The pilot area of Auronzo di Cadore (Belluno) - Università Ca

Box 5
Evaluation of the
strategies in brief
Tab. 16
Impact of climate
change on Auronzo
6 / Phase 4 / Analysis of Options
Decision methods help to avoid inconsistencies underlying judgement
and choice, and make decisions more compatible with normative axioms
of rationality. Furthermore, if combined with deliberative techniques,
decision methods render policy processes transparent and informed
the perspectives or viewpoints of all actors. This is translated
into a higher acceptance of the policies.
Main outputs / Investing on the dimensions of winter tourism that are
detached from the activities based on snow seems like the safest way to
proceed for a destination with the characteristics of Auronzo di Cadore.
/ A BYDSNW strategy should however be linked to a project for the enhancement
of the public transportation as the in-destination transfer
needs of tourists may significantly increase. / An ALTSKI strategy could
be the way to mediate between the lifts industry, which has already
invested a lot in the past and the possible futures that the local winter
tourism will have to face. / Apart from the snow-related risks and costs,
a SKINT strategy could undermine the bulk of Auronzo’s traditional
tourism rather than building on it, turning such a choice into a strategic
error in the medium to long term. Lift operators should rather take into
account the optimization of the existing downhill skiing infrastructure
and the related services.
The analysis of options consists in evaluating and choosing one (or more)
solution to the problem (e.g. a policy measure, plan or project) from a set
of mutually exclusive alternatives, or producing their complete ranking.
In order to accomplish this phase, stakeholders
need to weigh the seven and, once results are
inserted into the ClimAlpTour e-tool, discus-
- +1.58°C +1.20°C
sion on the outputs ensues.
2031 - 2050 CURRENT A1B B1
Variation of average
winter temperature
Variation of average
winter precipitation
Snow days
per season
(max 126)
47
- +7.9% +8.3%
Auronzo 55 20 32
Misurina 121 111 113
6.1 / Presentation of results and weighting
of criteria
In order to explain the stakeholders that the
various indicators were calculated in three different
climate change scenarios, first the impact
that the three situations might have on the