<strong>The</strong> first steps towards scientific weather forecastingbegan with Heinrich Wilhelm Brandes, who drew aweather map in 1820 based on information gathered by theMannheim society.About the same Time, W. C. Redfield in New Yorkdrew charts <strong>of</strong> hurricanes, showing their rotary andprogressive motion. In the following two decades, scientistsin the United States and Britain established, as themeteorologist P. A. Sheppard said, 'the existence <strong>of</strong>characteristic patterns <strong>of</strong> pressure, wind and weather(depression, anti-cyclone, etc.) and empirical rules for theirdevelopment, movement, and the accompanying sequence<strong>of</strong> weather changes.'Despite scientific advances, the prediction <strong>of</strong> severeweather, particularly in the Far East, still depended heavilyon local lore and custom. One colourful description <strong>of</strong> early<strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong> 'forecasting' occurs in an account <strong>of</strong> thevoyages <strong>of</strong> the Nemesis, the first ironclad steamship in theregion, published in 1845:Our squadron, after its return from Canton, was exposed to thefull fury <strong>of</strong> one <strong>of</strong> these hurricanes, while it lay in the harbour[<strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>] previously to our advance upon Amoy. <strong>The</strong>Chinese, although ignorant <strong>of</strong> the use <strong>of</strong> the barometer, acquirefrom experience a tolerably accurate knowledge <strong>of</strong> theindications which determine the approach <strong>of</strong> these dreadedtyphoons ... It is a curious and novel sight to watch thepreparations which the Chinese make for the approachingstorm; the mixture <strong>of</strong> superstitious observance and prudentprecaution which they adopt, either in the hope <strong>of</strong> averting thethreatening tempest, or <strong>of</strong> securing themselves against itsimmediate effects. <strong>The</strong> sultry, oppressive feeling <strong>of</strong> theatmosphere, the deep black clouds, and other indications, warnthem to be prepared; and, from the noise and excitement whichsoon take place among the Chinese, one would rather imaginethey were celebrating some festival <strong>of</strong> rejoicing than deprecatingthe fury <strong>of</strong> the gods. Many <strong>of</strong> their houses, on these occasions,are decorated with lanterns stuck upon long poles twenty or14
thirty feet high, huge grotesque looking figures and variousdevices. <strong>The</strong> beating <strong>of</strong> gongs, the firing <strong>of</strong> crackers, andexplosion <strong>of</strong> little bamboo petards, from one end <strong>of</strong> the town tothe other, and in all the boats along the shore, create such a dinand confusion, that a stranger cannot help feeling that there mustbe danger at hand, <strong>of</strong> some kind or other, besides that <strong>of</strong> a storm.... Frequently all the threatening appearances which call forththese preparations pass <strong>of</strong>f without producing a typhoon. <strong>The</strong>flashes <strong>of</strong> lightning are fearfully quick and brilliant; the peals <strong>of</strong>thunder are almost deafening; the huge black clouds hanggloomily over the mountains, or are banded across from one sideto the other, pouring their waters in torrents upon the basinbetween them. In this way the storm at length subsides, and thehorrors <strong>of</strong> a typhoon are averted.<strong>The</strong> demonstration <strong>of</strong> the electric telegraph in 1843 wasto lead to a revolution in weather forecasting, particularlyfor such things as storm warnings.Public interest in more accurate forecasting, aided by thetelegraph, had one adverse effect on the development <strong>of</strong>scientific meteorology. <strong>The</strong> concentration on what wasexpected to occur delayed the investigation <strong>of</strong> why it wouldhappen.<strong>The</strong> First International Meteorological Conference washeld in Brussels in August 1853. Appropriately, it waspreoccupied with maritime meteorological problems,reflecting contemporary interest in the world's expandingmaritime trade routes.In August 1872, another conference was held in Leipzig.It laid the groundwork for the First International MeteorologicalCongress, held in Vienna the following year, andagreed on standard methods <strong>of</strong> observation and analysis,including the use <strong>of</strong> a single set <strong>of</strong> symbols.<strong>The</strong> Vienna congress, among other things, helped topromote the idea <strong>of</strong> meteorology as an internationalconcern. <strong>The</strong> English essayist and critic John Ruskin,commenting on the formation <strong>of</strong> a meteorological societyin London during the same period, noted:15
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Such detailed rules failed to impre
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the periods before winter droughts
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crossed into Hong Kong, followed by
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inlet of Tola Harbour in the New Te
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The war in Europe had spurred the d
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Inset: The backs of these cigarette
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It 8 am on 8 December 1941, 12 Japa
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The records are all in pencil, neat
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The civil staff was soon put to the
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The department is in fact primarily
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temperature down to 3J°C at the Ob
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moving directly towards Hong Kong,
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If the weather in 1965 was comparat
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since Typhoon Shirley in 1968. It h
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Radar observations early on 26 July
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almost as accurately as from a reco
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Waves smash over the praya at Kenne
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Chapter 5CLICKINGCCFTHEAt the prese
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November and December are normally
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move them a substantial distance in
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.. . wind blowing through the long
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for a series of fine weather and ca
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The typhoon of Saturday September 2
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Above: How the 1874 typhoon destroy
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Above: Aftermath of the 1923 blow w
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its of storm water which could be s
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he splitting of time into microscop
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The Third Congress of the World Met
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small craft. It includes 24-hour ar
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much of the Observatory's work invo
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The marine meteorology section of t
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The water shortage having become ve
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The signal was received by a helica
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The shock occurring yesterday after
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The Royal Observatory is part of tw
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acquired its own radar, which was u
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grass. Soil temperatures are read f
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* Vertical section through the atmo
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of Mineral Resources recommended a
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Much of Hong Kong's population live
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BibliographyABEL, Clarke, Narrative
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IndexAbel, Clarkevisit to Hong Kong
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Macdonnell, Governor Sir Richard, 2