Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual

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PRINT-OUT OF“THRESHOLD 3Q.XLS”EXCEL SPREADSHEETFPOR CALCULATINGTHIRD QUARTILETHRESHOLD BYCOMPUTERWhen you first open the file“Threshold 3Q.xls” in Excel,you will see a screen lookinglike this (the exact appearancemay be different depending onyour version of Excel):Data is entered in the sheetscalled “Month data” and“Week data.”Eritrea Epidemic Manual, June 2003 35
Graphs are shown in the sheets called “Month graph’ and “Week graph.”The sheet called “Month formula” just shows the formulas that are behind the automatic calculations, forinformation.36Eritrea Epidemic Manual, June 2003
Page 2: Malaria Epidemic Forecastingand Pre
Page 6: ContentsIntroduction...............
Page 9 and 10: There are also criteria for decidin
Page 12: 1. General Definitionof an Epidemic
Page 15 and 16: Fig 1: GASH BARKA - GULUJ 1996 - 20
Page 18: 3. GeographicStratificationStratifi
Page 21 and 22: If there has been unusually large m
Page 23 and 24: Long-term forecasting (severalmonth
Page 25 and 26: You can see from Fig. 4 that there
Page 27 and 28: 6. Inform Epidemic Preparedness and
Page 29 and 30: The threshold can be calculated by
Page 31 and 32: To calculate and draw monthly thres
Page 33 and 34: Table 2:MonthRe-ordered OPD malaria
Page 35 and 36: To calculate and draw weekly thresh
Page 37 and 38: Definition of an epidemicAt the beg
Page 39 and 40: 2. Drugs3. Insecticides for IRS and
Page 41 and 42: factor (for example increase in num
Page 43 and 44: ResponseWhen to change from “ALER
Page 45: Table 2:MonthJanFebMarAprMayJunJuly
Page 49 and 50: Month GraphEXAMPLE Health Centre400
Page 51 and 52: Week Data continuedweek median 3rd

Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual

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