Civil Defense Systems: Social Impact and ... - The Black Vault

UNCLA5SIFIEDUDC REPORT BIBLIOGRAPHY SEARCH CONTROL NO, /ZMML7AD-6E5 530 15/6 18/1 15/3STAtIFO.RD RESEARCH INST MENLO PARK CALIFMETMLDOLOGY FOR ASSESSING TOTAL VULNERABILITY, (U)AUG 66 176P DRESCHFRANCjS 6, IELLIS#HAZEL IPROJ: SRI-MU-4949-520UNCLASSIFIED REPORTULSCRIPTORS: (*VULNERABILITy, *SYSTEMSENGINEERING), (*NUCLEAR WARFARE# *THLRMONUCLEARREACTIONS), ECONOMICSo SOCIOLOGY, POLITICALSCIENCE, CULdJREl ATTITUUES, INDUSTRIES,NUMERICAL ANALYSIS, LABOR UNIONS, LANGUAGE,SEMANTICs, UNITED STATES GOVERNMLNT,INTERACIIONS, INPUT-OUTPUT DEVICES, CIVIL DEFENSLSYSTLMS(U)THE STUDY *AS AN ATTEMPT T' APPLY SYSTEMS ANALYSISTO THE STU:,f OF TOTAL VULNERABILITY. THE RESULTSINDICATED THAT THE SYSTEMS CONCEPT COULD BE USED TOGENERATE, THROUGH AN EXPANSIBLE SEQUENCE OF CHECKLISTS, MANY PERTINENT QUESTIONS ABOUT THE STRUCTUREOF OUR SOCIETY AND ITS INTRINSIC VULNERABILITIES*THE ANALYSIS WAS CENTERED ON THE INDIVIDUAL As APOLITICAL, SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC AGENT AND 23 PRIMARYINSTITUTIONS THAT INTERACT *ITH HIM AND WITH EACHOTHER* THE FIRST STEP WAS TO IDENTIFY AS WELL ASPUSSIB&. ALL INPUT AND OUTPUT VARIABLES FOR THEINDIVIDUAL AND THE INSTITUTIONS, ANU ALL THv SOURCESOF EACH INPUT AND ALL THE DESTINAT!ONS FOR EACHOUTPUT. LXECUTION oF THIS STEP ENCOUNTERED MANYCONCEPTUAL AND SEMANTIC DIFFICULTIES, AND MADE ITQUITE CLEAR THAT INITIAL POPES DF INVESTIGATINGPOSSIBLE INTER-RELATIONSHIPS QUANTITATIVEky *ERE OVEROPTIMISTIC OR PREMATURE* THE SYSTEMS DESCRIPTIONSWERE RELATED TO THE PRIMARY kND SECONDARY EFFEiCTS OFTHERMONuCLEAR ATTACK* THEY wERE COMPARED W:TH tORETRAUITIONAL DESCRIPTIONS OF THE INSTITUTIONS AND WITHTWO SIMPLIFIED POSTATTACK SrENARIGs REPRESENT!NG THEpRIMARY EFFECrS OF A HEAVY COUNTER FORCE AND A HEAVYCOUNTER INDUSTRY ATTACK* (AUTHOR) (U)o00UNCLASSIFIED/ZMML7