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Lt. Gen. John L. DeWitt, head of the Western<br />

Defense Command, stated in a press conference here that<br />

troops previously bound for Europe are being diverted to<br />

defend the California coast . . .<br />

Is this possible in VZTP? Yes, but not feasible.<br />

A scenario: <strong>The</strong> Strong Raid plan, or an attack<br />

involving a strong Raid Force is implemented. <strong>The</strong><br />

US carrier forces wisely decline battle and the eight<br />

US battleships are destroyed in four air attacks.<br />

Meanwhile, Midway falls to the Yokosuka<br />

Marines and the British lose two more battleships<br />

in Indonesia. Very plausible to this point.<br />

Assuming the best possible US response on<br />

Turn Two, we concede that the US gets away with<br />

its five carriers and 18 Allied cruisers (ignoring the<br />

British) unscathed. Further, the 5th and 7th Air<br />

Force took second priority to surface units and<br />

also got away.<br />

Now, a Turn Two offensive: <strong>The</strong> IJN leaves<br />

minimal patrols across the board, patrols Hawaii<br />

with its six fastest cruisers, and puts the rest of the<br />

fleet on raid status. <strong>The</strong> raiders all go to Hawaii, to<br />

cover the cruisers and threaten control of the area.<br />

See Chart 2 for details.<br />

What can the Allies do? <strong>The</strong> strongest direct<br />

defense is shown on Chart 2. <strong>The</strong> US can, by<br />

daylight, oppose 27 IJN airstrike factors (assum-<br />

ing that the Junyo and Shoho fail their speed rolls)<br />

with 28 US airstrike factors.<br />

<strong>The</strong> mutual disadvantages are threefold. <strong>The</strong><br />

US will get its five carriers shot up, the IJN will be<br />

(probably) unable to dislodge the LBA, and the US<br />

risks a night action while the IJN can't count on it.<br />

<strong>The</strong> first disadvantage is manifest. <strong>The</strong> US can<br />

ill afford a carrier exchange on Turn Two. Given<br />

average results, the US will trade off and find that,<br />

at five US carriers to 11 Japanese, the US will still<br />

be left with the smaller numbers.<br />

<strong>The</strong> IJN in turn will find that the LBA is able<br />

to show great tenacity. <strong>The</strong> IJN's enhanced<br />

airstrike factors mean nothing against LBA units;<br />

"disabled" results even less. Even a first turn<br />

elimination of the 5th and 7th AF will still mean a<br />

nasty 27-24 factor battle, with US carriers' prime<br />

tactical threat diverting attention away from the<br />

LBA.<br />

<strong>The</strong> third disadvantage is profound. <strong>The</strong> US is<br />

short in numbers: 18-16 in cruisers and 10-2 in<br />

battleships. A night action will mean that the IJN<br />

can pair its cruisers against the Allied surface fleet,<br />

and leave the battle line free to blast the US<br />

carriers, under the night action rules. By fighting<br />

in an uncontrolled sea area, the US is running a<br />

40% risk of such a debacle with each combat<br />

round. And a retreat from this means that the<br />

LBA must leave as well, under rules 8.11 and 8.21.<br />

<strong>The</strong> result is that the Pearl Harbor Gambit,<br />

whatever its flair, is no bargain for either side. <strong>The</strong><br />

same is true of any attempt to establish IJN<br />

hegemony over Samoa or Australia. <strong>The</strong> IJN can,<br />

however, put its entire fleet, less rear area patrols,<br />

on raid status. This will allow raids into areas not<br />

defended, or weakly so, by Allied LBA and<br />

patrols. <strong>The</strong> massed IJN carriers have 27-31<br />

airstrike factors, an ample match for the 20 US<br />

factors away from LBA cover.<br />

Still, an IJN patrol (or mass raid) of Hawaii<br />

poses a dilemma-the US feels compelled to<br />

protect the base. A direct challenge to the IJN as<br />

discussed, with all its risks and even money die<br />

rolling, isn't necessary.<br />

Indirect US responses can include raids into<br />

Japanese rear areas. Once the enemy raid forces<br />

are committed, the US can raid the Central Pacific<br />

(especially potent if the IJN is trying to besiege<br />

Midway as opposed to a Turn One invasion.<br />

Another response could be to base all Turn<br />

One US forces in Australia, wait for the IJN attack<br />

on Pearl to go in (raiders and all), then raid<br />

Indonesia in conjunction with British carrier and<br />

cruiser forces. A two cruiser patrol of the Mandate<br />

and Coral Sea will still allow a large US raid, and<br />

even permit four LBA to bedevil the IJN attack on<br />

Hawaii. <strong>The</strong> loss of IJN control of Indonesia will<br />

mean that: a) Lae and the Philippines need not<br />

fall; and b) Singapore is again available as a<br />

forward British base.<br />

Such a use of ju-jitsu on the Japanese will have<br />

dramatic consequences. <strong>The</strong> British, once con-<br />

signed to a ship-in-a-bottle role at Ceylon, are now<br />

a major presence in the game, able to reach Japan<br />

itself. Lae and the Philippines again pose hazards<br />

to the POC rich Marianas and South Pacific areas.<br />

And, the US can still contest the southern and<br />

western areas of the board, playing for more POC<br />

than from Pearl. Even the loss of Pearl would not<br />

offset this.<br />

True, this countermove has risks. Three to five<br />

US carriers, and two British carriers, could remove<br />

two Japanese LBA, but at some risk of damage to<br />

the US carriers. <strong>The</strong> Allied LBA could not be<br />

deployed out of Singapore (or Lae) into Indonesia,<br />

as this would alert the IJN raid units. Still, the<br />

specter of British and American battleships in<br />

Singapore is an excellent counterweight to the<br />

Japanese occupation of Hawaii.<br />

SINGAPORE (Reuters)-<strong>The</strong> fall of Gen. Tojo's<br />

government was today confirmed by Radio Tokyo, not<br />

one week after the fall of Hawaii.<br />

<strong>The</strong> announcement, coming two days after the spec-<br />

tacular Allied carrier raid on the enemy capital, signaled a<br />

major change in enemy war policy. <strong>The</strong> Tojo cabinet,<br />

pledged to conquer Hawaii despite the relief of Singapore<br />

and Midway last spring, was toppled as a result of the<br />

Allied counterattack.<br />

Prince Konoye, the new prime minister, named<br />

defense of the "Imperial homeland" as the first priority of<br />

his government. He denied rumors that the fleet is being<br />

redeployed because of fuel shortage, and stated that Japan<br />

could do without the Dutch East Indies. He also asserted<br />

that damage to Tokyo Bay naval yards was "slight."<br />

Prime Minister Churchill, in today's speech to<br />

Commons, commented, "This is no longer the end of the<br />

beginning-it is the beginning of the end."<br />

CRITICAL ISSUE #8:<br />

<strong>The</strong> Yokosuka Force<br />

Turn One: <strong>The</strong> Yokosuka Marines put out<br />

from Japan. With this one unit goes much of the<br />

IJN prospects for victory or defeat; the Yokosuka<br />

unit can define crucial positions on the board. Its<br />

possible missions:<br />

1. Take Midway: This means that Allied LBA<br />

units will be unable to control the Central Pacific<br />

on Turn Two. A first turn siezure of Midway will<br />

ensure that IJN air units will use it instead, and<br />

their presence will help protect Japan and the<br />

Marianas from US raids, by closing the Central<br />

Pacific as an avenue of approach.<br />

2. Take the Philippines: True, this base could<br />

fall at the end of Turn Two, through simple con-<br />

trol of the surrounding areas. However, it is also<br />

true that the Allied player can use the Philippines<br />

to introduce LBA units into the Marianas. Such a<br />

tactic, whatever the consequences elsewhere, will<br />

tie up IJN LBA or carrier units. At worst, IJN sur-<br />

face patrols could be driven out, losing POC and<br />

leaving the Philippines in US hands. A quick IJN<br />

landing on Turn One, from either direction, will<br />

put a stop to that.<br />

3. Take Dutch Harbor: This will negate Allied<br />

air control over the North Pacific, and allow the<br />

IJN to cop some POC later if a LBA unit can be<br />

spared. Dutch Harbor also helps to secure the nor-<br />

thern end of the Japanese defense perimeter.<br />

4. Proceed to Truk: <strong>From</strong> there, the Yokosuka<br />

unit can make a second turn grab at such useful<br />

bases as Guadalcanal, New Hebrides, Port<br />

Moresby, or Johnston Island. Lae, the Philip-<br />

pines, and Midway would have to fall by naval<br />

control, or the appearance of the Sasebo unit,<br />

especially at Midway.<br />

5. Proceed to Saigon: This will allow a Turn<br />

Two threat to the Andaman Islands, Port<br />

Moresby, and Guadalcanal, any of which would<br />

extend IJN air control into lucrative areas. Saigon<br />

is not as convenient to the eastern side of the<br />

board, however.<br />

6. Discarded Alternatives: First turn invasion<br />

of Attu or Lae would not be profitable, at least,<br />

not in preference to the first five alternatives. Both<br />

Lae and Attu are apt to fall by other means.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Sasebo and Kure units, as they appear in<br />

Japan, should work on the same missions as the<br />

Yokosuka unit. Completion of these missions<br />

would have obvious strategic importance.<br />

A final note: Returning LBA units can be rein-<br />

troduced in any major port. Placement of revived<br />

amphibious units in Truk, a favored tactic, is ad-<br />

vised for obvious reasons.<br />

CRITICAL ISSUE #9: Amphibious Units<br />

Neither the rules nor the official AH Question<br />

Box rulings on VZTP (see Vol. 14, No. 4 and Vol.<br />

17, No. 4) fully address the issue of marine units in<br />

combat to my satisfaction. <strong>The</strong> following official<br />

rulings can be used, if desired:<br />

Q. Can a marine unit go to any friendly major (red)<br />

port at turn's end?<br />

A. Yes. See rule 13.32 and section 10 of the rules. In-<br />

vasion is not required, as long as the port or base being<br />

entered is friendly.<br />

Q. Can Marine (amphibious) units be raided in a port<br />

or base?<br />

A. Yes, and thanks to rule 9.4, they do not take<br />

double damage. Damage beyond their armor factor sinks<br />

them wherever they are. NOTE: Rule 22.3 (optional rules)<br />

damage should be used for this kind of raiding, if this<br />

ruling is used. This means that carriers can actively sup-<br />

port a landing under rule 9.3.<br />

Q. Can subs attack amphibious units at the end of a<br />

round, before the landing?<br />

A. Yes. That would be the sub's one attack that turn,<br />

under rule 7.91.<br />

Q. Can amphibious units control a sea area?<br />

A. No.<br />

CHART 2.<br />

THE PEARL HARBOR GAMBIT<br />

A Turn Two Attack and Defense<br />

Sasebo unit<br />

USIDutchlAustralian forces based in Samoa and Pearl. Royal<br />

Navy based In Ceylon. All IJN baaed in Truk except 01. Klrakarni,

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