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<strong>Assessing</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Effectiveness</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Organized</strong> <strong>Crime</strong> <strong>Control</strong> <strong>Strategies</strong>:<br />

A Review <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Literature<br />

In discussing <strong>the</strong> diversion <strong>of</strong> controlled chemicals for <strong>the</strong> purpose <strong>of</strong> manufacturing illicit<br />

substances, <strong>the</strong> United States’ General Accounting Office (1993) noted that <strong>the</strong> international<br />

community has no centralized data exchange for monitoring controlled chemicals<br />

Aside from <strong>of</strong>ficial sources, information on <strong>the</strong> size <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> illicit market can be obtained from<br />

perpetrators <strong>the</strong>mselves. Reuter and Haaga (1989), for example, acquired detailed information<br />

about <strong>the</strong> drug market from incarcerated high-level drug dealers. Studies <strong>of</strong> incarcerated persons<br />

are always exposed to <strong>the</strong> criticism that those contacted do not constitute a representative<br />

sample, as <strong>the</strong> most intelligent and sophisticated <strong>of</strong>fenders are less likely to be caught and<br />

convicted. The issue <strong>of</strong> whe<strong>the</strong>r those interviewed for this study did represent all high-level drug<br />

dealers was also underscored by <strong>the</strong> fact that just 40 percent <strong>of</strong> those contacted consented to<br />

giving interviews.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r concern with <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> a particular form <strong>of</strong> criminal activity, such as <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong><br />

illicit drugs sold/smuggled, as a performance measure is that criminal organizations may<br />

compensate by a crackdown on one activity by increasing <strong>the</strong>ir involvement in ano<strong>the</strong>r (Maltz,<br />

1990:14). It would serve as little consolation to society if OC groups shifted <strong>the</strong>ir activities from<br />

gambling to drug dealing. An intensification <strong>of</strong> law enforcement efforts in one area is also likely<br />

to generate more seizures <strong>of</strong> contraband, underscoring <strong>the</strong> need to develop measures that are not<br />

influenced by enforcement activity.<br />

Maltz (1990:15) adds:<br />

We may not be able to estimate <strong>the</strong> magnitude <strong>of</strong> an activity, but must be content<br />

with knowing whe<strong>the</strong>r it is increasing or decreasing, or what its targets are, such as<br />

which businesses are being infiltrated. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, we may have to resort to<br />

sources <strong>of</strong> information that cannot be cross-checked—for example, <strong>the</strong> comment <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong> target <strong>of</strong> an investigation in a tapped telephone investigation that he has had to<br />

alter his activities due to enforcement efforts would be a definite indicator <strong>of</strong> impact,<br />

but could not be disclosed in an evaluation report.<br />

Volume and Scope <strong>of</strong> <strong>Organized</strong> <strong>Crime</strong><br />

The United States’ General Accounting Office (1977:17) has reported that “complete and<br />

reliable data is not available on <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> organized crime figures in particular areas, <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

position within <strong>the</strong> organization, and <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir criminal activity.”<br />

Measures that attempt to ascertain <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> criminal enterprises may be limited in <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

validity. Van Duyne (1996:207) argues that OC may not be quantifiable in <strong>the</strong> sense that <strong>the</strong><br />

number <strong>of</strong> illicit enterprises is not static:<br />

<strong>Organized</strong> crime is not a quantifiable phenomenon. In <strong>the</strong> first place any operational<br />

definition for counting <strong>the</strong> number <strong>of</strong> crime-enterprises is bound to be invalidated by<br />

<strong>the</strong> fluidity <strong>of</strong> reality. During my research it sometimes happened that I thought to<br />

analyse one enterprise which split into two or more while doing my research. The<br />

reverse also happened: different crime-enterprises cooperated so closely that <strong>the</strong><br />

14 | Research and Statistics Division / Department <strong>of</strong> Justice Canada

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