Kosovo Energy Strategy 2009-2018 - Ministria e Integrimit

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ENERGY STRATEGY OF THE REPUBLIC OF KOSOVO FOR THE PERIOD 2009–20184600440042004000380036003400320030002800260024002200200018001600140012001000800600400200020032004200520062007200820092010Service SherbimetAgriculture BujqesiaTransportiIndustry IndustriaFigure 11: Projection of the contribution of each economic sectorin the GDP for the high GDP growth scenario (million Euros)201120122013201420152016201720184,6004,4004,2004,0003,8003,6003,4003,2003,0002,8002,6002,4002,2002,0002003200420052006200720082009Figure 12: Projection of GDP growth accordingto both growth scenarios (million Euros)20102011201220132014GDP_LarteGDP_Ulet2015201620172018Scenarios used for developing the energy demand forecasts 13 describe possibilities of energysector development in Kosovo in the medium term, taking into consideration also technologicalthe country’s economy is strengthened as a result of developments in the construction, servicesand agriculture sectors as well as rehabilitation of the industry and considerable amount of8.2.1 Energy demand forecast for the residential sectorEnergy consumption and forecasted demand for the residential sector has been carefully analyzedand discussed because of its highest contribution in the total energy consumed as well as because13 Based on the ESTAP study and consultancies from different domestic and international institutionsFaqe 46Ministry of Energy and Mining
ENERGY STRATEGY OF THE REPUBLIC OF KOSOVO FOR THE PERIOD 2009–2018Table 8 provides main parameters used as basis for forecasting the energy demand in the residentialsector Table 8: Main parameters for developing the energy demand forecast for the residential sectorYear No. of households No. of people per household Population2003 360000 2005 385521 2006 399308 2025192 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 532390 21929582015 552625 22105012016 595696 2018 619318 demand for the household sector, based on this methodology and the parameters abovementioned,800800750Ngrohje e perf ituarEnergji solare780760700Hidro dhe elektricitetBiomas (energji nga druri)740720650Nenprodukte naf teQy my ri dhe Ligniti700680600660640550620600500580560450540520400500480350460440300420250400380200150360340320300Amv isnia_Skenari LarteAmv isnia_Skenari Ulet10028026050240220020020032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018Figure 13: Energy demand forecast for the housing sector forthe high growth scenario (ktoe)Figure 14: Total energy demand forecast for the housingsector for both growth scenarios (ktoe)families in every climacteric zone and degree-days of heating for urban and rural households are used as main factor in the calcula-Ministry of Energy and Mining Faqe 47
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