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"Frontmatter". In: Analysis of Financial Time Series

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ASSET RETURNS 5r t [k] =ln(1 + R t [k]) = ln[(1 + R t )(1 + R t−1 ) ···(1 + R t−k+1 )]= ln(1 + R t ) + ln(1 + R t−1 ) +···+ln(1 + R t−k+1 )= r t + r t−1 +···+r t−k+1 .Thus, the continuously compounded multiperiod return is simply the sum <strong>of</strong> continuouslycompounded one-period returns involved. Second, statistical properties <strong>of</strong> logreturns are more tractable.Portfolio ReturnThe simple net return <strong>of</strong> a portfolio consisting <strong>of</strong> N assets is a weighted average<strong>of</strong> the simple net returns <strong>of</strong> the assets involved, where the weight on each asset isthe percentage <strong>of</strong> the portfolio’s value invested in that asset. Let p be a portfoliothat places weight w i on asset i, then the simple return <strong>of</strong> p at time t is R p,t =∑ Ni=1w i R it ,whereR it is the simple return <strong>of</strong> asset i.The continuously compounded returns <strong>of</strong> a portfolio, however, do not have theabove convenient property. If the simple returns R it are all small in magnitude, thenwe have r p,t ≈ ∑ Ni=1 w i r it ,wherer p,t is the continuously compounded return <strong>of</strong> theportfolio at time t. This approximation is <strong>of</strong>ten used to study portfolio returns.Dividend PaymentIf an asset pays dividends periodically, we must modify the definitions <strong>of</strong> assetreturns. Let D t be the dividend payment <strong>of</strong> an asset between dates t − 1andt and P tbe the price <strong>of</strong> the asset at the end <strong>of</strong> period t. Thus, dividend is not included in P t .Then the simple net return and continuously compounded return at time t becomeR t = P t + D t− 1, r t = ln(P t + D t ) − ln(P t−1 ).P t−1Excess ReturnExcess return <strong>of</strong> an asset at time t is the difference between the asset’s return and thereturn on some reference asset. The reference asset is <strong>of</strong>ten taken to be riskless, suchas a short-term U.S. Treasury bill return. The simple excess return and log excessreturn <strong>of</strong> an asset are then defined asZ t = R t − R 0t , z t = r t − r 0t , (1.7)where R 0t and r 0t are the simple and log returns <strong>of</strong> the reference asset, respectively.<strong>In</strong> the finance literature, the excess return is thought <strong>of</strong> as the pay<strong>of</strong>f on an arbitrageportfolio that goes long in an asset and short in the reference asset with no net initialinvestment.Remark: A long financial position means owning the asset. A short positioninvolves selling asset one does not own. This is accomplished by borrowing the assetfrom an investor who has purchased. At some subsequent date, the short seller isobligated to buy exactly the same number <strong>of</strong> shares borrowed to pay back the lender.

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