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Climate Action 2016-2017

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RENEWABLES SURGE<br />

IN EMERGING MARKETS<br />

ENERGY<br />

by Paddy Padmanathan, President and CEO,<br />

ACWA Power<br />

Paddy Padmanathan, President and<br />

CEO, ACWA Power, describes the<br />

massive potential of the renewable<br />

energy sector, with a focus on projects<br />

in emerging regions.<br />

The climate change deal signed in 2015 at<br />

COP21 in Paris confirmed that the leaders<br />

of 200 nations are now committed to<br />

decarbonising power generation by 2050.<br />

They have recognised renewable energy as an<br />

important tool in limiting the rise of the ambient<br />

temperature on earth, without compromising the<br />

need to fuel social development and economic<br />

growth with reliable supplies of energy. At<br />

the time, it was our view that the deal had the<br />

potential to fundamentally change the way<br />

the world not only generates but also utilises<br />

electricity. Developments since then, particularly<br />

in emerging markets, have only served to<br />

reinforce this view.<br />

Countries in the Middle East and Africa all<br />

need significant new electricity generation<br />

capacity to keep pace with the rapidly growing<br />

need for industrialisation. This goes hand in hand<br />

with the creation of employment and serving<br />

the grossly underserved, even as the focus<br />

on efficiency starts reducing energy intensity<br />

in all areas of consumption. Countries in this<br />

region are also richly endowed with renewable<br />

resources, benefiting from strong sunshine and<br />

long daylight hours, some of the highest stable<br />

onshore wind speeds in the world, and more<br />

than adequate land space to develop large<br />

renewable generation plants.<br />

Given how innovation, technology<br />

development and competitive tension have<br />

made solar and wind energy cost-competitive<br />

compared with fossil fuel energy, the potential<br />

for these sectors’ growth is high, both to serve<br />

peak loads and for supply to remote isolated<br />

communities. Because battery storage is<br />

still expensive, photovoltaic (PV) and wind<br />

technologies have been criticised as intermittent,<br />

since they can be used only when the resource<br />

is available. Introducing into the system<br />

concentrated solar power (CSP) technology<br />

together with molten salt storage offers the<br />

prospect of competitively delivering renewable<br />

energy for more than 50 per cent of the electricity<br />

needs of every country in this region. While<br />

these technologies are more expensive now, they<br />

are reducing in cost with increasing levels of<br />

deployment, and will be able to serve consumers<br />

more flexibly. As volumes of deployment increase<br />

over the next decade, as more innovation comes<br />

into play and as costs are further reduced, there<br />

is the real prospect that all the electricity in<br />

this region can eventually be generated from<br />

renewable carbon neutral resources.<br />

THE PPP INVESTMENT ROUTE<br />

ACWA Power has been leading the way in<br />

propagating the deployment of renewable<br />

energy. Several years ahead of COP21, ACWA<br />

Power was one of the first power generators in<br />

the region to declare a voluntary target of at least<br />

5 per cent power generation from renewable<br />

sources within five years, and pushed ahead to<br />

"Both the models are<br />

achieving much more<br />

than simply renewable<br />

megawatts, without<br />

impacting the cost of the<br />

delivered energy."<br />

embark on pace-setting projects challenging<br />

the cost paradigm in both CSP and PV solar<br />

technologies. As we not only achieve but<br />

exceed our targets on developments that will be<br />

completed within the next two years, renewable<br />

energy plants in our portfolio will avoid more<br />

than 2.4 million tonnes of carbon dioxide a year.<br />

Already, <strong>2016</strong> has shown the way forward with<br />

a steady stream of projects being inaugurated<br />

or announced throughout the Middle East and<br />

Africa. The common thread running through<br />

these is the model they share, particularly<br />

popular in these emerging and frontier markets –<br />

public–private partnerships (PPPs).<br />

PPP project agreements typically transfer<br />

the responsibility to the private sector to design,<br />

build, finance, construct and operate the power<br />

generation plants, where the payment for the<br />

generated electricity is only made as the energy<br />

is dispatched. The private sector thus takes all<br />

risks such as technology, timely completion of<br />

new build, cost overrun in capital and operating<br />

cost and even the resource risk; with the<br />

public sector only taking demand risk as the<br />

energy is provided on long-term take or pay<br />

contracts. This model of contract procured on<br />

a transparent competitive procurement basis,<br />

where the tenderer is given the opportunity<br />

to offer the most competitive price instead of<br />

offering capacity within a preset feed-in tariff,<br />

has demonstrated the ability to deliver significant<br />

cost reductions. This privately financed and<br />

competitively procured model of infrastructure<br />

service provision not only removes from the<br />

state a significant capital investment burden,<br />

but also ensures the delivery of the most fit for<br />

purpose and efficient solutions that also comply<br />

with global environmental impact mitigation<br />

regulations and legislation.<br />

EXAMPLES OF NEW AFRICAN PROJECTS<br />

In the context of renewable energy, two<br />

shining examples of what can be achieved<br />

on this continent are the South African REFIT<br />

programme, procured by the IPP unit at the<br />

Treasury of the Ministry of Finance, and the<br />

Moroccan renewable energy programme<br />

procured by MASEN, the dedicated renewable<br />

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