Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual
Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual
Malaria Epidemic Forecasting and Preparedness Manual
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Alert LevelsREDYELLOWGREENEach year, start at level Green (low risk).When to move to the next higher step:• 3 years or more since last high incidence year• large population movements in the last year• unusually high monthly rainfall in any monthStay at the level until there are specific reasons to move down.When to move back down a level:• After two months without unusually high rainfall• After an epidemic year• One year after large population movements cease.Eritrea <strong>Epidemic</strong> <strong>Manual</strong>, June 2003 31
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