The Star: October 25, 2018

14
Latest Christchurch news at www.star.kiwi
News
Thursday October 25 2018
Local
News
Now
The Star
Fire rages, homes at risk
Plan to house growing population
Greater Christchurch’s
population growth
over the next 30 years
is being planned for.
But how development
is split between
Christchurch, Selwyn
and Waimakariri
has changed since
the earthquakes.
Julia Evans reports
THE POPULATION of
Christchurch, Selwyn and
Waimakariri is expected to
increase by 150,000 over the
next 30 years, so plans are being
put in place to cater for growing
housing and business demands.
But Christchurch could get a
smaller percentage of housing
development than initially
forecast.
The updated draft Greater
Christchurch Settlement Pattern
will go out
for public
consultation
from
November
1-30 after
being
approved by
the greater
Christchurch
Rita Dionisio
partnership
committee.
The update
includes a focus on how urban
areas accommodate growth and
how infrastructure planning
supports development.
“Sixty five per cent of greater
Christchurch’s housing growth
through to 2048 should be
supported in Christchurch city,
with the remaining 20 per cent
in Selwyn and 15 per cent in
Waimakariri,” the report said.
“This settlement pattern
approach features a slightly
lower share of growth in the city
than envisaged by the urban
development strategy with the
higher share in the districts a
CENTRAL: Greater Christchurch is expected to grow by 150,000 in the next 30 years and
more housing is needed.
reflection of the strong housing
demand that has characterised
these areas.”
It comes after the 2007 urban
development strategy forecasted
71 per cent of growth would be in
the city, while the remaining 29
per cent would be split between
Selwyn and Waimakariri.
However, that was before
the two districts flourished as
residents moved out of the city
after the February 22, 2011,
earthquake.
Canterbury University urban
planning researcher Rita
Dionisio said to plan for an
environmentally-friendly future,
Christchurch’s development
needs to be intensified.
“Urban intensification isn’t new
in Europe, but I think it is new
in Christchurch. We should start
looking at inner suburbs like St
Albans, Merivale and Sydenham
that could help the city intensify,”
she said.
Dr Dionisio said it would
also help develop a sense of
community.
“We should be going to the
urban development strategy prior
to the quakes, which unsettled
a lot of things. The Government
needed to solve housing problems
quickly and developing those
greenfields was an easy solution,”
she said.
However, the developments
in places, such as Rolleston and
Rangiora, need to slow down
now. “It will perpetuate the cycle
of independence, but also take
away a lot of green space which
we need.”
The pattern settlement update
said Canterbury is the fastest
growing region in New Zealand
outside Auckland.
“More population growth is
projected in greater Christchurch
over the next 30 years than
other high-growth cities such as
Hamilton, Tauranga, Wellington
and Queenstown.”
It said that translates to an
extra 86,600 houses being built
in greater Christchurch over the
next 30 years.
That includes 65 per cent
in Christchurch, 20 per cent
in Selwyn and 15 per cent in
Waimakariri, although the report
said the targets would need to be
revisited every three years.
The report also revealed there
are questions around whether
there is enough development
capacity in Selwyn and
Waimakariri to meet the demand
in the long term.
“Capacity in Selwyn and
Waimakariri may not be
sufficient to meet demand over
the medium term, while the
significant capacity in the city is
expected to be sufficient over the
next 30 years.”
The projected shortfalls are
7575 developments in Selwyn
and 9170 in Waimakariri.
“Our plan seeks to ensure
that sufficient housing capacity
is provided in both Selwyn
and Waimakariri to enable
growth in district towns, while
also transitioning to more
growth being provided through
redevelopment in the city over
the longer term.”
It proposed new greenfield
housing areas should be released
in Rolleston, Rangiora and
Kaiapoi to help address the short
falls.
It comes after The Star
revealed in March the Housing
and Business Development
Capacity Assessment report had
been developed as part of the
settlement pattern review.
It is a collaboration between
the city council, Selwyn and
Waimakariri district councils,
Environment Canterbury,
Canterbury District Health
Board, Regenerate Christchurch
and the Department of the
Prime Minister and Cabinet.
However, the settlement pattern
review said the update focuses
on a “responsive” approach to
planning.
Said the review: “How we live
today will be quite different to 30
years from now, so we need to be
responsive to these changes.”
The number of households
with people over 65-years-old is
projected to grow from 24 per
cent to 35 per cent and single
person households are set to
increase by 50 per cent.
It said the type of housing
needed will shift to smaller
homes to cater for the ageing
population and couples, with
more multi-unit dwellings.
“While standalone homes on
large sections will continue to
make an important contribution
towards meeting future
housing demand, the shifting
demographic and household
profile in greater Christchurch
means a growing share of
demand is expected to be met by
smaller housing types.”
That includes townhouses
and apartments, with a lot of
that growth concentrated in the
city through the private rental
market.
“Seventy one per cent of
housing demand in the city will
be met by private rentals.”
The review also said social and
affordable housing will become
an “increasingly critical issue” for
the greater Christchurch market.
But it said the post-earthquake
market will not change over
night. “The market and people’s
preferences needing time to
respond to the new opportunities
being created by regeneration
and place-making initiatives
in the central city, suburban
centres and surrounding
local neighbourhoods in
Christchurch.”’
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