NCC Report No. 1 - (IMD), Pune

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NEW STATISTICAL MODELS FORLONG RANGE FORECASTING OFSOUTHWEST MONSOON RAINFALLOVER INDIAM. RajeevanD. S. PaiAnil Kumar RohillaNational Climate CentreIndia Meteorological Department<strong>Pune</strong> – 411 005.
Page 4 and 5: 1. IntroductionIn an agricultural c
Page 6: However, in 2004, the forecast for
Page 10 and 11: the chances of blocking highs and i
Page 13 and 14: The most sensible approach for sele
Page 15 and 16: The second step in the EMR model de
Page 17 and 18: into E via the matrix transformatio
Page 19 and 20: Two PPR models were developed, one
Page 21 and 22: Further, the second task of identif
Page 23 and 24: are shown in Table-6. The RMSE calc
Page 25 and 26: April and the second stage or updat
Page 27 and 28: account the variability more accura
Page 29 and 30: presented to the scientists at the
Page 31 and 32: Gadgil, S., Vinaychandran, P.N., Fr
Page 33 and 34: McBride, J.L. and Nicholls, N., 198
Page 35 and 36: Rasmusson, E.M., Carpenter T.H., 19
Page 37 and 38: Table - 1 : Details of Predictors u
Page 39 and 40: Table - 5 : Model statistics of the
Page 41 and 42: Fig.1. Geographical locations of th
Page 43 and 44: N. EUROPE MSLP TENDENCY ANOM.STD. I
Page 45 and 46: 21 YEARS MOVING C.C BETWEEN ISMR AN
Page 47 and 48: SELECTION OF DEVELOPMENT PERIOD12RM
Page 49 and 50: Fig. 10. The left figure shows grap
Page 51: 25PERFORMANCE OF SUPER ENSEMBLE MOD

NCC Report No. 1 - (IMD), Pune

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