Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual

Week DataSPREADSHEET TO CALCULATE WEEKLY EPIDEMIC THRESHOLD BY THE THIRD QUARTILE METHODHealth facility name: EXAMPLE Health CentreNumber of cases per week by health facilityweek year1 year2 year3 year4 year5 year6 year7 year8 year9 year101 8 42 6 36 142 12 42 27 38 173 10 42 43 49 214 20 17 34 59 325 34 17 46 20 306 18 10 34 22 237 12 19 33 24 258 37 10 27 61 239 32 18 37 29 2610 31 24 28 17 1311 22 19 22 12 2312 17 39 31 22 4313 5 19 19 16 2114 22 19 28 25 2115 29 16 28 19 1316 17 32 25 6 1117 28 11 32 8 818 17 34 40 13 819 12 17 27 9 1020 16 18 14 1 921 31 34 29 2 822 38 22 23 1 823 29 33 14 1 1724 19 32 35 1 3225 27 10 25 1 3426 36 20 34 1 4727 15 32 36 4 6228 19 42 44 8 3829 52 49 47 10 6230 31 44 45 12 7331 31 51 53 94 14232 97 67 56 114 10433 42 73 67 94 6734 74 61 71 82 12535 53 123 46 57 13036 41 58 92 79 13137 76 136 118 70 17738 116 113 134 37 8739 94 145 128 73 13840 93 102 194 103 13941 108 692 171 52 17842 34 178 168 59 20843 49 165 232 59 16444 27 183 145 44 11445 16 283 111 34 10346 55 141 150 40 10547 33 133 112 20 10548 40 122 87 25 8149 40 95 102 30 4250 19 67 71 30 3351 26 56 21 38 2752 23 55 34 29 6Eritrea Epidemic Manual, June 2003 39