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Cell Descriptions - South East Natural Resources Management Board

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SE5 – Carpenters Rocks<br />

high threats primarily from ownership, use and zoning. This analysis is a strong argument for a<br />

raised level of protection for these small patches.<br />

The pattern of development zoning raises a related issue: as to whether primary industry is an<br />

appropriate zoning for a conservation park and a game reserve and heritage agreement land.<br />

Adaptation to Climate Change: Threats for <strong>Cell</strong> SE5<br />

(see also discussion of scenario in Section 4.11<br />

NOTE: the advice below is indicative of likely change and the direction of change, with<br />

implications for ecosystems. Dates, amounts and probabilities cannot be accurately calculated at<br />

this time. Thus advice on flood levels, for example, should not be used in engineering or<br />

development planning.<br />

Climate change<br />

element/ scenario<br />

Combined climate<br />

changes and sea<br />

level rise<br />

throughout this<br />

cell<br />

Sea level rise:<br />

2030 : +c.20cm<br />

2070: +c.80cm.<br />

Storms:<br />

Frequency continues<br />

to show great<br />

variation on a<br />

decadal scale.<br />

Intensity of large<br />

Impacts and implications Protect and manage Address landscape<br />

(for this cell) habitat threats issues: fire,<br />

connectivity,<br />

refuges, hydrology<br />

This cell presents a complex<br />

pattern of habitats sensitive<br />

to change.<br />

Rise in frequency of tidal<br />

flooding, threatens low land<br />

at Bungaloo Bay.<br />

Increase in storm foredune<br />

damage and beach recession<br />

in embayments, here, beach<br />

change may be rapid,<br />

because of low storage<br />

volumes of sand. Very low<br />

to non-existent dune<br />

elevations threaten surge<br />

overtopping, and rapid<br />

shoreline recession.<br />

Beach and nearshore sand<br />

accumulation in lee of reefs<br />

may be reduced together<br />

with reef protection of the<br />

shore. This creates the<br />

potential for rapid shoreline<br />

change at Cape Banks<br />

Lighthouse and Pelican<br />

Point.<br />

2030: Occasional storm tide<br />

flooding above highest<br />

known tides.<br />

2070: Flooding will affect all<br />

swamps and adjacent low<br />

lying areas. Low land<br />

backing Bungaloo Bay<br />

appears vulnerable. <strong>Natural</strong><br />

Create a baseline for<br />

shoreline, dune and lake<br />

change by establishing a<br />

rectified aerial<br />

photographic record at<br />

an appropriate<br />

resolution.<br />

Monitor storm tide<br />

impacts.<br />

Establish beach profile<br />

monitoring at Bungaloo<br />

Bay, Bucks Bay and<br />

Lighthouse Bay, as<br />

baseline information for<br />

coastal change.<br />

Maintain aerial imagery<br />

record to track shoreline<br />

changes.<br />

Ongoing adaptive<br />

management of the sill<br />

on the Lake Bonney<br />

connection.<br />

Limestone Coast and Coorong Coastal Action Plan 277

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