GLOBAL FORECAST

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36 | Center for Strategic and International Studies
PART 4 russia, europe, and eurasia Global Forecast 2016 | 37
Page 1: 2016 GLOBAL FORECAST editors CRAIG
Page 4 and 5: about csis For over 50 years, the C
Page 6 and 7: Introduction CRAIG COHEN WASHINGTON
Page 8 and 9: 6 | Center for Strategic and Intern
Page 10 and 11: Reconnecting of Asia JOHN J. HAMRE
Page 12 and 13: 10 | Center for Strategic and Inter
Page 14 and 15: America’s Changing Role in the Wo
Page 16 and 17: A selective engagement approach to
Page 18 and 19: tional, military, and economic mean
Page 22 and 23: ole in international affairs. Now w
Page 26 and 27: ISIS (Re)Writes History JON B. ALTE
Page 28 and 29: enth-century society of pious belie
Page 30 and 31: and daily exhibitions of terror and
Page 32 and 33: Iran after the Agreement ANTHONY H.
Page 34 and 35: understanding that the United State
Page 36 and 37: Israeli military leaders predict th
Page 40 and 41: Putin’s Europe HEATHER A. CONLEY
Page 42 and 43: far-right, anti-Semitic Jobbik part
Page 44 and 45: Predicting Russian behavior is hard
Page 46 and 47: A NATO Strategy for the Eastern Fla
Page 48 and 49: Sino-Russian Cooperation JEFFREY MA
Page 50 and 51: Interbank Financial Transaction) sy
Page 54 and 55: Reform Cold, Politics Hot: Presiden
Page 56 and 57: pushing ahead more aggressively on
Page 58 and 59: not just hypothetical; they are alr
Page 60 and 61: Geopolitical Consequences of China
Page 62 and 63: Chinese leaders are actively pursui
Page 66 and 67: By 2030, the Asia-Pacific region wi
Page 68 and 69: is not expected to be a major playe
Page 70 and 71: North Korean Vulnerability? VICTOR
Page 72 and 73: downturn in the country’s stock e
Page 75 and 76: PART 6 africa
Page 77 and 78: Responses in Nigeria, South Africa,
Page 79 and 80: Terrorism in Sub-Saharan Africa THO
Page 81 and 82: states, sustaining itself through k
Page 83 and 84: PART 7 inside the pentagon Global F
Page 85 and 86: Three Fiscal Futures In the final w
Page 87 and 88: The Battle over How to Save Defense
Page 89:
apid acquisition actually happened
Page 92 and 93:
90 | Center for Strategic and Inter
Page 94 and 95:
What is one of the most significant
Page 96 and 97:
Nuclear Deterrence in a Disordered
Page 98 and 99:
The Need for Global Zero SHARON SQU
Page 100 and 101:
faith on effective measures relatin
Page 102 and 103:
Increased interest in missile-based
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state and substate actors has becom
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PART 9 energy and security
Page 109 and 110:
Implications of Sustained Low Oil P
Page 111 and 112:
e used to partially offset this “
Page 113 and 114:
Linking Subnational and Supranation
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Efficacy of Sanctions against Energ
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Iran. Both Russia and Iran can accu
Page 120 and 121:
Responding to the Closing of Democr
Page 122 and 123:
er to support the consolidation of
Page 124 and 125:
Soft Power and Security DANIEL RUND
Page 126 and 127:
After the Ebola Catastrophe J. STEP
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sense of—and account for—the wi
Page 130 and 131:
Food Insecurity, Conflict, and Stab
Page 132 and 133:
Despite its impressive economic gro
Page 134 and 135:
prisoners in a gesture of good fait
Page 136 and 137:
Winning the War of Ideas FARAH PAND
Page 138 and 139:
versity of religious belief, includ
Page 140 and 141:
contributors JON B. ALTERMAN is a s
Page 142 and 143:
MICHAEL J. GREEN is senior vice pre
Page 144 and 145:
FARAH PANDITH is a senior fellow at
Page 147:
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