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Indian Gold Book:Indian Gold Book - Gold Bars Worldwide

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GOLD JEWELLERY CONSUMERS<br />

RURAL VERSUS URBAN DEMAND<br />

The sentiment of leading retailers suggests that the urban population may account for as much as 40% of<br />

gold jewellery purchases at this time.<br />

Their estimates of urban demand in 10 States range from 40% to 65%.<br />

State Indicative % split of demand<br />

within the State<br />

Urban Rural Total<br />

population population<br />

Maharashtra 65 35 100<br />

Uttar Pradesh 60 40 100<br />

Punjab 50 50 100<br />

Rajasthan 50 50 100<br />

Gujarat 50 50 100<br />

Kerala 55 45 100<br />

Andhra Pradesh 40 60 100<br />

West Bengal 40 60 100<br />

Karnataka 40 60 100<br />

Tamil Nadu 40 60 100<br />

Range 40-65 35-60 100<br />

Source: Leading jewellery retailers in major cities.<br />

Although their indicative estimates for their States may not be accurate, large retailers generally report that urban demand<br />

(i.e. purchases by the population living and working in urban areas) became more important during the 1990s due to high<br />

industrial growth. In recent years, the agricultural sector in many States has been relatively depressed.<br />

Retailers also observe that the rural/urban split is not a static proportion. The rural population’s proportion is likely to<br />

increase in the future, especially in years when the agricultural economy is particularly strong.<br />

REGIONAL DEMAND<br />

Retailers, wholesalers and bullion dealers throughout the country report that the south is the most important<br />

gold jewellery market.<br />

Trade estimates of the south’s market share range from 35% to more than 50%.<br />

While there is consensus that the east has the lowest share, there is some disagreement over the relative size of the west<br />

and north.<br />

Anecdotal evidence suggests the following approximate split:<br />

Region Market share<br />

% Split<br />

South 40<br />

West 20-25<br />

North 20-25<br />

East 15<br />

Total 100<br />

Anecdotal evidence also indicates that the following States are particularly important within their regions.<br />

South. Tamil Nadu may account for 35%. There is little consensus about the relative size of Andhra Pradesh,<br />

Karnataka and Kerala. They are all large. The small State of Kerala is regarded as having the highest per capita<br />

consumption in the south and nationally.<br />

West. Gujarat and Maharashtra may account for 75%. Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh are viewed as less important.<br />

North. Uttar Pradesh and Punjab may account for 40%. Many large consumers in the north rely on New Delhi<br />

retailers. Rajasthan and Haryana (bordering New Delhi) and the other States are considered less important.<br />

East. West Bengal may account for 40%. Bihar and Orissa are regarded as less important. The small border States in the<br />

North East (Assam and others) are considered significant.<br />

AN INTRODUCTION TO THE INDIAN GOLD MARKET 121

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