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Cell Descriptions - South East Natural Resources Management Board

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SE5 – Carpenters Rocks<br />

Climate change<br />

element/ scenario<br />

storms increases.<br />

Impacts and implications<br />

(for this cell)<br />

low corridor to the Bucks<br />

Lake could be affected by<br />

inundation of the Lake<br />

Bonney lowland.<br />

Protect and manage<br />

habitat threats<br />

Address landscape<br />

issues: fire,<br />

connectivity,<br />

refuges, hydrology<br />

Frequent storm damage to<br />

foredunes.<br />

Active management of<br />

dune blowouts.<br />

Warmer average<br />

conditions:<br />

2030:+0.3 to.6 0 C<br />

2070:+1.5 to 2 0 C<br />

(Impacts uncertain. Existing<br />

terrestrial vegetation is<br />

found in warmer conditions<br />

elsewhere)<br />

Maintain<br />

connectivity of<br />

vegetation within<br />

the region.<br />

Drier average<br />

conditions:<br />

2030: -2% to 5%<br />

2070: - 10% to 20%<br />

Dune vegetation adapts well<br />

to drier conditions, but<br />

recovers more slowly from<br />

fire, disease and storm<br />

damage: dune mobilization<br />

becomes more likely.<br />

Active weed control<br />

within dunes, together<br />

with management of<br />

blowouts.<br />

‘Flashy’ run off:<br />

Drier creeks, but<br />

larger rare floods<br />

Drains and creeks may<br />

increase sediment load to<br />

coastal swamps (this<br />

depends on land<br />

management practices).<br />

Maintain watching brief<br />

on sedimentation of<br />

high value Bucks Lake.<br />

Groundwater<br />

lowering; saline<br />

incursion:<br />

The potential fall in<br />

groundwater pressure a<br />

significant threat to<br />

vegetation survival in<br />

freshwater swamps.<br />

Adaptive management<br />

of plant assets.<br />

Monitor salinity of<br />

coastal swamps.<br />

Nearshore sea<br />

changes -<br />

temperature;<br />

acidity; wave<br />

climate:<br />

2030: +0.3 0 C to +<br />

0.6 0 C<br />

(Changes in upwellings<br />

timing and frequency has<br />

been discussed, but not<br />

projected)<br />

2070: +1.0 0 C to +<br />

1.50C<br />

Limestone Coast and Coorong Coastal Action Plan 278

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