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Annual report 2008/09 - Axpo Group

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Energy market<br />

The global economic crisis during the<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/<strong>09</strong> fi nancial year signifi cantly<br />

changed the global and European energy<br />

markets. These changes concerned<br />

energy prices and the demand for electricity<br />

and primary energy as well as<br />

investments in the energy sector.<br />

Collapse of primary energy and<br />

electricity prices<br />

During the fi rst six months of the<br />

<strong>2008</strong>/<strong>09</strong> fi nancial year, prices for crude<br />

oil, coal and gas at times plunged by<br />

around 50%. The price for CO2 emission<br />

rights in the European emissions trading<br />

system also contracted.<br />

Prices only began to stabilize in<br />

20<strong>09</strong>, albeit at a lower level than before<br />

the fi nancial crisis, when the fi rst<br />

indications that the economic crisis<br />

might be waning appeared in the middle<br />

of the year. Electricity prices did<br />

not fall further, and crude oil became<br />

more expensive again. However, there<br />

has been no indication of any increases<br />

in demand and prices on the electricity<br />

market to date.<br />

Stable demand for electricity<br />

in Switzerland<br />

Gas prices decoupled from oil and fell<br />

substantially, resulting, among other<br />

things, in a reduction in electricity generation<br />

costs in gas- and coal-fi red<br />

power plants, which in turn meant that<br />

prices on the electricity markets<br />

dropped. The main contributor to the<br />

lower electricity prices was shrinking<br />

demand. In France, Germany and Italy,<br />

demand shrank by 1.4%, 2.3% and 5.4%<br />

respectively in the fi rst quarter of the<br />

year under review (International Energy<br />

Agency IEA, 20<strong>09</strong>). This contraction<br />

in demand is mainly due to falling demand<br />

from industry, especially the<br />

steel sector. In Switzerland, however,<br />

electricity demand remained stable,<br />

with end consumption largely on a par<br />

with the previous year. A small dip<br />

was observed in spring, but this was<br />

only partially due to economic effects.<br />

The weather also had an impact. The<br />

deciding factor for the stability of<br />

domestic demand was the steadily growing<br />

demand from private households<br />

and the service sector.<br />

Negative effects on investments<br />

According to IEA studies, the economic<br />

crisis had a threefold negative effect on<br />

investment in the energy sector: fi rstly,<br />

lending policy was stricter, secondly,<br />

project profi tability dropped in view<br />

of lower energy prices, and thirdly, de-<br />

Electricity price trends<br />

EUR/MWh<br />

0 25 50 75 100<br />

0 50 100 150 200<br />

1.7.<strong>2008</strong> 1.10.<strong>2008</strong><br />

1.1.20<strong>09</strong><br />

1.4.20<strong>09</strong><br />

EEX spot price<br />

Crude oil, gas and coal price trends<br />

in CHF<br />

1.7.<strong>2008</strong><br />

1.10.<strong>2008</strong><br />

API No.2 coal price for 2010 delivery (USD/tonne)<br />

Front-month Brent crude oil price (USD/barrel)<br />

TTF gas price, 2010 delivery (EUR/MWh)<br />

Read more about the<br />

demand for electricity at<br />

www.iea.org<br />

1.1.20<strong>09</strong> 1.4.20<strong>09</strong><br />

1.7.20<strong>09</strong><br />

1.7.20<strong>09</strong>

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