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Berger Paints Initiating Coverage - Myiris.com

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Annexure - II<br />

Growth <strong>com</strong>parison<br />

<strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong> <strong>Initiating</strong> <strong>Coverage</strong><br />

<strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong> Asian <strong>Paints</strong><br />

Growth (%) Volume Revenue EBITDA PAT Volume Revenue EBITDA PAT<br />

FY05 15.3 23.0 16.1 31.1 13.2 15.2 8.1 13.3<br />

FY06 11.4 18.8 27.9 22.1 13.8 18.7 20.3 26.4<br />

FY07 13.0 18.9 13.9 17.7 17.8 21.7 19.5 21.1<br />

FY08 14.0 15.0 16.6 11.1 17.5 21.2 31.7 40.4<br />

FY09 3.2 12.6 (5.4) (3.9) 13.4 24.9 3.4 (3.3)<br />

FY10 14.7 11.7 38.8 35.4 16.4 20.0 75.6 86.5<br />

FY11 19.0 24.5 19.6 23.4 16.8 23.4 13.0 14.1<br />

FY12E 14.6 26.0 20.4 15.6 15.1 25.9 16.7 13.7<br />

FY13E 15.0 15.0 24.0 23.7 15.1 14.8 17.3 17.0<br />

Margins and return ratio <strong>com</strong>parison<br />

Ratios (%)<br />

EBITDA<br />

margin<br />

PAT<br />

margin<br />

<strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong> Asian <strong>Paints</strong><br />

RoE RoCE<br />

EBITDA<br />

margin<br />

PAT<br />

margin<br />

RoE RoCE<br />

FY05 9.7 7.0 29.4 29.6 15.1 9.0 31.8 41.0<br />

FY06 10.4 7.2 32.5 35.0 15.3 9.6 37.1 47.8<br />

FY07 10.0 7.1 32.9 32.7 15.0 9.5 39.3 50.8<br />

FY08 10.1 6.9 29.6 29.8 16.3 11.0 45.0 58.9<br />

FY09 8.5 5.9 23.2 26.3 13.5 8.5 36.0 49.1<br />

FY10 10.6 7.1 23.1 29.5 19.8 13.3 51.2 70.8<br />

FY11 10.2 7.1 22.7 31.3 18.1 12.3 43.3 59.7<br />

FY12E 9.7 6.5 23.2 31.8 16.8 11.1 38.0 53.9<br />

FY13E 10.5 7.0 24.3 33.4 17.1 11.3 34.9 49.9<br />

Raw material mix <strong>com</strong>parison<br />

Raw material cost<br />

as a % to sales<br />

Pigments Solvents<br />

<strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong> Asian <strong>Paints</strong><br />

Resins and<br />

Oils<br />

Others Pigments Solvents<br />

Resins and<br />

Oils<br />

FY05 11.3 12.9 14.9 13.4 15.8 7.1 7.6 17.8<br />

FY06 10.5 13.6 12.8 13.6 14.7 7.4 7.3 16.6<br />

FY07 11.1 14.9 11.9 15.3 15.8 8.1 8.6 16.2<br />

FY08 9.5 13.4 12.2 16.3 14.7 7.1 8.4 16.5<br />

FY09 10.3 15.2 12.1 14.7 16.2 7.7 8.8 17.0<br />

FY10 11.2 12.1 12.1 13.9 17.0 5.8 7.2 16.1<br />

Note: Standalone financials<br />

Highlights<br />

Emkay Research 27 June 2011 14<br />

Others<br />

� Volumes for <strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong> and Asian <strong>Paints</strong> have grown at an average velocity of 1.6x<br />

and 1.9x to GDP, respectively. Only remarkable difference between the growth rates has<br />

been in FY09, when <strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong> witnessed a weak volume growth of 3.2% against<br />

13.4% for Asian <strong>Paints</strong>.<br />

� Historically, <strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong> has witnessed lower margins than Asian <strong>Paints</strong>. However,<br />

with increasing scale, higher backward integration and shifting product mix towards<br />

premium -end of water based paints; there is a possibility that the margin gap could<br />

narrow in future.<br />

� Similarly, due to <strong>Berger</strong> <strong>Paints</strong>’ lower margin profile, the <strong>com</strong>pany has relatively lower<br />

RoE <strong>com</strong>pared to Asian <strong>Paints</strong>. Nevertheless, we expect it to remain at healthy levels of<br />

24%.

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