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Weather and Climate Extremes in a Changing Climate. Regions of ...

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sity from the mid-1970s<br />

to early 1980s are also<br />

suggested by substantial<br />

pressure decreases at an<br />

elevation above sea level<br />

<strong>of</strong> about 3000 m over the<br />

eastern North Pacific <strong>and</strong><br />

North America (Graham,<br />

1994), <strong>in</strong>dicat<strong>in</strong>g that the<br />

pattern <strong>of</strong> variability <strong>of</strong><br />

extreme storm conditions<br />

observed at San Francisco<br />

(as shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 2.21)<br />

likely extends over much<br />

<strong>of</strong> the North Pacific bas<strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> the United States.<br />

The oscillatory pattern <strong>of</strong><br />

variability is thought to be<br />

<strong>in</strong>fluenced by teleconnections from the tropics,<br />

predom<strong>in</strong>ately dur<strong>in</strong>g ENSO events (Trenberth<br />

<strong>and</strong> Hurrell, 1994), result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a deepened<br />

Aleutian low shifted to the south <strong>and</strong> east that<br />

causes both ETC <strong>in</strong>tensification <strong>and</strong> a shift <strong>in</strong><br />

storm track. It is <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g to note that peaks <strong>in</strong><br />

the 5-year mov<strong>in</strong>g average <strong>in</strong> Figure 2.21 generally<br />

correspond to peaks <strong>in</strong> extreme ra<strong>in</strong>fall <strong>in</strong><br />

Figure 2.10, suggest<strong>in</strong>g that the <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>of</strong> El<br />

Niño <strong>and</strong> broad-scale atmospheric circulation<br />

patterns across the Pacific that affect sea level<br />

variability along the West Coast are associated<br />

with storm systems that affect ra<strong>in</strong>fall variability<br />

across the United States.<br />

The amplitude <strong>and</strong> distribution <strong>of</strong> ocean wave<br />

energy measured by ocean buoys is determ<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

by ETC <strong>in</strong>tensity <strong>and</strong> track location. Changes <strong>in</strong><br />

long period (>12 sec), <strong>in</strong>termediate period, <strong>and</strong><br />

short period (

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