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Cell Descriptions - South East Natural Resources Management Board

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SE11 – Guichen Bay<br />

Tiny areas of wetland, such as McInnes Swamp, trapped behind the dune ridge barrier, and<br />

around small lakes near the mouth of drain L, are high value exceptions to this pattern. Here<br />

habitat for the focal species Swamp Skink, <strong>South</strong>ern Bell Frog and Yellowish Sedge-skipper,<br />

together with a moderate overall wetland value score, raises the total.<br />

Threat Analysis (GIS)<br />

Guichen Bay has the highest total of threat summary means in the region, 74.69. High threat<br />

values are distributed throughout the cell, with no part having medium or low totals.<br />

Development zoning is a high average as primary industry zoning is extensive; private land<br />

ownership is extensive with the exception of the foredune which is unallotted Crown land or<br />

park; many residential dwellings within the Guichen Bay dune ridges raise the total for existing<br />

development; land use and mining; significant weeds are widely distributed through the partially<br />

cleared dunes; numbers of feral animals and dune instability, all make significant contribution to<br />

this total.<br />

Adaptation to Climate Change: Threats for cell SE11<br />

(see also discussion of scenario in Section 4.11<br />

NOTE: the advice below is indicative of likely change and the direction of change, with<br />

implications for ecosystems. Dates, amounts and probabilities cannot be accurately calculated at<br />

this time. Thus advice on flood levels, for example, should not be used in engineering or<br />

development planning.<br />

Climate change<br />

element/ scenario<br />

Combined climate<br />

changes and sea<br />

level rise<br />

throughout this<br />

cell<br />

Sea level rise:<br />

2030 : +c.20cm<br />

2070: +c.80cm.<br />

Storms:<br />

Frequency continues<br />

to show great<br />

variation on a<br />

Impacts and implications Protect and manage Address landscape<br />

(for this cell) habitat threats issues: fire,<br />

connectivity,<br />

refuges, hydrology<br />

This cell presents a complex<br />

pattern of habitats sensitive to<br />

change.<br />

Increase in beach recession,<br />

storm foredune damage and<br />

dune instability. Loss of small<br />

cliff-backed pocket beaches at<br />

the northern and southern<br />

ends of the bay.<br />

Acceleration of calcarenite cliff<br />

erosion.<br />

Foredune damage could lead<br />

to widespread dune destabilisation<br />

and transport of<br />

sand across dunes to the lakes<br />

and farmland.<br />

2030: Occasional storm tide<br />

flooding above highest known<br />

tides. Lidar data suggests that<br />

marine incursion will ingress to<br />

Create a baseline for<br />

shoreline, dune and<br />

lake change by<br />

establishing a rectified<br />

aerial photographic<br />

record at an<br />

appropriate resolution.<br />

Maintain an aerial<br />

photographic record<br />

of change.<br />

Create buffer zone to<br />

allow dune retreat<br />

where feasible.<br />

Continue to monitor<br />

recession and address<br />

hazards as required.<br />

Active management of<br />

dune blowouts.<br />

Manage sill on drain L<br />

tidal inlet to adjust to<br />

higher marine storm<br />

elevations as part of<br />

The creation of<br />

buffer zones to<br />

allow retreat of tide<br />

dependant<br />

ecosystems a<br />

regional issue with<br />

local implications.<br />

Limestone Coast and Coorong Coastal Action Plan 404

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