Official estimates put typhoon damage in <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>,the Philippines, Korea and Japan in 1981 at $11,992.5million. <strong>The</strong> loss <strong>of</strong> life is not accurately known, but isbelieved to be more than 2 000 a year on average inSoutheast Asia alone.A mature typhoon is malevolent, capricious and extremelydangerous. It is almost unbelievably powerful. Oneestimate is that an average tropical cyclone generates some20 million megawatts <strong>of</strong> mechanical power - enough, ifconverted into electricity, to power more than 6 000 citiesthe size <strong>of</strong> <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>.<strong>The</strong> formation, development and progression <strong>of</strong> a tropicalcyclone is a complex process. Modern technology, includingsatellite surveillance, allows man to watch and track a typhoon,thus partly reducing its potential to cause harm, but the details<strong>of</strong> cyclone formation are still not fully understood. However,it is known that three basic conditions must exist:• <strong>The</strong> sea surface temperature must be higher than 26°C;• Air at low levels must converge inwards over a largearea, picking up moisture from the sea. This moisture latercondenses to form rain, releasing enormous amounts <strong>of</strong>latent heat, and this heat is the main energy which powers atyphoon.• Air flow at high levels must be divergent, to sustainthree-dimensional circulation.A tropical cyclone is a huge rotating mass <strong>of</strong> warm,humid air, with the lowest sea level pressure near the centre.A typhoon has a relatively calm centre, or eye, averagingsome 50 kilometres in diameter. This is surrounded by walls<strong>of</strong> cloud up to 20 kilometres thick.<strong>The</strong> strongest winds rotate anti-clockwise (in the northernhemisphere; in the southern hemisphere the rotation isclockwise). Outside this wall <strong>of</strong> cloud are the spiral rainbands which give the typhoon its characteristic appearanceon a radar screen.In tropical latitudes, typhoons move at relatively slowspeeds, but their pace, like that <strong>of</strong> a plodding cargo ship, can90
move them a substantial distance in a day. For example,Typhoon Wanda in 1962 moved from north <strong>of</strong> Luzon in thePhilippines to <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong> in less than two days.<strong>The</strong> <strong>Royal</strong> Observatory's visual storm warning signalsystem is related to the distance a storm is away from <strong>Hong</strong><strong>Kong</strong> and the expected wind conditions in the territory.<strong>The</strong> first step is the hoisting <strong>of</strong> the Standby signal, No. 1,meaning that a tropical cyclone is centered within about 400nautical miles <strong>of</strong> <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong> and may affect the territory.<strong>The</strong> No. 1 is an advisory signal, indicating potentiallydestructive winds. (For a full description <strong>of</strong> <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>'stropical cyclone warning systems, their meaning and theprecautions to be taken, see Appendix.)Next, as the storm moves closer to <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>, theStrong Wind signal, No. 3, is raised, indicating that windswith sustained speeds <strong>of</strong> 22—33 knots are expected, or areblowing. Gusts may reach 60 knots. <strong>The</strong> No. 3 signal aimsto give about 12 hours warning <strong>of</strong> strong winds in VictoriaHarbour.As wind speeds increase, a Gale or Storm signal, No. 8, ishoisted. <strong>The</strong>re are four signals to indicate the generaldirection from which the winds are expected to blow -northwest, southwest, southeast, northeast. <strong>The</strong>y indicatethat a gale or storm is expected, or blowing, with sustainedwinds <strong>of</strong> 34—63 knots and gusts which may exceed 100knots.A No. 8 signal is a signal for action. Schools, stores, lawcourts, government <strong>of</strong>fices, banks and businesses close.Public transport - particularly buses and ferries - may stoprunning at short notice. Emergency services go on full alert.Depending on the direction and strength <strong>of</strong> the wind, theairport may be closed to departures and incoming flightsdiverted. Small craft head for typhoon shelters and the crews<strong>of</strong> larger vessels strengthen their mooring lines.Because <strong>of</strong> its effect on commerce, the hoisting <strong>of</strong> a No. 8signal must be carefully timed, with the need for sufficientwarning weighed against possibly unnecessary disruption <strong>of</strong>91
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UNIVERSITY OFHQ,NG KONG>**"/////»I
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The Royal Observatory, Hong KongJIM
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The effect of climate on human cond
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IntroductionIifc on earth is possib
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Theories had been developed: as ear
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Then came another important scienti
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thirty feet high, huge grotesque lo
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Ancient Chinese astronomical instru
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Chapter 1KSJSJOJ/ do think that, of
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work of the observatory made no pro
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its physical observations of the ph
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period. The main building was recta
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on metal pipe frames, were too ligh
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Blackhead's Hill (Signal Hill) and
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many previous storms when the wind
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coast ports and the police in fact
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European assistants, at least one o
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... Mr. da Silva has resigned. . .
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few minutes' warning of one of the
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water height by up to several metre
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I he early European traders, mercha
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the sun's rays in tropical climates
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IndexAbel, Clarkevisit to Hong Kong
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Macdonnell, Governor Sir Richard, 2