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Lobell, D. and C. Field, 2007: Global scale climate–crop yield relationships and the impactsof recent warming. Environ. Res. Lett., 2(1), pp. 7.Madden, R. A., 1976: Estimates of the Natural Variability of Time-Averaged Sea-LevelPressure. Monthly Weather Review, 104, pp. 942-952.McGregor, J., 1997: Regional climate modelling. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics,63(1-2), pp. 105-117.McSweeney, C., M. New and G. Lizcano, 2010: UNDP Climate Change Country ProfilesNepal. [Online] Available at: http://www.geog.ox.ac.uk/research/climate/projects/undpcp/UNDP_reports/Nepal/Nepal.lowres.report.pdf[Accessed July 2012].Medany, M., A. Hegazy, H. Kabiel and M. Maez, 2007: Prediction of Seed Germination andSeeding Growth of Four Crop Plants as affected by Root Zone Temperature. World J. Agric.Sci., 3(6), pp. 714-720.Meehl, G. A., T. F. Stocker, W. D. Collins, P. Friedlingstein, A. T. Gaye, J. M. Gregory, A.Kitoh, R. Knutti, J. M. Murphy, A. Noda, S. C. B. Raper, I. G. Watterson, A. J. Weaver andZ. C. Zhao, 2007: Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The PhysicalScience Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of theIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen,M. Marquis, K. B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H. L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, Chapter 10, pp. 747–845.Met Office, 2005: Climate change and the greenhouse effect: a briefing from the HadleyCentre, United Kingdom: The Met Office.Mishra, A., M. Whitten, J. W. Ketelaar and V. M. Salokhe, 2007: The System of RiceIntensification (SRI): a challenge for science, and an opportunity for farmer empowermenttowards sustainable agriculture. International Journal of Agriculture Sustainability, 4(3), pp.193-212.MoAF, 2012: www.moaf.gov.bt.[Online] Available at: http://www.moaf.gov.bt [Accessed 20June 2012].Nakicenovic, N., J. Alcamo, G. Davis, B. Vries, J. Fenhann, S. Gaffin, K. Gregory, A.Grübler and T. Y. Jung, T. Kram, E. L. L. Rovere, L. Michaelis, S. Mori, T. Morita, W.Pepper, H. Pitcher, L. Price, K. Riahi, A. Roehrl, H. H. Rogner, A. Sankovski, M.Schlesinger, P. Shukla, S. Smith, R. Swart, S. Rooijen, N. Victor and Z. Dadi, 2000: SpecialReport on Emission Scenarios, Working Group III, Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange (IPCC), Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 595.54
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UNIVERSITY OF READINGDepartment of
Page 3 and 4:
List of AbbreviationsAOGCMBCCFCRUDH
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Table of ContentsAcknowledgement ..
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List of FiguresFigure 1-1 Map of Bh
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Figure 5-5 Boxplots for JJA daily m
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Chapter One1 Introduction1.1 Bhutan
Page 13 and 14: al., 1998), as it depends on the ty
Page 15 and 16: 1.4 Plan of DissertationThe remaini
Page 17 and 18: Figure 2-1 Observed monthly mean ai
Page 19 and 20: productivity. The wheat is grown mo
Page 21 and 22: 2.3 Atmosphere and hydrological var
Page 23 and 24: 2.3.2 Rainfall and water availabili
Page 25 and 26: in Spain. Each of these five regres
Page 27 and 28: Figure 3-1 Map of Bhutan showing th
Page 29 and 30: The pattern of rainfall in 1993 and
Page 31 and 32: The crops are generally grown durin
Page 33 and 34: global temperatures (McSweeney, et
Page 35 and 36: assessment and adaptation due to cl
Page 38 and 39: ice yield (tonne/acre)0.8 1.0 1.2 1
Page 40 and 41: 19901991199219931994199519961997199
Page 42 and 43: Table 4-2 Parameter estimates and R
Page 44 and 45: Table 4-3 Parameter estimates and R
Page 46 and 47: Chapter Five5 Regional climate mode
Page 48 and 49: We now have to combine these three
Page 50 and 51: model JJA5 10 15 20 25 30model SOmo
Page 52 and 53: Figure 5-4 Boxplots for JJASO daily
Page 54 and 55: Chapter Six6 Crop yield projections
Page 56 and 57: BC projection. The projected rice y
Page 58 and 59: Chapter Seven7 Conclusion and Summa
Page 60 and 61: explain the variation yield of crop
Page 62 and 63: Ferris, R., R. Ellis, T. Wheeler an
Page 66: UN, 2011: The Least Developed Count
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