 131 1 083 1 027 987 958 94 84 0.5
Electricity 8 10 12 13 15 17 20 1 2 2.8
Biofuels 0 35 55 68 83 101 120 3 11 4.8
Other fuels 19 21 23 24 27 31 38 2 3 2.3
Buildings 986 1 225 1 293 1 344 1 399 1 456 1 514 100 100 0.8
Coal 71 21 23 21 20 18 17 2 1 0.8
Oil 209 166 160 154 147 139 130 14 9 1.0
Gas 304 420 441 450 458 465 470 34 31 0.4
Electricity 316 514 552 586 623 660 690 42 46 1.1
Heat 27 35 39 41 44 47 49 3 3 1.3
Biomass and waste 56 61 68 76 85 97 110 5 7 2.3
Other renewables 4 8 11 15 22 32 49 1 3 7.3
Other 353 411 428 425 426 425 423 100 100 0.1
548 World Energy Outlook 2011 - ANNEXES