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Climate Action 2016-2017

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TECHNOLOGY, TRANSPORT & URBANISATION<br />

term development of walking and cycling<br />

infrastructure. For energy efficiency, cities can<br />

take a leading role in adopting, monitoring<br />

and enforcing building energy codes for new<br />

construction.<br />

Urban density offers a significant<br />

opportunity for emissions reductions as less<br />

energy is needed to fulfil the same needs for<br />

things like heating and cooling. Equally, urban<br />

infrastructure design can curb transportrelated<br />

carbon emissions by reducing trips<br />

and trip distances, shifting activity to public<br />

transport, and promoting adoption of more<br />

efficient, low-carbon vehicles. Local and<br />

national policy decisions are key to shaping<br />

this future, through regulations on landuse<br />

planning, building codes and vehicle<br />

standards, pricing policies, and support for<br />

uptake of non-motorised and electric mobility.<br />

If this full transformation of urban energy<br />

systems could be realised, it would mean that<br />

CO 2<br />

emissions from urban energy use could be<br />

reduced by 75 per cent in 2050 compared with<br />

the track we are on today.<br />

This long-term shift ultimately moves<br />

the energy system away from fossil fuel<br />

combustion, while also making significant<br />

progress on combating air pollution. This<br />

is because the root causes of air pollution<br />

can be found in the energy sector. Coal is<br />

responsible for sulphur dioxide emissions<br />

– a cause of respiratory illnesses and a<br />

precursor of acid rain – while transport fuels,<br />

such as diesel, generate nitrogen oxides<br />

and particulate matter that can contribute<br />

to serious health issues such as asthma,<br />

lung cancer and heart disease. Cities can<br />

easily become pollution hotspots. The impact<br />

of vehicle emissions is heightened by the<br />

fact that they are discharged at street level,<br />

where pedestrians walk and breathe. This is<br />

a problem that will not go away tomorrow,<br />

despite strong efforts.<br />

This makes the urgent case for taking<br />

action today. In the near term, the World<br />

Energy Outlook Special Report: Energy and<br />

Air Pollution proposes a set of policies<br />

to avoid pollutant emissions while at the<br />

same time taking steps towards fulfilling<br />

Paris Agreement obligations. These policies<br />

include, among others, stronger efficiency<br />

policies for appliances and buildings, higher<br />

vehicle emission standards, reduced sulphur<br />

content in fuels, and a phase-out of fossil<br />

fuel consumption subsidies. This ‘Clean Air<br />

Scenario’ requires a small increase of 7 per<br />

cent in investment. But the benefits are<br />

massive: saving over 3 million lives in 2040<br />

while providing energy access for all and<br />

"Confronting the<br />

twin challenge of<br />

CO 2<br />

emissions and<br />

air pollution means<br />

dispensing with shortterm<br />

thinking and stopgap<br />

solutions."<br />

contributing to a peak in global CO 2<br />

emissions<br />

by 2020 (Figure 2).<br />

ENERGY ACCESS<br />

In 2013, an estimated 1.2 billion people – 17<br />

per cent of the global population – lacked any<br />

access to electricity, and an estimated 2.7<br />

billion relied on burning wood, charcoal, and<br />

agricultural waste to meet their cooking and<br />

heating needs, typically using inefficient stoves<br />

in poorly ventilated spaces. Solving both these<br />

problems together, expanding energy access<br />

and improving air quality can be mutually<br />

supportive. Overall, the extra impetus to the<br />

energy transition from the Clean Air Scenario<br />

means that global energy demand would<br />

be 13 per cent lower in 2040 than otherwise<br />

expected and, of the energy that is combusted,<br />

three-quarters would be subject to advanced<br />

pollution controls. These measures would have<br />

a dramatic impact on key pollutants, reversing<br />

the current trend towards worsening air<br />

pollution in many countries, particularly fastgrowing<br />

Asia and Africa.<br />

On top of these benefits, the Clean Air<br />

Scenario provides a pragmatic first step<br />

toward achieving the climate goal agreed in<br />

"the global fight against<br />

climate change and air<br />

pollution will be won or<br />

lost in the megacities<br />

of the world’s emerging<br />

economies."<br />

the Paris Agreement. For developing countries<br />

embarking for the first time on CO 2<br />

emission<br />

reduction goals, the associated benefits for air<br />

quality could be a powerful driver of action.<br />

Confronting the twin challenge of CO 2<br />

emissions and air pollution means dispensing<br />

with short-term thinking and stop-gap solutions.<br />

IEA analysis shows that proven energy policies<br />

and technologies can chart a new sustainable<br />

path for urbanisation that delivers major cuts in<br />

air pollution around the world and bring health<br />

benefits, broader access to energy and improve<br />

sustainability. In the spirit of the Paris Agreement,<br />

this is a time for bold, ambitious and strategic<br />

decision-making.<br />

It is no exaggeration to say that the global<br />

fight against climate change and air pollution<br />

will be won or lost in the megacities of the<br />

world’s emerging economies. Cities are<br />

naturally positioned to make these kinds of<br />

changes. In my role as Executive Director of<br />

the IEA I have been fortunate to travel to many<br />

of the world’s great cities, and I have seen<br />

first-hand their great potential. The density<br />

of human, economic and intellectual capital<br />

in these cities can and should be a driving<br />

force for the acceleration of clean energy<br />

development and deployment for the decades<br />

to come.<br />

Dr Fatih Birol is Executive Director of the<br />

IEA. Prior to assuming his current duties, he<br />

held the positions of Chief Economist and<br />

Director of Global Energy Economics, with<br />

responsibilities that included directing the<br />

flagship World Energy Outlook publication<br />

(www.worldenergyoutlook.org). Prior to<br />

joining the IEA in 1995, Dr Birol worked for a<br />

number of years as an oil market analyst at<br />

the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting<br />

Countries (OPEC) in Vienna. He has been<br />

named by Forbes magazine among the most<br />

powerful people in terms of influence on the<br />

world’s energy scene. He is the Chairman of<br />

the World Economic Forum’s (Davos) Energy<br />

Advisory Board and serves as a member of<br />

the UN Secretary-General’s Advisory Board on<br />

Sustainable Energy for All.<br />

The International Energy Agency (IEA,<br />

www.iea.org) is an autonomous organisation<br />

which works to ensure reliable, affordable<br />

and clean energy for its 29 member countries<br />

and beyond. The IEA has four main areas of<br />

focus: energy security, economic development,<br />

environmental awareness and engagement<br />

worldwide.<br />

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