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FOCUS<br />

of InterMedika, his international healthcare consultancy in<br />

downtown Bangkok.<br />

With the Internet becoming ever more prevalent and<br />

insurance premiums and co-payments increasing,<br />

Schroeder expects that patients will want more control<br />

over healthcare providers. “We may soon see something<br />

like TripAdvisor for healthcare,” he reflects. “Patients are<br />

picking up more of the bill, so inexpensive, quality, foreign<br />

alternatives are likely to become more important to them.”<br />

PLASTIC SURGERY WITH A HOLIDAY<br />

Bumrungrad is the poster child of medical tourism. It looks<br />

like a five-star hotel and has services to match. There are 21<br />

VIP suites, a Japanese restaurant, a McDonald’s, and a<br />

queue of people buying snacks from Starbucks. The hospital<br />

facilities include 19 operating rooms equipped for general<br />

surgery and surgical specialties, and 1,200 surgeons and<br />

dentists, of whom more than 200 are US board certified.<br />

Cost and quality are the key selling points for<br />

Bumrungrad, and for rivals such as Samitivej, Phyathai<br />

International and Bangkok Hospital. At Bumrungrad, a<br />

package for coronary artery bypass graft surgery costs<br />

$19,000. In the United States, an uninsured patient will be<br />

set back $80,000 at least for the same.<br />

Yet the success of Bumrungrad was accidental.<br />

Schroeder and his team re-opened the 12-storey hospital in<br />

late 1996, with 580 beds and a $60 million debt on their<br />

books. Then the 1997 Asian financial crisis hit. The Thai<br />

baht plummeted, “doubling our debt and halving our<br />

potential market overnight,” recalls Schroeder.<br />

During the crisis, squeezed middle-class Thais<br />

switched to the cheaper state-funded healthcare system.<br />

Underused private facilities, like Bumrungrad, went into<br />

survival mode and offered surplus capacity to foreigners<br />

from the region seeking medical and surgical treatments<br />

as a cost-effective alternative to providers at home.<br />

Consequently, Schroeder bristles slightly at the notion<br />

of “medical tourism,” noting the term can be misleading.<br />

“People who come for serious medical care don’t ask how<br />

close we are to the beaches. They come for quality<br />

procedures conducted at a fair price in an environment<br />

with good infrastructure.”<br />

CREATIVE ACCOUNTING<br />

The Thai industry really boomed after 9/11. Tightening visa<br />

conditions in Europe and the United States meant people<br />

from Arab countries preferred to take the seven-hour flight<br />

east to Bangkok. Today, Bumrungrad has an Islamic prayer<br />

room, a certified halal kitchen and more than 150<br />

interpreters, many of them Arabic for the benefit of Gulf<br />

Muslim patients, now one of its most important markets.<br />

Altogether, Bumrungrad serves 1.1 million patients a year,<br />

including 520,000 who visit from other nations. In 2013, it<br />

generated $477 million in revenue. However, reliable data<br />

on global medical tourism is difficult to come by and the<br />

numbers are often overblown.<br />

In 2008, Deloitte projected that annual patient outflows<br />

from the US would be 10 million by 2012 and worth $21<br />

billion a year to developing countries. It was a brave<br />

prediction, considering most Americans do not even own<br />

valid passports. The figures were revised down one year<br />

later. Only 1.6 million Americans would be seeking<br />

healthcare outside the US in 2012.<br />

“Such projections invariably overestimate demand,”<br />

says Johanna Hanefeld, senior lecturer in health policy and<br />

systems at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical<br />

Medicine. In 2010, only 167,000 medical tourists attended<br />

Thai hospitals, according to research she conducted with<br />

Thinakorn Noree and Richard Smith – far less than Deloitte<br />

and the Thai government expected. The Thai Ministry of<br />

Commerce estimated, for example, that in 2006, 1.2 million<br />

medical tourists accessed health services in Thailand.<br />

Malaysia is often touted as another medical tourism<br />

success story. The country welcomed more than 850,000<br />

global medical tourists and took in $230 million of revenue<br />

last year, according to the Malaysian Ministry of Health.<br />

Hanefeld has good reason to treat such predictions with a<br />

skeptical eye.<br />

The issue is how numbers are counted. For example,<br />

almost 30 million tourists visited Thailand in 2015. The<br />

group coming primarily for medical treatment was only a<br />

fraction. But Thailand counts every interaction with the<br />

healthcare system, from the consultation to the x-ray or CT<br />

scan, as well as the operation, as separate interactions. By<br />

this count, one person can have up to 20 treatments per<br />

visit. Such “creative accountancy” greatly inflates medical<br />

tourist numbers.<br />

Hanefeld believes that “medical tourism remains on a<br />

much smaller scale in Thailand than is promoted, so its<br />

effect on the domestic health system is limited.” She also<br />

believes it is unlikely that a global medical tourism market<br />

in Thailand, or indeed elsewhere, will develop soon along<br />

the line the boosters claim. “Most people want to be treated<br />

locally or at least in their home region when they’re sick,”<br />

she explains. There are also serious issues such as differing<br />

national judicial systems that mean there is little chance<br />

for compensation should malpractice suits arise, unless<br />

patients are prepared for a legal battle in the host country.<br />

Continuity of care can also be missing when the patient<br />

finally returns home.<br />

Based on the success of Bumrungrad and its rivals,<br />

Schroeder believes the value proposition for medical<br />

24 • Allianz

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