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Banking - Yojana

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maximization of profits issubject to<br />

a constraint imposed by legal<br />

reserve requirements.<br />

The "newview"isnot directed to<br />

diminish the existing differences in<br />

the regulatory treatment of banks<br />

and competing intermediaries,<br />

either byrelaxing constraints on the<br />

one or bytightening controls on the<br />

othe'r.<br />

Monetary growth theory is<br />

concerned with the role of money<br />

in a growing econpmy. Tobin first<br />

presented the: neoclassical<br />

monetary growth model in 1965,<br />

and development was made<br />

possible by the pioneering work of<br />

Robert Solow and T.W.Swan. Most<br />

models of economic growth are<br />

non-monetary. The non~monetary<br />

neo-classical growth models offer<br />

no place for significant choices of<br />

the second kind-portfolio choices.<br />

They admit only one type of asset<br />

that can serve wealth owners as a<br />

store of value namely reproducible<br />

capital.<br />

Tobin in 1955 generalised Lloyd<br />

Metzler's wealth effect into a theory<br />

of portfolio balance in which the<br />

rate of interest equates the public's<br />

desire to old monetary and nonmonetary<br />

wealth with the existing<br />

stocks of monetary and nonmonetary<br />

wealth. As a<br />

consequence, portfolio balance<br />

became the necessary and sufficient<br />

condition for price stability and<br />

macro economic equilibrium in<br />

general. Tobin considers money to<br />

be an alternative asset or a partial<br />

substitute for real capital for the<br />

wealth-portfolio holders. In the case<br />

of money being government debt<br />

or "outside money", the monetary<br />

authority by controlling its rate of<br />

growth, can affect the economy's<br />

steady-state properties.<br />

Neoclassical monetary growth<br />

models developed byJames Tobin,<br />

David Levhari and Don Patinkin<br />

38<br />

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and others use portfolio balance as<br />

the mechanism that may explain a<br />

non-neutrality of money in the longrun.<br />

The purpose of Tobin's paper<br />

on "Moneyand Economic Growth"<br />

is discussing the roles of monetary<br />

factors in determining the degree<br />

of capital intensity of an economy.<br />

Tobin's monetary growth theory is<br />

concerned with the influence of<br />

money on the rate of growth and<br />

steady-state characteristics of a<br />

growing economy.<br />

The core of the path-breaking<br />

neoclassical monetary growth<br />

theory, that is, the notion of<br />

portfolio balance and its implied<br />

assumption that'money and real<br />

capital are substitutes as assets, has<br />

been recently criticised by E.shaw<br />

(1973) and R. McKinnon (1973).<br />

Based on observations concerning<br />

less developed economies, Shaw<br />

and McKinnion believe that any<br />

positive correlation among the<br />

propensity to save, stocks of<br />

monetary assets,and rates of growth<br />

necessitates a reconstruction of<br />

monetary growth theory along lines<br />

that viewmoney and real capital as<br />

complements rather than<br />

substitutes.<br />

New Campaign<br />

The discussion of "net economic<br />

welfare" on NEW is drawn from<br />

William Nordhaus and James<br />

Tobin, "Is Growth Obsolete?"<br />

(National Bureau of Economic<br />

Research, Columbia University<br />

Press, NewYork,1972). The earlier<br />

concept, a measure of economic<br />

welfare (MEW) has been replaced<br />

by a more informative label net<br />

ecdnomic welfare (NEW). "Net<br />

ecdnomic welfare is an adjusted<br />

m~asure of total national output<br />

that includes onlyconsumption and<br />

investment items that contribute<br />

directly to economic well-being."<br />

(Paul A. Samuleson and William D.<br />

Nordhaus, Economics, McGraw-<br />

Hill Book Company, New York,<br />

1989, p. 117). William Nordhaus<br />

and James Tobin launched a new<br />

campaign againstgrowth aiming to<br />

acquire a life style, which has as its<br />

goal maximum freedom and<br />

happiness forthe individual, not a<br />

maximum Gross National Product.<br />

GNP and NNP are measures of<br />

production rather than of welfare<br />

and they count many activities that<br />

are evidently not directly sources of<br />

utility themselves. An obvious<br />

shortcoming of GNP is that it is an<br />

index of production, note<br />

consumption. "The goal of<br />

economic activity, after all is<br />

consumption" (Nordhaus and<br />

Tobin). 'Per capita' rather than<br />

aggregate consumption is the<br />

welfare objective. "The economic<br />

profession has been slowto develop,<br />

either conceptually or statistically,<br />

a measure of economic<br />

performance orien ted to<br />

consumption, broadly defined and<br />

carefully calculated" (Nordhaus<br />

and Tobin). In proposing a welfare<br />

measure Nordhause and Tobin in<br />

no waydeny the importance of the<br />

conventional national income<br />

accoun tsor of the output measures.<br />

Their MEW (or NEW) is largely a<br />

rearrangement of items of the<br />

national income accounts.<br />

The wealth interpretation of<br />

income as the primary determinant<br />

of consumption is dominant in the<br />

'General Theory' of J.M. keynes<br />

(1936). Keynes himself alluded to<br />

the' possible influence o'<br />

"Unforeseen' changes in money<br />

valueofwealth".He even catalogued<br />

"changes in expectation of the<br />

relation between the present and the<br />

future level of income". Recent<br />

emphasis on permanent (M.<br />

Friedman, 1957) and lifetime<br />

income (A.Ando and F.Modigliani,<br />

1963; F. Modigliani and R.<br />

Brumberg, 1954) has brought the<br />

wealth interpretation to the fore.<br />

G. Ackley (1951) and other<br />

YOJANAJuly2002

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