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Table 2 – Demands of the Republic in different types of energy and<br />
energy resources at maximal increase of GDP and minimal<br />
decrease of its energy intensity<br />
42<br />
2005 2010<br />
Years<br />
2015<br />
2020<br />
Types of energy resources<br />
predictions predictions predictions<br />
mln t Per mln t Per mln t Per mln t Per cent<br />
cent cent cent<br />
Natural gas (according to the<br />
balance of a union country)<br />
25,3 26,4 27,5<br />
Gaseous fuel<br />
including:<br />
23,41 77,9 25,2 74,9 25,5 68,7 27,3-24,6 64,3-58,0<br />
associated gas 0,30 1,0 0,27 0,8 0,26 0,7 0,22 0,5<br />
as a raw and for transportation 1,52 5,1 1,80 5,3 3,00 8,1 3,00 7,1<br />
Condensed gas 0,35 1,2 0,39 1,2 0,38 1,0 0,38 0,9<br />
NR gas 0,63 2,1 0,76 2,3 0,77 2,1 0,77 1,8<br />
Domestic stove fuel 0,09 0,3 0,09 0,3 0,05 0,1 0,03 0,1<br />
Fuel oil 1,74 5,8 1,74 5,0 1,74 4,6 1,74 4,1<br />
Coal including coke and coke<br />
breeze<br />
0,21 0,7 1,22 3,6 2,7 7,4 3,0 7,2<br />
Gross HER<br />
37,08 41,6 45,9 52,4<br />
Heat energy, mln Gcal 73,5 77,9 81,8 87,5<br />
Including secondary heat energy<br />
resources (SHR) in the<br />
equivalent of<br />
0,8 1,0 1,3 1,9<br />
Electro energy, billion kW/h 35,00 39,9 44,0 50,3<br />
Local types of fuel (LFT) considering<br />
WER<br />
4,56 6,48 8,46 9,72<br />
-<br />
9,92<br />
LFT part in CIF consumption<br />
without raw<br />
16,8 20,5 25,0 26,6-29,1<br />
General characteristics of most energy system stations is high increasing physical<br />
and moral wearing-out of the main and auxiliary equipment, energy transport<br />
communications. Wearing-out of the main electro generating equipment of electrical<br />
and heat networks is about 60 % what proves the necessity of modernization of the<br />
main energy system equipment.<br />
According to the “Conception of energy security of the Republic of Belarus” confirmed<br />
by the President of the Republic of Belarus 17.09.2007 № 433, the main directions<br />
of increasing of security of energy system are:<br />
- advance speed of renewing of the main industrial budgets over speed of wearing-out<br />
in order to achieve wearing level not more than 45 % by 2020;<br />
- diversification of fuel types for regenerating sources;<br />
- supporting existing intercommunications with energy systems of neighboring<br />
countries and establishing of new main lines of communications.