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Banking - Yojana

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•<br />

The established marketing<br />

companies have pipelines and<br />

storage facilities, but they have to<br />

make huge investments to expand<br />

these facilities for their own needs.<br />

New entrants will have to build new<br />

facilities as soon as possible.<br />

Moreover, so far risks were<br />

almost nil in marketing, as<br />

companies had fixed margins and<br />

prices fixed under APM. Now the<br />

companies have to deal with risks<br />

including price risk for crude oil,<br />

refining margins and foreign<br />

exchange risks. Assured margins<br />

are now a thing of the past and<br />

companies will need to adopt<br />

global risk management practices<br />

to protect their margins.<br />

Oil companies at present source<br />

import crude oil through tenders<br />

which is a time consuming process.<br />

This does not reflect, the prevailing<br />

market prices, which fluctuate on<br />

a daily basis. All international<br />

majors like Shell, Exxon, Mobil<br />

and Chevron have energy trading<br />

departments which monitor crude<br />

prices on daily basis to protect the<br />

company from price fluctuations<br />

and reduce the impact on their net<br />

profits.<br />

In this situation, also, public<br />

sector oil companies are now better<br />

placed in the deregulated regime.<br />

It would be two to three years before<br />

their market leadership is<br />

• challenged by new private en tran ts.<br />

The retail marketing margins of<br />

oil companies is expected to go up<br />

by one per cent in the new era of<br />

free market pricing, according oil<br />

industry experts. Margin expansion<br />

would be highest in retail<br />

automotive fuels of diesel and<br />

petrol, the areas of real<br />

competition. The automotive fuels<br />

account for nearly 50 per cent of<br />

the total volume sales. The domestic<br />

diesel sales stood at 40 million<br />

tonnes, while that of petrol was at 8<br />

million tonnes during 2001-02.<br />

Kerosene sales accounted for 10<br />

million tonnes during the year.<br />

India's total consumption of<br />

petroleum products during 2001-02<br />

is estimated at 100 million tonnes.<br />

Net imports of petrol and diesel<br />

stood at 3 million tonnes.<br />

Products Import<br />

Though petroleum sector was<br />

deregulated from April 1, imports<br />

of petroleum products particularly<br />

petrol and diesel, have not been<br />

freed and would continue to be<br />

routed through designated State<br />

Trading Enterprises (STEs). "The<br />

country is surplus in refining<br />

capacity and we see no point in<br />

flooding the domestic markets with<br />

imports," Petroleum Ministry<br />

officials said. While import of crude<br />

oil was decanalised last year, imports<br />

of petroleum products would<br />

continue to be' regulated.<br />

"Industrial slowdown has created<br />

exportable surplus in the country.<br />

There is no logic in allowing<br />

imports when we are looking at<br />

export markets, particularly for<br />

diesel," official sources said.<br />

Dismantling of the administered<br />

pricing mechanism has freed the<br />

pricing of petroleum products and<br />

allowed private sector companies to<br />

enter lucrative retail marketing of<br />

petrol and diesel.<br />

Companies who have invested or<br />

propose to invest Rs. 2,000 crore in<br />

creating oil infrastructure like<br />

refinery, pipeline and terminals are<br />

eligible for setting up retail network<br />

but they would have to source the<br />

products locally. "We are studying<br />

the implications of opening up of<br />

the sector after over three decades<br />

of administrative controls. Imports<br />

of petrol and diesel would be<br />

allowed only after we established<br />

norms ,of a free market and a<br />

credible regulatory mechanism is<br />

established," sources said. Sources<br />

said the Petroleum Ministry was<br />

contemplating whether imports of<br />

petroleum products, if allowed,<br />

should be through Open General<br />

License (OGL) or some basic<br />

minimum conditions be imposed<br />

on the imports.<br />

Even though the quantitative<br />

restrictions on international trade<br />

have been removed, the<br />

government could retain the<br />

imports and exports of petroproducts<br />

through STEs, as the<br />

WTO rules permit the same.<br />

The long awaited deregulation<br />

of the Petroleum sector has come<br />

about. But from the consumers'<br />

point of view, there is hardly any<br />

evidence of deregulation at work.<br />

That is in marked contrast to the<br />

happenings in the other key sector,<br />

the telecommunication industry,<br />

which has been opened up<br />

simultaneously. All types of<br />

telecom users are already reaping<br />

the benefits of competition.<br />

Telephone tariff has been coming<br />

down rapidly continuing a trend<br />

that began a few months earlier. In<br />

contrast, the retail prices of<br />

petroleum products have not<br />

changed significantly since Aprill.<br />

In a deregulated environment they<br />

are supposed to be determined by<br />

market forces and consequently<br />

reflect the international price<br />

movement.<br />

More importantly, there will not<br />

be a transformation from a<br />

controlled regime to a market<br />

dominated one eve'n over the next<br />

few months. The government will<br />

continue to have a decisive say in<br />

theprices of the big four petroleum<br />

products- petrol, diesel, LPG and<br />

kerosene. Part of the reason as to<br />

why changes have been so few has<br />

to do with the complex nature of<br />

the institutional ari-angements in<br />

the hydrocarbon sector and its<br />

YOJANAJuly 2002 21<br />

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