NCC Report No. 1 - (IMD), Pune

More documents

Recommendations

Info

N. ATLANTIC MSLP ANOMALYSTD. ISMR3210-1-2-3-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3STD. MSLP ANOMALYNE NE PACIFIC U850 U850 ANOMALYSTD. ISMR3210-1-2-3-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3STD. ZONAL WIND ANOMALYFig. 2. (contd.) Scatter plots of the ISMR against the 9 predictorsof SET-I & SET-II42
21 YEARS MOVING C.C BETWEEN ISMR AND THE PREDICTORS0.800.60N ATLEQSEINDO0.40NINO3.4Correlation Coefficient0.200.00-0.20-0.40EUROPEE ASIANATL-0.60NWEUR-0.80WWV-1.00NCPC_U850197019721974197619781980198219841986198819901992199419961998200020022004YEAR ENDING 21 YEARS MOVING WINDOWFig. 3.21 years moving C.C between ISMR and the 9 predictors ofSET-I & SET-IIFig. 4. A simple feed forward neural network with 1 hidden layer of 2 tangentsigmoid neurons and output layer with one linear neuron.43
Page 2: NEW STATISTICAL MODELS FORLONG RANG
Page 5 and 6: For the long range forecasting (LRF
Page 9 and 10: computed as the average of surface
Page 11: tropical Pacific Ocean in boreal wi
Page 14 and 15: to a model with smallest model size
Page 16 and 17: using the best development period a
Page 18 and 19: the most “interesting” projecti
Page 20 and 21: Where, Net j denotes the weighted s
Page 22 and 23: The climatological forecast for a g
Page 24 and 25: period of 1981-2004 were 6.89% and
Page 26 and 27: chance of failure but no guarantee
Page 28 and 29: EMR-II were based on the data of 19
Page 30 and 31: ReferencesAngell J. K., 1981, Compa
Page 32 and 33: Iyengar R.N and Raghukanth, S.T.G.,
Page 34 and 35: Parthasarathy, B., Rupa Kumar, K. a
Page 36 and 37: Walker, G. T., 1923, Correlation in
Page 38 and 39: Table - 3 : Inter-correlation among
Page 40 and 41: Table - 8: Model statistics of the
Page 42 and 43: SE INDIAN OCEAN SST ANOMALYSTD. ISM
Page 46 and 47: ADJUSTED R-SQUARE Vs MODEL SIZE: DA
Page 48 and 49: PERFORMANCE OF ENSEMBLE MODEL: JUNE
Page 50 and 51: 25PERFORMANCE OF ANN MODELS FOR THE

NCC Report No. 1 - (IMD), Pune

Create successful ePaper yourself

Delete template?

Save as template?