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Seepage Modeling with SEEP/W - GeoStudio 2007 version 7.22

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Chapter 2: Numerical <strong>Modeling</strong><br />

<strong>SEEP</strong>/W<br />

“If we can incorporate boundary<br />

elements rather than simple finite<br />

elephants, enhance the statistical<br />

evaluation of parameter generation<br />

and stick <strong>with</strong> the fuzzy sets, I am<br />

confident that accuracy will be<br />

increased to at least the fourth<br />

decimal place.”<br />

“Put another shovel<br />

full in Pat! It is fullcores<br />

they’re wanting!”<br />

Note: origins of this figure are unknown at time of printing.<br />

2.6 How not to model<br />

As mentioned earlier in this chapter, it is completely unrealistic to expect to set up a complex model at the<br />

start of a project and immediately obtain realistic, understandable and meaningful results. There are far<br />

too many parameters and issues which can influence the results, so if this is your expectation, then<br />

modeling is going to lead to major disappointments.<br />

For novice modelers; the initial reaction when faced <strong>with</strong> incomprehensible results is that something must<br />

be wrong <strong>with</strong> the software. It must be a limitation of the software that the solution is inappropriate or<br />

completely senseless. It is important to remember that the software is very powerful; it can keep track of<br />

millions of pieces of information and do repetitive computations which are far beyond the capability of<br />

the human mind. Without the software it would not be possible to make these types of analyses. The<br />

software by itself is extremely powerful numerically speaking, but essentially unintelligent. Conversely,<br />

the human mind has the capability of logic and reasoning, but has significant limitations retaining large<br />

amounts of digital data. It is the combination of the human mind together <strong>with</strong> the capability of a<br />

computer that makes numerical modeling so immensely powerful. Neither can do the task in isolation.<br />

The software can only be used effectively under the careful guidance and direction of the modeler.<br />

Sometimes it is suggested that due to a time limitation, it is not possible to start simple and then progress<br />

slowly to a more complex analysis. A solution is needed quickly and since the budget is limited, it is<br />

necessary to immediately start <strong>with</strong> the ultimate simulation. This approach is seldom, if ever, successful.<br />

Usually this leads to a lot of frustration and the need to retreat to a simpler model until the solution is<br />

understandable and then build it up again in stages. Not following the above “how to” modeling<br />

procedures generally leads to requiring more time and financial resources than if you follow the<br />

recommended modeling concepts.<br />

Page 22

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