North Island College - Ministry of Advanced Education - Government ...

Institutional Accountability Plan and Report 2011/12Primary and Secondary School Enrolment Trends 3While the size of the NIC region 0-17 age group is projected to remain stable in the coming years,traditional age secondary school enrolment levels (i.e. grades 8-12) are projected to decline in NIC’sregion by 8.5% between 2010 and 2020. Most of this decline occurs by 2015 (decline of 9.4% from 2010to 2015). Marginal growth is expected in the remaining five year period (1.0% from 2015 to 2020).NIC Region Grades K-12 (Non-Adult) Projected Enrolment Growth (2010 – 2020)15.0%10.0%5.0%Grades K-70.0%Grades K-12-5.0%-10.0%Grades 8-12-15.0%2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Grades K-7 -0.2% 0.0% 1.1% 2.3% 3.3% 4.7% 6.1% 7.5% 9.2% 10.6%Grades 8-12 -2.4% -4.3% -6.4% -8.4% -9.4% -10.1% -10.3% -10.0% -9.5% -8.5%Grades K-12 -1.2% -2.0% -2.3% -2.6% -2.5% -2.1% -1.4% -0.5% 0.6% 1.8%By 2020 grades K-7 should see an increase of 10.6% over the 2010 enrolment, representing about 1,100more students in K-7. The 8.5% decrease in grades 8-12 enrolments represents a decrease ofapproximately 780 students.3 BC Ministry of Education (May 2011). Report 1558B-2010 Projection Report for Public School Headcount Enrolments (excludes adults) 2010/11.Retrieved February 20, 2012 from http://www.bced.gov.bc.ca/capitalplanning/resources/databasesreports/enrolment/1558b-2010.pdf.18