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Wind resources at Horns Rev

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energy. environment. knowledge. Page 38 of 69<br />

A and B are constants. A describes the slope of the regression line and B is the<br />

intercept.<br />

3. Use the constants A and B in the above equ<strong>at</strong>ion with d<strong>at</strong>a measured <strong>at</strong> Hvide<br />

Sande over the period January 1989 to October 2002 to gener<strong>at</strong>e a longer<br />

interpol<strong>at</strong>ed d<strong>at</strong>a series for <strong>Horns</strong> <strong>Rev</strong>. This can be used to calcul<strong>at</strong>e an average<br />

wind speed and as input to the WAsP model to gener<strong>at</strong>e energy density,<br />

potential power production for a given wind turbine, and Weibull shape and<br />

scale parameters. It should be noted th<strong>at</strong> the directions used in the time series are<br />

those from Hvide Sande. Directions from Hvide Sande and <strong>Horns</strong> <strong>Rev</strong> during<br />

the overlap period are compared and shown in Figure 4.2<br />

The regression line can either be fitted through the origin or with an intercept depending<br />

on which gives the best fit to the d<strong>at</strong>a. A summary for all d<strong>at</strong>a using both methods is<br />

given below.<br />

Fit 1: Linear<br />

Equ<strong>at</strong>ion Y = 1.1277 * X + 1.6885<br />

Number of d<strong>at</strong>a points used = 29606<br />

Average X = 6.889<br />

Average Y = 9.458<br />

Coefficient of determin<strong>at</strong>ion, R-squared = 0.7111<br />

Fit 2: Through origin<br />

Equ<strong>at</strong>ion Y = 1.328 * X<br />

Number of d<strong>at</strong>a points used = 29606<br />

Average X = 6.889<br />

Average Y = 9.458<br />

Coefficient of determin<strong>at</strong>ion, R-squared = 0.6836<br />

Since linear fit gives the highest r 2 , this fit has been used in the following analysis, and<br />

is the line shown in Figure 4.1.<br />

Report no.: D-160949<br />

Tech-wise A/S is an intern<strong>at</strong>ional consulting Tech-wise A/S<br />

engineering company specialised Kraftværksvej 53<br />

in energy and environment DK-7000 Fredericia

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