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January 2012<br />
KMEFIC Research<br />
Equity Analysis Report<br />
The construction sector is foreseen to remain active and will continue to be the major driver for<br />
the cement industry. According to Business Monitor International (BMI),, the construction sector is<br />
expected to grow at an average rate of 4% (in real terms) over the years 2012 – 2015 due to a<br />
healthy project pipeline and strong government support. Lastly, the 2022 World Cup being hosted<br />
in Qatar will stimulate demand for cement as well as other construction materials. <strong>Saudi</strong> Arabia<br />
stands to benefit from this increased demand as it borders Qatar (the only country that does),<br />
putting <strong>Saudi</strong> cement companies in a good position to meet the excess demand of cement.<br />
Porter’s Five Forces Model<br />
Below is Porter’s Five Forces Model applied to the <strong>Saudi</strong> cement industry in order to assess its<br />
attractiveness.<br />
Figure 4 – Porters’ Five Forces Model<br />
Suppliers'<br />
power:<br />
HIGH<br />
Threat of<br />
new<br />
entrants:<br />
MODERATE<br />
<strong>Cement</strong><br />
Industry<br />
Threat of<br />
substitutes:<br />
VERY LOW<br />
Business<br />
rivalry:<br />
MODERATE<br />
Customers'<br />
power:<br />
MODERATE<br />
Source: KMEFIC Research<br />
Threat of New Entrants: The biggest entry barriers to the <strong>Saudi</strong> cement industry are plant and<br />
equipment costs, in addition to carbonic energy requirements of the cement mills and plants. Entry<br />
barriers are slightly lowered by the fact that the <strong>Saudi</strong> government provides energy subsidies to<br />
cement companies, low interest rate loans from the <strong>Saudi</strong> Industrial Development Fund (SIDF), and<br />
quarries at low prices as aid to the industry. However, these subsidies do not completely offset the<br />
huge costs required for venturing into the industry and hence, the threat of new entrants to the<br />
<strong>Saudi</strong> cement industry is moderate.<br />
Suppliers’ Power: <strong>Saudi</strong> cement companies are under low pressure in terms of production costs<br />
due to the abundance of limestone reserves in addition to the energy subsidies provided by the<br />
government. . However, the government remains the most important supplier to the cement<br />
industry in <strong>Saudi</strong> Arabia, thus making suppliers’ power high.<br />
Yamama <strong>Saudi</strong> <strong>Cement</strong> Co.<br />
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