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Risk Analysis of Sea Traffic in the Area around Bornholm, 2008. - VTT

Risk Analysis of Sea Traffic in the Area around Bornholm, 2008. - VTT

Risk Analysis of Sea Traffic in the Area around Bornholm, 2008. - VTT

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<strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> for <strong>Sea</strong> <strong>Traffic</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Area</strong> <strong>around</strong> <strong>Bornholm</strong><br />

3<br />

6 Prospective <strong>Risk</strong> Assessment <strong>of</strong> Route<br />

Specifications for <strong>Traffic</strong> to and from <strong>the</strong> Gdańsk<br />

Bay 41<br />

6.1 Hazard identification (FSA Step 1) 41<br />

6.2 <strong>Risk</strong> control options (FSA Step 3) 41<br />

6.3 Comparative risk assessment (FSA Step 2) 42<br />

6.4 Cost-benefit assessment (FSA step 4) 49<br />

6.5 Sensitivity analysis 50<br />

6.6 Discussion and recommendations (FSA step 5) 55<br />

7 References 57<br />

Table <strong>of</strong> Appendices<br />

Appendix A: Collision Model 58<br />

Appendix B: Ground<strong>in</strong>g Model 71<br />

Appendix C: Ship Operation Costs and Externalities 78<br />

Appendix D: Enlarged Figures 80<br />

Appendix E: Curricula Vitae 101<br />

Appendix F: Hazard Identification 113<br />

P:\65775A\3_Pdoc\DOC\P-65775A ma<strong>in</strong> report f<strong>in</strong>al corr prepared for PDF.DOC<br />

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