Civil Defense Systems: Social Impact and ... - The Black Vault

UNCLASSIFIEDDOC REPORT BIBLIOGRAPHY SEARCH CONTROL Noi /ZMML7AD-601 467HUGHES AIRCRAFT CO FULLERTON CALIFOCD SOFT TARGET STUDy. (U)DESCRIPTIVE NOTE: FINAL REPT.APR 69 Z13PREPT* NO. FR-46'14-66CONTRACT: OCO 0562 277UNCLASSIFIED REPORTSUPPLEMENTARYNOTE:DESCRIPTORS: (*CIVIL DEFENSE SYSTEMS. EFFECTIVENESS),SHELTERS, NUCLEAR EXPLOSION DAMAGE, NUCLEAR *ARFARECASUALTIES, RADIATION EFFECTS, COSTS. PROGRAMING(cuMPUTERS), COMPUTERS (U)THIS REPORT DESCRIBES METHODOLOGY AND ORIGINALCOMPUTER PROGRAMS WHICH HAVE BEEN DEVELOPLD TO ASSISTIN THE ACCOMPLISHMENT OF THF STUDY OBJECTIVE. TwOCOMPUTER PROGRAMS ARE EMPHASIZED* THE DYNAMICANALYZER PROGRAM CALCULATES THE EFFECTIVENESS OFSPECIFIED SHELTER SYSTEMS IN PROTECTING THEPOPULATION FROM PARTICULAR ATTACKS. POPULATIONMOBILITY AND FALLOUT FIELDS WHICH DEPEND ON BOTH TIMEAND POSITION ARE CONSIDERED. THE WEIGHTED-STRATEGy, MULTIPLE SHELTER TYPE MIX ANDLOCATION OPTIMIZER COMPUTES THE OPTIMALEFFECTIVENESS VERSUS COST CURVE OVER THE RANGE FROMZERO COST TO THE COST OF THE MOST EFFECTIVE SYSTEMPOSSIbLE WITH A GIVEN SHELTER CATALOG. THISPROGRAM ALSO DETERMINES THE MIX AND DEPLOYMENT OFSHELTERS AT DESIRED COST/EFFECTIVENESS LEVELS,SOFT TARGET STUDY ACTIVITY HAS SHOWN THAT THEREIS A DIFFERENCE IN THE INTENSITY AND RELATIVEINTENSITY OF THE DIFFERENT WEAPON EFFECTS FOR CITIESNEAR SOFT AND HARD TARGETS. HO*EVER, ALL *EAPoNEFFECTS NEED TO BE CONSIDERED FOR BOTH CASES. THESIGNIFICANCE OF THIS FACT IS THAT THE PROCEDURESDEVELOPED UNDER THE SOFT TARGET STUDY MAY BEAPPLIED TO THE STUDY OF CIVIL DEFENSECOUNTERMEASURES FOR CITIES IN ANY TARGETINGSITUATION. (AUTHOR) (U)31UNCLASSIFIED/ZMML7