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Barrie Creeks, Lovers Creek, and Hewitt's Creek Subwatershed Plan

Barrie Creeks, Lovers Creek, and Hewitt's Creek Subwatershed Plan

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The <strong>Barrie</strong> <strong><strong>Creek</strong>s</strong>, <strong>Lovers</strong> <strong>Creek</strong> <strong>and</strong> Hewitt’s <strong>Creek</strong> <strong>Subwatershed</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />

Tier 2 Water Budget Results<br />

The objectives <strong>and</strong> approach of the Tier 2 Water Budget Assessment are similar to those of the<br />

Tier 1 in that the overall goal is to quantify water supply, reserve, <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong>. Once these<br />

budget components are estimated the “percent water dem<strong>and</strong>” equation <strong>and</strong> stress level<br />

assessment screening thresholds are the same between Tiers. The methods used to quantify<br />

the water budget components, however, are more robust in a Tier 2 study (AquaResource <strong>and</strong><br />

Golder, 2010).<br />

The Tier 2 Water Budget for the <strong>Barrie</strong> <strong><strong>Creek</strong>s</strong>, <strong>Lovers</strong> <strong>Creek</strong>, <strong>and</strong> Hewitt’s <strong>Creek</strong><br />

subwatersheds (AquaResource <strong>and</strong> Golder, 2010) conducted a comparison analysis of existing,<br />

planned, <strong>and</strong> future conditions for average annual, monthly basis, <strong>and</strong> two-year drought<br />

scenarios. The completion of the analysis helps to determine whether stress on the groundwater<br />

resources can be anticipated under various scenarios. The stress assessment evaluates the<br />

ratio of the consumptive dem<strong>and</strong> for permitted <strong>and</strong> non-permitted users to water supplies, minus<br />

water reserves, within each subwatershed. The major components of the water budget have<br />

been estimated <strong>and</strong> tabulated as described in the preceding sections, including water supply,<br />

water dem<strong>and</strong>, <strong>and</strong> water reserve.<br />

Existing Conditions<br />

The percent water dem<strong>and</strong> was calculated for the <strong>Barrie</strong> <strong><strong>Creek</strong>s</strong> <strong>and</strong> Hewitt’s <strong>Creek</strong><br />

subwatersheds using estimates of groundwater supply, reserve, <strong>and</strong> consumptive dem<strong>and</strong>. The<br />

water dem<strong>and</strong> used in the stress assessment is discussed in Sections 4.3.3 <strong>and</strong> 4.4.1. The<br />

estimated consumptive dem<strong>and</strong> for permitted <strong>and</strong> non-permitted users was used in calculating<br />

the subwatershed’s potential for stress under existing conditions. The groundwater supply<br />

component for the stress assessment was calculated as being the average annual recharge<br />

plus the lateral inflow of groundwater to the subwatershed. The groundwater reserve component<br />

of the stress assessment was calculated to be 10% of the estimated groundwater discharge to<br />

streams. The volume of groundwater discharge on a subwatershed basis was estimated using<br />

the FEFLOW numerical model <strong>and</strong> is illustrated on Figure 4-10. The figure illustrates that the<br />

Lake Simcoe portion of the study area discharges very little groundwater on an annual basis,<br />

less than 500 L/s.<br />

The results of the existing conditions stress assessment are shown on Table 4-20, Table 4-21,<br />

<strong>and</strong> Table 4-22. The existing conditions stress assessment indicated that the <strong>Barrie</strong> <strong><strong>Creek</strong>s</strong><br />

subwatershed has the potential to be significantly stressed, whereas the Hewitt’s <strong>and</strong> <strong>Lovers</strong> did<br />

not.<br />

Table 4-20: Groundwater stress assessment - existing conditions (AquaResource <strong>and</strong> Golder,<br />

2010).<br />

<strong>Subwatershed</strong><br />

Groundwater Supply (L/s)<br />

Recharge<br />

Flow<br />

In<br />

Total<br />

Supply<br />

Ground<br />

water<br />

Reserve<br />

(L/s)<br />

Consumptive Dem<strong>and</strong><br />

(L/s)<br />

Annual<br />

Average<br />

Monthly<br />

Maximum<br />

Month of<br />

Max<br />

Dem<strong>and</strong><br />

Percent Water Dem<strong>and</strong><br />

(%)<br />

Annual<br />

Average<br />

Monthly<br />

Maximum<br />

Hewitt’s & <strong>Lovers</strong> <strong>Creek</strong> 312 0 312 19 21 30 June 7% 10%<br />

<strong>Barrie</strong> <strong><strong>Creek</strong>s</strong> (includes a<br />

small portion of Willow<br />

<strong>Creek</strong> that contains a<br />

<strong>Barrie</strong> well)<br />

251 362 614 0 470 522 July 77% 85%<br />

Chapter 4: Water Quantity – Surface <strong>and</strong> Groundwater 196

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