Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual
Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual
Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual
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Month DataSPREADSHEET TO CALCULATE MONTHLY EPIDEMIC THRESHOLD BY THE THIRD QUARTILE METHODHealth facility name: Example Health CentreNumber of cases per month by health facilityMonth year1 year2 year3 year4 year5 year6 year7 year8 year9 year10Jan 60 61 218 0 6Feb 46 43 92 15 8Mar 32 42 132 41 1Apr 51 61 158 26 3May 52 54 212 24 3Jun 98 52 264 29 1Jul 229 66 188 16 12Aug 330 84 242 20 16Sep 251 119 330 37 13Oct 346 205 642 66 31Nov 298 121 386 64 10Dec 143 84 216 21 10Month median 3rd quartileJan 60 61Feb 43 46Mar 41 42Apr 51 61May 52 54Jun 52 98Jul 66 188Aug 84 242Sep 119 251Oct 205 346Nov 121 298Dec 84 143Eritrea <strong>Epidemic</strong> <strong>Manual</strong>, June 2003 37
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