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Cell Descriptions - South East Natural Resources Management Board

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SE7 – Canunda NP<br />

this time. Thus advice on flood levels, for example, should not be used in engineering or<br />

development planning.<br />

Climate change<br />

element/ scenario<br />

Combined climate<br />

changes and sea<br />

level rise<br />

throughout this<br />

cell<br />

Sea level rise:<br />

2030 : +c.20cm<br />

2070: +c.80cm.<br />

Storms:<br />

Frequency continues<br />

to show great<br />

variation on a<br />

decadal scale.<br />

Intensity of large<br />

storms increases.<br />

Warmer average<br />

conditions:<br />

2030:+0.3 to.6 0 C<br />

2070:+1.5 to 2 0 C<br />

Drier average<br />

conditions:<br />

2030: -2% to 5%<br />

2070: - 10% to 20%<br />

‘Flashy’ run off:<br />

Drier creeks, but<br />

larger rare floods<br />

Groundwater<br />

lowering; saline<br />

incursion:<br />

Nearshore sea<br />

Impacts and implications Protect and manage Address landscape<br />

(for this cell) habitat threats issues: fire,<br />

connectivity,<br />

refuges, hydrology<br />

This cell presents a complex<br />

pattern of habitats sensitive<br />

to change.<br />

Increase in storm foredune<br />

damage and beach recession.<br />

The partially buried<br />

calcarenite topography could<br />

well lead to an indented<br />

coastline, of reefs and<br />

embayments.<br />

Foredune damage leads to<br />

dune de-stabilisation, and<br />

transport of sand across the<br />

barrier.<br />

2030: Occasional storm tide<br />

flooding above highest<br />

known tides.<br />

2070: Flooding will affect all<br />

swamps and adjacent low<br />

lying areas.<br />

Frequent storm damage to<br />

foredunes.<br />

(Impacts uncertain. Existing<br />

terrestrial vegetation is<br />

found in warmer conditions<br />

elsewhere)<br />

Dune vegetation adapts to<br />

drier conditions, but<br />

recovers more slowly from<br />

fire and storm damage: dune<br />

mobilization becomes more<br />

likely.<br />

Drains and creeks may<br />

increase sediment load to<br />

coastal swamps and lakes<br />

(this depends on land<br />

management practices).<br />

Aridity and sea level rise a<br />

threat to perched freshwater<br />

table within the dunes.<br />

Persistent swell wave climate<br />

Continue a rectified<br />

aerial photographic<br />

record at an appropriate<br />

resolution, in order to<br />

show change from<br />

current baseline.<br />

Maintain an aerial<br />

photographic record of<br />

shoreline change.<br />

Active management of<br />

dune blowouts.<br />

Manage sill height on<br />

tidal inlet to adjust to<br />

higher marine storm<br />

elevations as part of the<br />

adaptive management of<br />

Lake Frome.<br />

Active management of<br />

dune blowouts.<br />

Active weed control<br />

within dunes.<br />

Maintain watching brief<br />

on sedimentation of<br />

Lake Frome.<br />

Monitor salinity in small<br />

freshwater lakes.<br />

Adaptive management<br />

of plant assets.<br />

Monitor shoreline<br />

Maintain<br />

connectivity of<br />

vegetation within<br />

the region.<br />

.<br />

Limestone Coast and Coorong Coastal Action Plan 316

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