DEVELOPMENT

4 The Afd2025 scenarios
BABEL 3.0
Foresighting for Development
The world is torn by severe political, economic, social and environmental tensions.
It is a world of extremes, where prosperous regions exist alongside highly fragile zones.
The world’s population continues to grow dramatically, while urban development
is poorly managed, and the energy transition is inadequate. Inequality explodes,
notably in many emerging countries. A global middle class has emerged, putting
greater pressure on resources. Dominated by China, the United States and Europe,
the world is divided into three main regional blocs. The major powers no longer
operate within a governance framework that provides robust regulation. The role
of the State remains important but it is jostled by digital globalization, which overlays
the reality of national borders. Globalization implies both domestic and external
challenges that are growing and hard to overcome.
Development agencies, steering through future worlds. Afd2025
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