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580 THE CREATURE FROM JEKYLL ISLAND<br />
Another possible solution would be to redefine the new dollar<br />
to contain a smaller quantity of silver. The advantage would be that<br />
we could continue to use our present coinage. On the negative side,<br />
however, is the fact that it would create headaches after the<br />
transition, because coinage then would be too cheap. Instead of<br />
changing over now, we would merely be postponing the task for<br />
later. Now is the time to do it—and do it right. The original value of<br />
a silver dollar was determined after centuries of trial and error. We<br />
don't have to reinvent the wheel. We know that it will work in the<br />
long run.<br />
In the past, the banks have enjoyed a bountiful cash flow from<br />
interest on money created out of nothing. That will change. They<br />
will have to make a clear distinction between demand deposits and<br />
time deposits. Customers wilJ be informed that, if they want the<br />
privilege of receiving their money back on demand, their deposit of<br />
coins or Treasury Certificates will be kept in<br />
the vault and not<br />
loaned to others. Therefore, it will not earn interest for the bank. If<br />
must charge<br />
the bank cannot make money on the deposit, then it<br />
the depositor a fee for safeguarding his money and for checking<br />
services. If the customer wants to earn interest on his deposit, then<br />
he will be informed that it will be invested or loaned out, in which<br />
case he cannot expect to get it back any time he wants. He will<br />
knowingly put his money into a time deposit with the agreement<br />
that a specified amount of time must pass before the investment<br />
matures.<br />
The effect of this practice on banking will be enormous. Banks<br />
will have to pay higher interest rates to attract investment capital.<br />
They will have to trim their overhead expenses and eliminate some<br />
of the plush. Profit margins will be tightened. Efficiency will<br />
improve. They used to offer "free" services which actually were<br />
paid out of interest earned on their customers' demand deposits.<br />
Now they will charge for those services, such as checking and safe<br />
storage of deposits. Customers probably will grumble at first at<br />
having to pay for those things, and there will be no more free<br />
toasters.<br />
Electronic transfer systems will probably become popular for<br />
their convenience, but they will be optional. Cash and check<br />
transactions will continue to play an important role. Government<br />
monitoring will be illegal. Although there will be fewer dollars in<br />
circulation than there were Federal Reserve Notes, the value of<br />
A REALISTIC SCENARIO 581<br />
each one will be correspondingly greater. Each person will end up<br />
with the same purchasing power he had before the conversion. For<br />
a<br />
short period, both the old and the new money will circulate<br />
together, and some people will have difficulty making the necessary<br />
calculations to determine their relative values. But that is<br />
routine operation for people who live in Europe or for anyone who<br />
travels to a foreign country. There is no reason to think that<br />
Americans are too stupid to handle it.<br />
SOME BAD NEWS AND SOME GOOD<br />
We should not delude ourselves into thinking that this will be<br />
an easy transition. It will be a very difficult period, and people will<br />
have to get used to a whole new way of thinking and doing. The<br />
freeze on the current money supply may trigger panic in the stock<br />
market and the business community. Stock prices could tumble,<br />
causing paper fortunes to disappear back into the computers from<br />
which they came. Some businesses may fold for a lack of easy<br />
credit. Weak banks will be allowed to close rather than be bailed<br />
out with taxes. Unemployment may worsen for a while. Those who<br />
have been used to a free ride will now have to walk or push or pay<br />
their way. The masses on welfare will not give up their checks and<br />
food stamps quietly. The media will fan the flames of discontent.<br />
The Cabal will be at every switch to derail the train.<br />
This will be the moment of our greatest danger, the moment<br />
when the people could tire of their hard journey in the desert and<br />
lose interest in the promised land. This is the time when they may<br />
long for a return to captivity and head back to the slave pits of<br />
Pharaoh.<br />
The important point, however, is that most of these problems<br />
would be temporary. They would be present only during the<br />
period of transition to a new money. As soon as free coinage is<br />
available at the Mint, and as soon as people see how much demand<br />
there is for silver and gold coins, there will be a steady stream of<br />
miners and jewelers who will add great new stores of precious<br />
metal to the nation's monetary stock. Foreigners undoubtedly will<br />
add to the inflow. Old silver and gold coins will also reappear in<br />
the market place. Very quickly, as the stores of precious metal<br />
respond to supply and demand, the quantity of money will<br />
increase and its per-unit value will drop to its natural equilibrium.<br />
a