16chapter 1?WRR expert paperBelay Begashaw: “Adaptation,mitigation, vulnerability and resiliencecapacity are often referred to today <strong>in</strong>expla<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the concept of climate change,its consequences to mank<strong>in</strong>d, and how torespond to it. As a development practitionerfrom a poor African country, theseterms and concepts are beyond resort<strong>in</strong>gto jargon and rhetorical characterizations.Instead, they are an expression of the pa<strong>in</strong>which millions of people are suffer<strong>in</strong>gfrom every day.”—Belay Begashaw, MDG Centervulnerability to climate change; for example, a development strategy that <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong>come <strong>in</strong>poor communities also builds resilience and allows <strong>in</strong>dividuals to respond more readily to climaticshifts. At the other extreme, some activities respond directly to the effects of climate change andhave very little to do with development. One such example would be the construction of a seawallto protect aga<strong>in</strong>st a ris<strong>in</strong>g sea level. Numerous other <strong>in</strong>stances fall somewhere <strong>in</strong> between thesetwo extremes, <strong>in</strong> which a development plan or activity will need to <strong>in</strong>corporate climate risks andthe vulnerability of those affected.Indeed, some develop<strong>in</strong>g countries and communities are already beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>in</strong>tegrate bothshort- and long-term climate risks <strong>in</strong>to national development and sector-based plann<strong>in</strong>g and policymak<strong>in</strong>g.However, while climate change impacts are already with us, adaptation decision mak<strong>in</strong>gis still <strong>in</strong> its <strong>in</strong>fancy. The case studies throughout this report give early examples of the <strong>in</strong>tegrationof climate risks <strong>in</strong>to policies and practices, as well as the lessons that have been learned so far (seeTable 1.1). For example, Bangladesh has begun, with some success, to move from disaster relief todisaster preparedness through the development of pioneer<strong>in</strong>g early warn<strong>in</strong>g systems and educationprograms. Mongolia has established an <strong>in</strong>novative compensation scheme for farmers through<strong>in</strong>dex-based livestock <strong>in</strong>surance, provid<strong>in</strong>g a f<strong>in</strong>ancial buffer for extreme weather events. Vietnamand Ch<strong>in</strong>a have undertaken efforts to restore natural landscapes to address climate-<strong>in</strong>ducedflood<strong>in</strong>g. Governments <strong>in</strong> Mali, Namibia and Indonesia have all developed ways to enhance theexchange of decision-relevant <strong>in</strong>formation between the national government and local communitiescop<strong>in</strong>g with shifts <strong>in</strong> seasonal weather patterns.Adaptation <strong>Decision</strong> <strong>Mak<strong>in</strong>g</strong>: Our Focus<strong>World</strong> <strong>Resources</strong> 2010–2011 focuses on how national governments, particularly those <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>gcountries, can adapt to climate change by <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g climate risks <strong>in</strong>to their current practices <strong>in</strong> aneffort to <strong>in</strong>crease the resilience of their communities and ecosystems. National policies and plans,especially those related to development, must be able to respond to and anticipate the short- and longtermsrisks posed by climate change. The decisions that governments make to manage these riskswill have last<strong>in</strong>g consequences for the future of their countries.Five Elements of Effective <strong>Decision</strong> <strong>Mak<strong>in</strong>g</strong>To this end, we devote the majority of <strong>World</strong> <strong>Resources</strong> 2010–2011 to a discussion of five keyelements, which have emerged from our research, that can assist decision mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a chang<strong>in</strong>gclimate: public engagement; decision-relevant <strong>in</strong>formation; <strong>in</strong>stitutional design; tools for plann<strong>in</strong>gand policymak<strong>in</strong>g; and resources, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g human, f<strong>in</strong>ancial, social and ecological resources.As shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 1.1, this publication is organized around guidance <strong>in</strong> these five key areasthat will strengthen the capacity of national governments to pursue effective adaptation plans andpolicies. The rationale beh<strong>in</strong>d each of these elements is summarized.<strong>World</strong> <strong>Resources</strong> 2010-2011
Public EngagementInvolv<strong>in</strong>g the public is the foundation of decision mak<strong>in</strong>g for a chang<strong>in</strong>g climate. Public understand<strong>in</strong>gof risks and solutions is essential for difficult national-level decisions on <strong>in</strong>vestments andpriorities. Engag<strong>in</strong>g the public can also help def<strong>in</strong>e adaptation needs, lead to better outcomes,and—given that f<strong>in</strong>ancial and human resources are limited—<strong>in</strong>form government th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g on howto choose among various priorities and def<strong>in</strong>e acceptable levels of risk. At a local level, public<strong>in</strong>volvement <strong>in</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g and policymak<strong>in</strong>g processes, and <strong>in</strong> implement<strong>in</strong>g and monitor<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>itiatives,lays the groundwork for successful outcomes; lack of engagement can cause costly <strong>in</strong>vestmentsto fail.<strong>Decision</strong>-Relevant InformationUseful <strong>in</strong>formation is the lifeblood of effective decision mak<strong>in</strong>g, and this is particularly true forclimate adaptation, given the uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty that surrounds future impacts. We argue that governmentsneed to focus both on what types of <strong>in</strong>formation are required and how this <strong>in</strong>formation iscollected, translated <strong>in</strong>to a usable form, and distributed to all those who need it. The <strong>in</strong>formationrequired for plann<strong>in</strong>g and policymak<strong>in</strong>g goes far beyond meteorological and other climate <strong>in</strong>formation.To identify and protect the most vulnerable people and ecosystems, governments mustcomb<strong>in</strong>e climate data with demographic, economic, social and environmental <strong>in</strong>formation.Institutional Design<strong>Climate</strong> impacts will reach every corner of society and every aspect of the policy arena, andthe design of government <strong>in</strong>stitutions should reflect this reality. Coord<strong>in</strong>ation among nationallevelgovernment agencies and with other stakeholders and <strong>in</strong>stitutions at local, sub-national,regional and <strong>in</strong>ternational levels will be a prerequisite of successful adaptation efforts. In manycountries, this will require a shift <strong>in</strong> both awareness and <strong>in</strong>stitutional alignment, s<strong>in</strong>ce at present,the plann<strong>in</strong>g for risks posed by climate change is often divided among different m<strong>in</strong>istriesand lacks a coord<strong>in</strong>at<strong>in</strong>g authority. As we discuss <strong>in</strong> Chapter 5, the <strong>in</strong>dividuals and <strong>in</strong>stitutionswho provide leadership <strong>in</strong> steer<strong>in</strong>g adaptation efforts can determ<strong>in</strong>e the effectiveness of <strong>in</strong>terventions.In addition, <strong>in</strong>stitutional mandates can be reformed to better contend with differenttypes of climate risks, such as the creation of long-term goals that are better suited to the timeframeof climate impacts.Tools for Plann<strong>in</strong>g and Policymak<strong>in</strong>gBoth commonly used tools, such as environmental impact assessments and cost-benefit analyses,and <strong>in</strong>novative tools, such as scenario plann<strong>in</strong>g exercises, can play a vital role <strong>in</strong> help<strong>in</strong>gpublic officials navigate the complexities of decision mak<strong>in</strong>g for a chang<strong>in</strong>g climate. They can bedeployed, for example, to assess risks and vulnerability and decide among policy options. Someexist<strong>in</strong>g tools, such as mapp<strong>in</strong>g, can be customized to serve adaptation plann<strong>in</strong>g and policymak<strong>in</strong>gpurposes by <strong>in</strong>tegrat<strong>in</strong>g climate risks and vulnerability <strong>in</strong>to their use.<strong>Resources</strong><strong>Mak<strong>in</strong>g</strong> societies and ecosystems climate-resilient will require f<strong>in</strong>ancial, human, ecological, andsocial resources on a massive scale. Governments and donors will need to make long-term <strong>in</strong>vestmentsthat mirror the decades-long lifespan of predicted climate impacts. Develop<strong>in</strong>g countriesurgently need to build knowledge and technical ability among government officials to implement,monitor and enforce adaptation plans, policies and <strong>in</strong>itiatives. Adaptation decision mak<strong>in</strong>g shouldalso place a premium on protect<strong>in</strong>g and susta<strong>in</strong>ably manag<strong>in</strong>g ecosystems, such as forests andwetlands, which can protect people from climate-related hazards as well as provide livelihoods.F<strong>in</strong>ally, national governments should be proactive <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g social resources, such as thosethat enable communities to act collectively, cope with adverse conditions and show reciprocity andmutual support <strong>in</strong> times of crisis. These resources can play a crucial role <strong>in</strong> build<strong>in</strong>g the adaptivecapacity of vulnerable groups and populations.17the adaptation Chapter title imperativedecision mak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a chang<strong>in</strong>g climate
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