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580 THE CREATURE FROM JEKYLL ISLAND<br />

Another possible solution would be to redefine the new dollar<br />

to contain a smaller quantity of silver. The advantage would be that<br />

we could continue to use our present coinage. On the negative side,<br />

however, is the fact that it would create headaches after the<br />

transition, because coinage then would be too cheap. Instead of<br />

changing over now, we would merely be postponing the task for<br />

later. Now is the time to do it—and do it right. The original value of<br />

a silver dollar was determined after centuries of trial and error. We<br />

don't have to reinvent the wheel. We know that it will work in the<br />

long run.<br />

In the past, the banks have enjoyed a bountiful cash flow from<br />

interest on money created out of nothing. That will change. They<br />

will have to make a clear distinction between demand deposits and<br />

time deposits. Customers wilJ be informed that, if they want the<br />

privilege of receiving their money back on demand, their deposit of<br />

coins or Treasury Certificates will be kept in<br />

the vault and not<br />

loaned to others. Therefore, it will not earn interest for the bank. If<br />

must charge<br />

the bank cannot make money on the deposit, then it<br />

the depositor a fee for safeguarding his money and for checking<br />

services. If the customer wants to earn interest on his deposit, then<br />

he will be informed that it will be invested or loaned out, in which<br />

case he cannot expect to get it back any time he wants. He will<br />

knowingly put his money into a time deposit with the agreement<br />

that a specified amount of time must pass before the investment<br />

matures.<br />

The effect of this practice on banking will be enormous. Banks<br />

will have to pay higher interest rates to attract investment capital.<br />

They will have to trim their overhead expenses and eliminate some<br />

of the plush. Profit margins will be tightened. Efficiency will<br />

improve. They used to offer "free" services which actually were<br />

paid out of interest earned on their customers' demand deposits.<br />

Now they will charge for those services, such as checking and safe<br />

storage of deposits. Customers probably will grumble at first at<br />

having to pay for those things, and there will be no more free<br />

toasters.<br />

Electronic transfer systems will probably become popular for<br />

their convenience, but they will be optional. Cash and check<br />

transactions will continue to play an important role. Government<br />

monitoring will be illegal. Although there will be fewer dollars in<br />

circulation than there were Federal Reserve Notes, the value of<br />

A REALISTIC SCENARIO 581<br />

each one will be correspondingly greater. Each person will end up<br />

with the same purchasing power he had before the conversion. For<br />

a<br />

short period, both the old and the new money will circulate<br />

together, and some people will have difficulty making the necessary<br />

calculations to determine their relative values. But that is<br />

routine operation for people who live in Europe or for anyone who<br />

travels to a foreign country. There is no reason to think that<br />

Americans are too stupid to handle it.<br />

SOME BAD NEWS AND SOME GOOD<br />

We should not delude ourselves into thinking that this will be<br />

an easy transition. It will be a very difficult period, and people will<br />

have to get used to a whole new way of thinking and doing. The<br />

freeze on the current money supply may trigger panic in the stock<br />

market and the business community. Stock prices could tumble,<br />

causing paper fortunes to disappear back into the computers from<br />

which they came. Some businesses may fold for a lack of easy<br />

credit. Weak banks will be allowed to close rather than be bailed<br />

out with taxes. Unemployment may worsen for a while. Those who<br />

have been used to a free ride will now have to walk or push or pay<br />

their way. The masses on welfare will not give up their checks and<br />

food stamps quietly. The media will fan the flames of discontent.<br />

The Cabal will be at every switch to derail the train.<br />

This will be the moment of our greatest danger, the moment<br />

when the people could tire of their hard journey in the desert and<br />

lose interest in the promised land. This is the time when they may<br />

long for a return to captivity and head back to the slave pits of<br />

Pharaoh.<br />

The important point, however, is that most of these problems<br />

would be temporary. They would be present only during the<br />

period of transition to a new money. As soon as free coinage is<br />

available at the Mint, and as soon as people see how much demand<br />

there is for silver and gold coins, there will be a steady stream of<br />

miners and jewelers who will add great new stores of precious<br />

metal to the nation's monetary stock. Foreigners undoubtedly will<br />

add to the inflow. Old silver and gold coins will also reappear in<br />

the market place. Very quickly, as the stores of precious metal<br />

respond to supply and demand, the quantity of money will<br />

increase and its per-unit value will drop to its natural equilibrium.<br />

a

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