The pilot area of Auronzo di Cadore (Belluno) - Università Ca

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work group Balbi S. 1,2 , Bonzanigo L. 1,2 , Dissegna M. 3 , Giupponi C. 1,2 , Moretto D. 1 , Pasutto I. 3 1 Ca’ Foscari University, Venice 2 Euro-Mediterranean Centre for Climate Change 3 Veneto Region, Forests and Parks Unit attribution of the work tasks Stefano Balbi carried out the preliminary fieldwork, the organisation and management of the two workshops, the development of climate scenarios, the construction and application of the agent based model (as part of his PhD thesis), and the editing of the present report / Laura Bonzanigo organised and managed the two workshops, carried out the social network analysis, the definition and quantification of the indicators, the ClimAlpTour e-tool configuration, and edited the present report / Maurizio Dissegna coordinated the whole ClimAlpTour project on behalf of the Veneto Region / Carlo Giupponi coordinated the scientific aspects of the Auronzo case study, and particularly the environmental indicators’ modelling and the ClimAlpTour e-tool creation and configuration / Daria Moretto contributed to both the definition and assessment of the indicators, as part of her MSc thesis in Environmental Economics, and the organisation and running of the two workshops / Isabella Pasutto contributed to the preliminary fieldwork and the project management on behalf of the Veneto Region. acknowledgements The authors acknowledge the support of Paolo Angelini from the Italian Ministry of Environment, Land and Sea who coordinated the Italian partners of the project and its Information and Communication features.
1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 2 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 3 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 4 4.1 4.1.1 4.1.2 4.2 4.2.1 4.2.2 5 5.1 5.1.2 5.1.3 Table of Contents Introduction: the ClimAlpTour project Project’s rationale Partnership Scientific objectives Project’s structure Future exploitation of results Veneto Region’s case study: Auronzo di Cadore Research objective Pilot area’s description: Auronzo di Cadore NetSyMoD methodology for the ClimALpTour project NetSyMoD in Auronzo di Cadore Phase 1 / Actors’ Analysis Participants’ identification Interviews with potential stakeholders Outputs of the analysis Actors’ identification for the workshop Criteria Selection Possible actions of tourism developments Phase 2 / Problem Analysis and Creative System Modelling Future from stakeholders perspective: analysis of three scenarios of Auronzo winter tourism’ development in 10/15 years Scenarios The conceptual model Participatory strategy’s consolidation Attribution of weights to the main factors of a winter holiday in the Alps SWOT analysis Phase 3 / DSS design Modelling the indicators Climate Projections Agent-Based Model (AWS1.0) 8 8 8 9 10 10 12 12 13 15 17 20 20 21 22 25 26 26 28 29 29 30 33 33 34 36 38 40 42
Page 1: Climate change and its impacts on t
Page 6 and 7: 5.1.4 5.2 6 6.1 6.1.1 6.2 6.3 7 Fig
Page 8 and 9: Preface The mountain area of the Ve
Page 10 and 11: 1 / Introduction: the ClimAlpTour p
Page 12 and 13: Fig. 1 Project’s structure for st
Page 14 and 15: Box 1 The report in brief 2 / Venet
Page 16 and 17: Fig. 3 The Three Peaks of Lavaredo
Page 18 and 19: conceived during the EU FP5 project
Page 20 and 21: culating environmental indicators,
Page 22 and 23: Box 2 SNA in brief 3 / Phase 1 / Ac
Page 24 and 25: (3) As it appears, tourists were ex
Page 26 and 27: Tab. 4 Characteristics of Auronzo
Page 28 and 29: Tab. 6 List of actors to invite to
Page 30 and 31: Box 3 Participatory development of
Page 32 and 33: Fig. 8 GIS map of areas of interest
Page 34 and 35: Fig. 10 Strategy SKINT after brains
Page 36 and 37: Tab. 10 Factors characterising wint
Page 38 and 39: Box 4 DSS design in brief 5 / Phase
Page 40 and 41: CLIMATE SCENARIO Tab. 13 CURRENT A1
Page 42 and 43: Fig. 15 Example of Google Earth bas
Page 44 and 45: 5.1.3 / Agent-Based Model (AWS1.0 )
Page 46 and 47: Fig. 17 ClimAlpTour e-tool’s cata
Page 48 and 49: Fig. 20 Indicators’ clustering 46
Page 50 and 51: Fig. 21 Weight elicitation exercise
Page 52 and 53: Fig. 23 Strategies ranking after we
Page 54 and 55:
the need of defining a commonly agr
Page 56 and 57:
ponentially increased the number of
Page 58:
References 56 Balbi et al. (2011).
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