SPA 3e_ Teachers Edition _ Ch 6
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18/08/16 5:03 PMStarnes_<strong>3e</strong>_CH06_398-449_Final.indd 439<br />
Lesson 6.6<br />
The central Limit Theorem<br />
L e A r n i n g T A r g e T S<br />
d Determine if the sampling distribution of x is approximately normal when<br />
sampling from a non-normal population.<br />
d If appropriate, use a normal distribution to calculate probabilities involving x.<br />
In Lesson 6.5, you learned about the sampling distribution of the sample mean x<br />
when sampling from a normally distributed population. The following activity will<br />
help you explore what happens when you sample from non-normal populations.<br />
AcT iviT y<br />
Sampling from a non-normal population<br />
In this activity, we will use an applet to investigate the<br />
sampling distribution of the sample mean x when<br />
sampling from a non-normal population.<br />
1. go to http://onlinestatbook.com/stat_sim/sampling_dist/<br />
or search for “online statbook sampling<br />
distributions applet” and go to the website. Launch<br />
the applet and select the “Skewed” population. Set<br />
the bottom two graphs to display the mean—one<br />
Answers continued<br />
18. (a) Yes, a pie chart is appropriate<br />
here because the categories (method of<br />
communication) form parts of a whole.<br />
(b) The graph should not be described as<br />
skewed to the right because this is a distribution<br />
of categorical data not quantitative data.<br />
The categories could be graphed in any order.<br />
19. (a) The probabilities are all between 0<br />
and 1. Also, the sum of the probabilities is<br />
0.28 1 0.27 1 0.18 1 0.16 1 0.07 1 0.04 5 1<br />
(b) Using the complement rule,<br />
P(X ≥ 1) = 1− P(X = 0) = 1− 0.28 = 0.72<br />
(c) E(X) = m X = 0(0.28) + 1(0.27) + 2(0.18) +<br />
+ 3(0.16) + 4(0.07) + 5(0.04) = 1.59 devices<br />
s X = 1.422 devices<br />
for samples of size 2 and the other for samples of<br />
size 5. Click the “Animated” button a few times to be<br />
sure you see what’s happening. Then “Clear lower 3”<br />
and take 100,000 SRSs. Describe what you see.<br />
2. <strong>Ch</strong>ange the sample sizes to n 5 10 and n 516 and<br />
repeat Step 1. What do you notice?<br />
3. Now change the sample sizes to n 5 20 and<br />
n 5 25 and take 100,000 samples. Did this confirm<br />
what you saw in Step 2?<br />
4. Clear the page, and select “Custom” distribution<br />
from the drop-down menu at the top of the page.<br />
Click on a point on the horizontal axis, and drag<br />
up to create a bar. Make a distribution that looks<br />
as strange as you can. (Note: You can shorten a bar<br />
or get rid of it completely by clicking on the top<br />
of the bar and dragging down to the axis.) Then<br />
repeat Steps 1 to 3 for your custom distribution.<br />
Cool, huh?<br />
5. Summarize what you learned about the shape of<br />
the sampling distribution of x.<br />
439<br />
Learning Target Key<br />
The problems in the test bank are<br />
keyed to the learning targets using<br />
these numbers:<br />
d 6.6.1<br />
d 6.6.2<br />
18/08/16 5:03 PM<br />
BELL RINGER<br />
Thinking back to the “A penny for your<br />
thoughts?” activity, does the sampling<br />
distribution of the sample mean x always<br />
have the same shape? Does it have the<br />
same shape as the population distribution?<br />
Activity Overview<br />
Time: 15–18 minutes<br />
Materials: An Internet-connected device<br />
for each student or group of students<br />
Teaching Advice: This activity helps<br />
students understand the shape of the<br />
sampling distribution of x from nonnormal<br />
populations. Contrast this with<br />
the activity from the previous lesson<br />
where the population was normal. As<br />
noted in previous activities, it is best to<br />
have students work individually or in<br />
pairs, but the applet work can be done<br />
in larger groups or as an entire class. If<br />
your class didn’t do the activity in Lesson<br />
6.5, show the layout of the applet and<br />
demonstrate taking a few samples. In<br />
particular, show the animations for the<br />
second and third number line.<br />
This applet gives a visual of the<br />
population distribution (the top/first<br />
number line), the distribution of one<br />
sample (the second number line), and<br />
the sampling distribution (the third and<br />
fourth number lines). Point out these<br />
three distributions to your students.<br />
Make sure students click “Animated”<br />
in Step 1! Don’t let them miss the<br />
visual reminder of the process of<br />
random sampling. Also in Step 1, make<br />
sure students select “Mean” from the<br />
dropdown box next to the fourth<br />
number line in the applet.<br />
There are two mysterious statistics<br />
reported by the applet: skew and kurtosis.<br />
Neither is important for this course. The<br />
skewness statistic is a measure of the<br />
skewness of the distribution; the kurtosis<br />
statistic measures how light or heavy the<br />
tails of the distribution are relative to a<br />
normal distribution.<br />
Answers:<br />
1. The sampling distribution of the sample<br />
mean x for n 5 2 and n 5 5 have a<br />
mean near 8, which is the mean of the<br />
population. The standard deviation of<br />
the sampling distribution for n 5 5 is<br />
less than the variability of the sampling<br />
distribution for n 5 2, which is less than<br />
the variability of the population. The<br />
shape of both sampling distributions<br />
is skewed right, but the sampling<br />
distribution for n 5 5 seems to be a<br />
little less skewed.<br />
2. The sampling distributions have the<br />
same mean as the population. The<br />
variability in the sampling distribution<br />
decreases as n increases. The shape of<br />
the sampling distribution is less skewed<br />
as n increases.<br />
Activity answers continue on page 440<br />
Lesson 6.6<br />
L E S S O N 6.6 • The Central Limit Theorem 439<br />
Starnes_<strong>3e</strong>_ATE_CH06_398-449_v3.indd 439<br />
11/01/17 3:57 PM