Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual

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Preparedness,” and what actions to take during response aredescribed in Section 8 “Epidemic Response.”When an epidemic is over, we move back from “responsemode” to “alert mode.” The criteria for deciding when anepidemic is over are discussed in “Definition of an epidemic” inSection 6.Eritrea Epidemic Manual, June 2003v
Page 2: Malaria Epidemic Forecastingand Pre
Page 6: ContentsIntroduction...............
Page 9: There are also criteria for decidin
Page 14 and 15: 2. Characteristics ofMalaria Epidem
Page 16: As you see in Fig. 2, in Massawa su
Page 20 and 21: 4. AssessingVulnerabilitySocial fac
Page 22 and 23: 5. EpidemicForecasting andWarningTh
Page 24 and 25: • Rainfall amounts estimated from
Page 26 and 27: If we get unusually high rainfall i
Page 28 and 29: 6. Epidemic DetectionOnce an epidem
Page 30 and 31: Fig 6: ELABERED - EPIDEMIC THRESHOL
Page 32 and 33: Table 1:MonthOPD malaria cases by H
Page 34 and 35: 5. If you have a computer, you can
Page 36 and 37: suggests that an epidemic (higher t
Page 38 and 39: 7. EpidemicPreparednessEpidemic pre
Page 40 and 41: 8. EpidemicResponseIf an unusual in
Page 42 and 43: Alert LevelsREDYELLOWGREENEach year
Page 44 and 45: Table 1: WORKSHEET FOR CALCULATING
Page 46 and 47: PRINT-OUT OF“THRESHOLD 3Q.XLS”E
Page 48 and 49: Month DataSPREADSHEET TO CALCULATE
Page 50 and 51: Week DataSPREADSHEET TO CALCULATE W
Page 52: Week GraphEXAMPLE Health CentreMala

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