The Intelligence Review | volume 1 | issue 2 |
This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eleven CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics include the gun control debate in the United States, Russia’s involvement in the Syrian Civil War, the future of Kurdish nationalism, and the internal Palestinian dispute between Hamas and Fatah. Papers in this volume also examine the current state of Islamist extremism, and extrapolate on its future prospects in the Middle East, West Africa, the Lake Chad region, as well as in Southeast and Central Asia. CIB analysts propose carefully crafted and informed forecasts that outline future developments in some of the world's most unpredictable hot spots.
This volume is the product of a collaboration between the European Intelligence Academy (EIA) and the Chanticleer Intelligence Brief (CIB), a student-run initiative supported by the Department of Politics at Coastal Carolina University in Conway, South Carolina, United States. Eleven CIB analysts tackle some of the most pressing and timely questions confronting intelligence observers today. Topics include the gun control debate in the United States, Russia’s involvement in the Syrian Civil War, the future of Kurdish nationalism, and the internal Palestinian dispute between Hamas and Fatah. Papers in this volume also examine the current state of Islamist extremism, and extrapolate on its future prospects in the Middle East, West Africa, the Lake Chad region, as well as in Southeast and Central Asia. CIB analysts propose carefully crafted and informed forecasts that outline future developments in some of the world's most unpredictable hot spots.
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efore the end of 2017. Even if the KRG begins the push for independence in 2017, the<br />
Iraqi government is unlikely to surrender to the demands of the KRG. Baghdad has a<br />
considerable interest in maintaining the integrity of Iraq’s borders, along with controlling<br />
its undivided oil revenues. Any potential conflict would likely bring both regional and<br />
world powers into the fray, possibly leading to a prolonged war. Considering these factors<br />
holistically, it can be stated with high confidence that it is unlikely that Iraqi Kurdistan will<br />
achieve independence in 2017.<br />
References Cited<br />
Al-Marashi, I. (2016) “<strong>The</strong> Kurdish Referendum and Barzani’s Political Survival”, Al Jazeera, 4<br />
February <br />
accessed on 5 December 2016.<br />
Anonymous (2015) “Iraqi Kurdistan Profile - Timeline”, BBC, 1 August accessed on 5 December 2016.<br />
Anonymous (2016a) “Iraqi Kurdistan Profile”, BBC, 5 February < http://www.bbc.com/news/<br />
world-middle-east-28147263> accessed on 5 December 2016.<br />
Anonymous (2016b) “Iraqi Kurds Will Push for Independence After Mosul is Freed-PM”, Russia<br />
Today, 29 October accessed<br />
on 5 December 2016.<br />
Bar’el, Z. (2016) “Instead of Uniting, Kurds Are Busy Fighting Each Other”, Haaretz, 5 December<br />
accessed on 5 December<br />
2016.<br />
Cleveland, W.L., and Bunton, M. (2013) A History of the Modern Middle East, Westview Press,<br />
Boulder, Colorado.<br />
Rohan, B., and Szlanko, B. (2016) “As Iraq’s Kurds Eye Statehood, a Border Takes Shape”, <strong>The</strong><br />
Washington Post, 5 December accessed on 5 December 2016.<br />
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