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Granger-causality tests

Granger-causality tests

Granger-causality tests

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Tools<br />

Correlation coefficient<br />

• Product moment CC<br />

○ Pearson CC<br />

○<br />

○<br />

For straight line relationship ρ is plus or minus one<br />

If ρ = 0, X and Y are uncorrelated<br />

• Doesn’t imply independence unless X and Y have a bivariate distribution<br />

○ i.e. for n paired observations the sample correlation coefficient is r = S xy<br />

/(S xx<br />

S yy<br />

) 1/2<br />

• S xy<br />

is the sum of the products of deviations of x i<br />

and y i<br />

from their means<br />

• S xx<br />

and S yy<br />

are the sums of squares of deviations from their means<br />

• r =1 implies a direct relationship, r = -1 implies an inverse one<br />

• r = 0 implies virtually no linear relationship, but there may be some other association<br />

- i.e. Points scattered around the circumference of a circle<br />

• Spearman CC<br />

○<br />

2 sets of paired ranks<br />

• Kendall CC<br />

○<br />

2 sets of orderings of the same objects<br />

• Biserial CC<br />

○<br />

y may only take one of 2 variables

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