Investment Plan 2011 - OPERS
Investment Plan 2011 - OPERS
Investment Plan 2011 - OPERS
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Defined<br />
Benefit<br />
Fund<br />
Ohio PERS<br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
<strong>Plan</strong><br />
Health<br />
Care<br />
Fund<br />
<strong>2011</strong><br />
Defined<br />
Contribution<br />
Fund<br />
277 East Town Street Columbus, Ohio 43215-4642<br />
www.opers.org 800-222-7377
<strong>OPERS</strong><br />
<strong>2011</strong> ANNUAL INVESTMENT PLAN<br />
Table of Contents<br />
Report from the CIO ............................................................................................................... 1<br />
Board Policies Governing <strong>Investment</strong> Activities ...................................................................... 5<br />
Staff Committee Structure ...................................................................................................... 5<br />
Staffing ................................................................................................................................... 7<br />
Peer Group Comparison ........................................................................................................12<br />
Risk Management .................................................................................................................13<br />
FUND STRATEGIES ................................................................................................................14<br />
Defined Benefit Fund .............................................................................................................14<br />
Health Care Fund ..................................................................................................................17<br />
Defined Contribution Fund .....................................................................................................20<br />
ASSET CLASS STRATEGIES .................................................................................................22<br />
Tactical Outlook .....................................................................................................................22<br />
Public Equity..........................................................................................................................26<br />
Public Fixed Income ..............................................................................................................27<br />
Alternatives ...........................................................................................................................29<br />
Private Equity ........................................................................................................................29<br />
Real Estate ............................................................................................................................29<br />
Hedge Funds .........................................................................................................................30<br />
Opportunistic .........................................................................................................................30<br />
Commodities .........................................................................................................................30<br />
APPENDIX ...............................................................................................................................31<br />
Appendix A – Economic Outlook ...........................................................................................31<br />
Appendix B – Staff Biographies .............................................................................................39
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Report from the CIO<br />
The following outlines the <strong>2011</strong> investment management plans for <strong>OPERS</strong> Defined Benefit,<br />
Health Care and Defined Contribution Funds. It also summarizes initiatives and processes<br />
as well as performance and risk expectations.<br />
Fund Strategies<br />
The Defined Benefit Fund and Health Care Fund will continue to transition toward their<br />
strategic asset allocations approved by the Board in 2009 and 2010. That transition was<br />
approximately two-thirds completed in 2010. The Defined Contribution Fund will be<br />
managed with passive management and self-directed brokerage account approaches<br />
adopted in 2010.<br />
For planning purposes, the following table outlines the projected total base case return with<br />
ranges. The base case return for <strong>2011</strong>is lower than that for 2010 largely due to projected<br />
lower returns for fixed income. The return ranges are higher for <strong>2011</strong> than 2010 because<br />
of greater uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s quantitative easing impact.<br />
Defined Benefit Fund<br />
Base Case Return Active Total<br />
Return Range Return Risk<br />
<strong>2011</strong> 6.69 -11.45 to 30.04 0.40 11.20<br />
2010 7.56 -9.88 to 27.41 0.33 10.70<br />
Health Care Fund<br />
- - - - - - % - - - - - -<br />
<strong>2011</strong> 5.85 -10.07 to 26.05 0.36 9.10<br />
2010 6.52 -6.39 to 21.83 0.39 8.70<br />
Page 1<br />
- - - - - % - - - - - -<br />
The active return shown in the above table are derived from an information ratio of 0.40<br />
provided by Mercer <strong>Investment</strong> Consulting. The total risk of the Funds is marginally higher<br />
to reflect anticipated tactical asset allocation activities.<br />
The total expected returns for the Defined Contribution Funds are intended to be similar to<br />
the underlying market benchmarks since they are passively managed.<br />
Additional details regarding the Fund’s strategies are included following this report.<br />
Asset Class Strategies<br />
As outlined in the materials following this report, the Defined Benefit and Health Care<br />
Public Equity allocations during <strong>2011</strong> are planned to transition from a 50/50 U.S.<br />
Equity/Non-U.S. Equity mix to a global mix, based on the MSCI All Country World Index<br />
(Investable Market Index) weighting between U.S. Equity and Non-U.S. Equity. In addition,<br />
we will be adding externally managed small-cap, mid-cap, 130/30 portfolios, internally<br />
managed enhanced index portfolios, Russell 200 options and Russell 200 index portfolios,
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
an internally managed international equity index portfolio and an internally managed 130/30<br />
portfolio.<br />
With regard to the Defined Benefit Fund Fixed Income allocation, its allocation to the subasset<br />
class, Long Bonds, are planned to be further reduced with a corresponding increase<br />
in the Core Fixed sub-asset class allocation.<br />
Regarding alternative investments, additional Hedge Fund managers are expected to be<br />
selected.<br />
Core real estate properties are intended to be reduced with increases to opportunistic and<br />
distressed real estate equity and debt. Additional Private Equity commitments are planned.<br />
For the Opportunistic Fund, an internally managed Emerging Markets currency portfolio<br />
has been developed, was funded in November 2010 and will likely be expanded. The<br />
Opportunistic Debt portfolios will be restructured from a buy and hold to a more active<br />
strategy.<br />
The Tactical Asset Allocation Committee will continue in <strong>2011</strong> to determine overweights<br />
and underweights to various asset classes. The Fund Asset Allocation Strategy Committee<br />
will continue to monitor overall Fund asset and risk allocations.<br />
Initiatives<br />
Each year the <strong>Investment</strong> Division undertakes significant initiatives to enhance the<br />
capabilities and performance of the Funds. The following are the planned initiatives for<br />
<strong>2011</strong>.<br />
New <strong>2011</strong> Initiatives<br />
Transition the Public Equity allocation to a market-based global weighting between<br />
U.S. Equity and Non-U.S. Equity<br />
Begin internally trading U.S. equities under management by external managers<br />
Further enhance the Fund’s risk management monitoring and analytics systems<br />
Hire external 130/30, active small and mid cap U.S. equity, Hedge Fund and non-<br />
U.S. equity core, small cap and emerging market managers<br />
Internally manage an MSCI EAFE stock-based index portfolio, opportunistic debt<br />
portfolio, Russell 200, Russell 800 and Russell 2000 U.S. enhanced index equity<br />
portfolios, and a Russell 200 equity and options-based portfolio<br />
Internally manage a portion of the securities lending portfolios<br />
Expand Hedge Fund management<br />
Expand Emerging Markets currency portfolio<br />
Restructure the allocations among the internally managed index portfolios<br />
Page 2
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Continuation of 2010 Initiatives<br />
Transition towards the new asset allocation targets for the Defined Benefit, Health<br />
Care and Defined Contribution Funds<br />
Expand risk management and compliance capabilities<br />
Increase active risk in Public Equity<br />
Enhance the investment options offered to Defined Contribution Fund members<br />
Implement standardized new <strong>Investment</strong> Management Agreements with managers<br />
Implement internal securities lending of U.S. Treasuries and TIPS<br />
Expand operational and trading capabilities to internally manage additional U.S.<br />
equity mandates and commodities exposure<br />
Expand asset class and portfolio hedging strategies using derivatives<br />
Develop improved Benefit cash flow forecasting methods<br />
In 2010, the <strong>Investment</strong> Division completed a number of other investment-related and<br />
operational initiatives including updating all <strong>Investment</strong> Policies, creating a Hedge Fund<br />
Strategy and Policy, developing a Private Markets reporting and performance database,<br />
and significantly increasing private equity and private real estate commitments, launching<br />
and completing 5 major external public manager searches and increasing Staff by 10%.<br />
Resources<br />
The <strong>Investment</strong> Division is comprised of 60 positions with 7 vacant positions. The 53<br />
current Staff members collectively have 790 years of investment experience and 376 years<br />
with <strong>OPERS</strong>. There are 50 individuals, or 94%, with undergraduate degrees, 33<br />
individuals, or 62%, with graduate degrees, 2 individuals, or 4%, with doctoral degrees and<br />
31 individuals, or 58%, which are CFA Charterholders. Staff members have worked for an<br />
average number of 2 firms prior to joining <strong>OPERS</strong>. Additional details are provided in the<br />
Staff biographies in Appendix B.<br />
The <strong>Investment</strong> Division submitted an estimated compensation and operating budget of<br />
$18.68 million for <strong>2011</strong>, a 4.4% increase over 2010. The budget includes the Finance<br />
Department’s estimate of the <strong>2011</strong> incentive compensation payout, which reflects 2010<br />
investment performance. The budget reflects the Division’s effort to maintain internal<br />
investment management where appropriate due to its material cost savings and to manage<br />
related administrative expenses.<br />
The total cost to manage the <strong>OPERS</strong> asset base in <strong>2011</strong> is estimated to be 43 basis points.<br />
The total estimated cost of 43 basis points translates into $313.58 million which is 44.3%<br />
higher than the previous year. This cost increase reflects many factors, including a shift in<br />
asset mix to more complex asset classes (Private Equity/Real Estate/ Hedge Funds), more<br />
Page 3
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
active management and a higher degree of external management. The cost assumes a<br />
long-term growth trend in the fund’s asset base, whereas an unanticipated bear market<br />
would reduce the cost. The breakdown of the budget is discussed in greater detail later in<br />
this document.<br />
Summary<br />
Calendar year 2010 was a very productive period for the <strong>OPERS</strong> investment team. The<br />
Board approved a new asset liability study late in 2009 and already two thirds of the<br />
transition to the new asset allocation, primarily the publicly traded asset classes, will be<br />
completed by year end 2010. The remainder of the transition involves increases to illiquid<br />
investments, primarily real estate and private equity, which will be completed as<br />
opportunities present themselves. Changes to the hedge fund program were approved by<br />
the Board in 2010 and will be implemented in <strong>2011</strong> along with the other initiatives detailed<br />
in this <strong>Plan</strong>.<br />
With the strategic guidance of <strong>OPERS</strong> Board of Trustees, the <strong>OPERS</strong> <strong>Investment</strong> team is<br />
well prepared to meet the investment challenges in <strong>2011</strong> as we strive to succeed in an<br />
uncertain investment environment.<br />
Respectfully,<br />
John C. Lane, Chief <strong>Investment</strong> Officer<br />
Page 4
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Board Policies Governing <strong>Investment</strong> Activities<br />
The following exhibit illustrates the structure and relationship of the policies within the total<br />
System and its three investment Funds.<br />
DEFINED BENEFIT<br />
FUND<br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Objectives and Asset<br />
Allocation Policy<br />
Public Equity Policy<br />
Public Fixed Income Policy<br />
Private Equity Policy<br />
Real Estate Policy<br />
Broker - Dealer Policy<br />
Corporate Governance<br />
Derivatives Policy<br />
External <strong>Investment</strong> Managers’ Insurance Policy<br />
External Public Manager Evaluation Policy *<br />
External Public Manager Search Policy *<br />
Iran and Sudan Divestment Policy<br />
*Under consideration to be replaced with procedures<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> FUNDS<br />
FUND POLICIES<br />
HEALTH CARE<br />
FUND<br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Objectives and Asset<br />
Allocation Policy<br />
ASSET CLASS POLICIES<br />
INVESTMENT-WIDE POLICIES<br />
Staff Committee Structure<br />
The CIO utilizes a variety of committees, working groups and meeting structures to govern<br />
the <strong>Investment</strong> Division’s activities. This internal governance arrangement enhances<br />
collective inputs, retains institutional knowledge, provides documentation of the due<br />
diligence process and other processes, promotes transparency and accountability and<br />
formalizes decision-making processes. These committees are designed to combine<br />
structure and flexibility to efficiently bring the appropriate decision makers together on a<br />
timely basis and maintain a controlled environment to minimize operational risk.<br />
Page 5<br />
DEFINED CONTRIBUTION<br />
FUND<br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Objectives and Asset<br />
Allocation Policy<br />
Cash Policy<br />
Commodity Policy<br />
Hedge Fund Policy<br />
Opportunistic Fund Policy<br />
Material Nonpublic Information Policy<br />
Ohio-Qualified & Minority Manager Policy<br />
Personal Trading Policy<br />
Proxy Voting Guidelines<br />
Responsible Contractor Policy<br />
Securities Lending Policy<br />
Soft Dollar/Other Commission Arrangements Policy
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
The following provides an outline of the <strong>Investment</strong> related committees.<br />
Committee/Meeting Purpose and Description<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Committees - Approvals and Decisions<br />
Broker Review* Monitor/Approve and Evaluate Brokers, Submit ORSC Reports<br />
Compliance* Escalate and Resolve Compliance Issues<br />
Counterparty* Set Counterparty Limits and Monitor Counterparty Exposures<br />
External Public Markets* Review External Public Managers and Manager searches<br />
Fund Asset Alloc. and Strategy* Implement Asset Alloc. & Inv. Strategies, Cash Forecasting, Fund<br />
and Portfolio exposure metrics and Manager Guidelines<br />
Operational Risk* Identify and Monitor operational risks<br />
Risk Steering* Risk Assessments and Prioritization<br />
Tactical Asset Allocation* Make asset asset allocation decisions using derivatives<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Meetings - General<br />
Defined Contribution Oversight Coordinate with DC team<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Strategy Group Review asset class performance and projections<br />
Private Equity Review PE Opportunities for CIO approval<br />
Real Estate Review RE Opportunities for CIO approval<br />
Eagle Conversion/IT Coordinate with IT on system changes and upgrades<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Meetings - Internal Portfolio Management and Administration<br />
Global Bonds Sector Reviews/Outlooks, Portfolio Composition and Risk Management<br />
Index and Derivatives Portfolios Review Markets, Strategies and Internally Managed Index Portfolios<br />
Transition Management Transition assets between managers & conduct rebalancings<br />
Internal Equity Index Strategy, Tactics, News Flow & Training<br />
Non-<strong>Investment</strong> Division Committees - Committees with <strong>Investment</strong> Staff Involvement<br />
Advisors Council* Iran/Sudan Divestiture* Management Council*<br />
Corporate Governance* Leadership Council* Technology Council<br />
Guiding Council*<br />
* Committee has a charter and maintains minutes<br />
The committees and working groups vary in both the frequency of meetings and the degree<br />
of structure and formality - some provide informal information sharing and some have<br />
formal written charters. The CIO or deputy CIO’s chair the committees, or provide<br />
leadership to the working groups or formal meetings. The CIO is informed of all activities<br />
and committee activities.<br />
Page 6
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Staffing<br />
Recruiting and retaining the best and most talented Staff is a critical priority for the<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Division. The following table shows the anticipated full staffing for <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Page 7<br />
Target Staffing for Year End <strong>2011</strong><br />
Office Total<br />
of the Internal External Invest.<br />
CIO Funds Funds Division<br />
2010 <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong> Projected Staffing 8 35 16 59<br />
Current Staffing 7 33 13 53<br />
Vacant Positions - To be filled in <strong>2011</strong> 0 4 3 7<br />
Year End <strong>2011</strong> Target Staffing 7 37 16 60<br />
Status of New and Current Positions<br />
Position Vacant<br />
Fixed Income Internal Management Cash/Sec Lending Analyst 1<br />
Fund Management Fund Manager - Fund Management 1<br />
Fund Management Non-U.S. Equity Trader 1<br />
Fund Management Fund Management Analyst 1<br />
External Management Portfolio Manager: Manager - Private Equity 1<br />
External Management Portfolio Manager - Private Equity 1<br />
External Management Hedge Fund Analyst 1<br />
Total 7
<strong>Investment</strong> Organizational Structure<br />
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
John C. Lane<br />
CIO<br />
Mary Ann Kabbaz<br />
Executive Assistant<br />
Rick Shafer<br />
Deputy CIO<br />
External Mgt<br />
Kimberly Van Gundy<br />
Inv Adm Analyst<br />
Joyce Williams<br />
Portfolio Assistant<br />
Dan German<br />
Risk Mgr Risk Oversight<br />
Deryck Lampe<br />
Sr PM Active Equity<br />
Paul Greff<br />
Sr PM Fixed Income<br />
Gerry Peters<br />
Sr PM Quantitative Equity<br />
Vacant<br />
Fund Manager Fund Mgt<br />
Prabu Kumaran<br />
Sr Risk Analyst Risk Oversight<br />
Ryan Khoury<br />
Inv Analyst Internal Equity<br />
Xinyang Gu<br />
Quant Analyst<br />
JG Lee<br />
Fund/Quantitative Manager<br />
DeAnne Rau<br />
PM External Mgt<br />
PM Manager Private Equity<br />
Chris Rieddle<br />
PM Fixed Income<br />
Josh Biddinger<br />
Assoc Risk Analyst Risk Oversight<br />
Xiaoling Wang<br />
Inv Analyst Internal Equity<br />
Dave Buchholz<br />
Fund Mgt Analyst Fund Mgt<br />
Dan Sarver<br />
PM External Mgt<br />
Vacant<br />
PM Private Equity<br />
Erick Weis<br />
Index Portfolio Manager<br />
Greg Slone<br />
Sr Op Risk Analyst Risk Oversight<br />
Eric France<br />
PM Fixed Income<br />
Andrew Urban<br />
Fund Mgt Analyst Fund Mgt<br />
John Blue<br />
Sr Analyst External Mgt<br />
Louis Darmstadter<br />
PM Private Equity<br />
Scott Murray<br />
PM Internal Equity<br />
Roger Tong<br />
Quant Analyst<br />
Fund Mgt Analyst Fund Mgt<br />
Brian Wright<br />
Sr. Analyst External Mgt<br />
Samir Sidani<br />
PM Private Equity<br />
Vonetta McDonald<br />
Analyst<br />
Tim Swingle<br />
Sr Analyst Internal Equity<br />
Erik Cagnina<br />
PM Fixed Income<br />
Joan Stack<br />
Trading Mgr<br />
Hedge Fund Analyst<br />
Greg Cotterman<br />
Analyst Private Equity<br />
Chris Gregson<br />
Sr Analyst Internal Equity<br />
Sajjad Hussain<br />
Struct Pdt Analyst Fixed Income<br />
Page 8<br />
Matt Sherman<br />
Sr Trader<br />
Brad Sturm<br />
PM Real Estate<br />
Kevin Martin<br />
PM Internal Equity<br />
Mark Ehresman<br />
PM Fixed Income<br />
Christy Ruoff<br />
Trader II<br />
Steve Stuckwisch<br />
PM Real Estate<br />
Steve Barker<br />
Sr Analyst Internal Equity<br />
Tony Enderle<br />
Sr Analyst Fixed Income<br />
Trader<br />
Lewis Tracy<br />
Sr Analyst Real Estate<br />
Jack Lake<br />
Inv Analyst Internal Equity<br />
Nick Kotsonis<br />
Sr Analyst Fixed Income<br />
Todd Soots<br />
Sr Analyst Fixed Income<br />
Mike Parker<br />
Sr Inv Analyst Internal Equity<br />
JoAnn Yocum<br />
Inv Asst Fixed Income<br />
Joe Bouschelle<br />
Inv Analyst Internal Equity<br />
2010 Current Positions<br />
Positions Filled in 2010<br />
Vacant Positions<br />
<strong>2011</strong> New Positions<br />
Jerry May<br />
Cash/Sec Lending Manager<br />
Teresa Black<br />
Cash/Sec Lending Analyst<br />
Cash/Sec Lending Analyst
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Staffing Costs<br />
Assuming full staffing levels in <strong>2011</strong>, the chart below details the estimated $11.32 million of<br />
salaries, benefits and incentive compensation for the <strong>Investment</strong> Division. This represents<br />
approximately 1.55 basis points of cost compared to 1.62 basis points projected in the 2010<br />
Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong>.<br />
Total 2010<br />
Internal External Invest. Projected<br />
Mgmt. Mgmt. Division Total<br />
Salaries 5.49 2.22 7.71 7.47<br />
Benefits 1.87 0.74 2.61 2.60<br />
Incentive Compensation 0.75 0.25 1.00 1.20<br />
Total Compensation 8.11 3.21 11.32 11.27<br />
Average Assets ($ billions) 35.31 37.66 72.96 69.56<br />
Compensation (Basis Points) 2.3 0.9 1.55 1.62<br />
Operating Budget<br />
Estimated <strong>2011</strong> Total Compensation Costs<br />
($ millions)<br />
The <strong>Investment</strong> Division’s <strong>2011</strong> operating budget (excluding compensation) is $7.36 million<br />
(this operating budget is subject to change prior to its final approval in late 2010). This<br />
operating budget reflects an increase of $0.71 million, or 10.7% percent, from the 2010<br />
budget and, as a percentage of assets, is 1.01 basis points as compared to 0.96 basis<br />
points in 2010, or a 5% increase.<br />
Operating Budget less Total Compensation<br />
($ millions)<br />
Total<br />
Internal External Invest.<br />
Mgmt. Mgmt. Division<br />
2010 Operating Budget 4.25 2.40 6.65<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Operating Budget 4.54 2.82 7.36<br />
Percent Change 6.7% 17.5% 10.6%<br />
Percent of Total 61.7% 38.3% 100.0%<br />
Average Assets ($ billions) 35.31 37.66 72.96<br />
Operating Budget (Basis Points) 1.29 0.75 1.01<br />
Page 9
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Management Cost<br />
The expected annual external management fees by asset class for the <strong>Investment</strong> Division<br />
are in the table below. The estimate of fees is based on the <strong>2011</strong> projected average<br />
market value for the Defined Benefit and Health Care Funds, as shown by sub-asset class<br />
in the average assets column below.<br />
Estimate of External and Internal Management Costs<br />
Total for <strong>2011</strong><br />
External Management Internal Management<br />
Average Annual Annual Average Annual Annual<br />
Assets Cost Cost Assets Cost Cost<br />
($ millions) ($ millions) (bps) ($ millions) ($ millions) (bps)<br />
Public Equity 24,408 79.1 32.4 16,473 6.8 4.1<br />
U.S. Equity 4,881 29.3 60.0 15,973 6.0 4.4<br />
Non-U.S. Equity 19,528 49.8 25.5 500 0.8 2.1<br />
Public Fixed Income 3,991 15.7 39.4 15,343 4.8 3.1<br />
Core Fixed 100 0.4 35.0 11,634 4.2 3.6<br />
Long Bonds 0 NA NA 1,824 0.3 1.4<br />
TIPS 0 NA NA 425 0.1 2.1<br />
High Yield 3,284 12.6 38.5 0 NA NA<br />
Emerging Mkt Debt 607 2.7 45.0 0 NA NA<br />
Liquidity 0 NA NA 1,459 0.2 1.4<br />
Alternatives 11,000 196.8 178.9 1,745 1.0 5.7<br />
Private Equity 3,947 95.1 241.0 NA NA NA<br />
Real Estate 5,711 74.8 131.0 NA NA NA<br />
REIT 0 NA NA 729 0.7 10.2<br />
Hedge Funds 1,343 26.9 200.0 NA NA NA<br />
Opportunistic NA NA NA 895 0.1 1.4<br />
Commodities NA NA NA 121 0.1 10.0<br />
Total 39,399 291.6 74.0 33,562 12.6 3.7<br />
Custody and Overhead 1.4 2.9<br />
Internal Cost Allocation 6.0 NA<br />
Total Fund 39,399 298.1 75.7 33,562 15.5 4.6<br />
There is a significant cost advantage of internal management versus external management.<br />
Within U.S. Equity, the proportion of passive assets contributes to the lower internal<br />
management costs, reducing them by more than half over what they would be for active<br />
assets. Another source of cost savings is that it is less costly to manage assets internally<br />
(i.e. lower salaries and incentives, lower rent, less travel, no marketing costs, no standalone<br />
business expenses and no profit margin).<br />
Page 10
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Total Costs<br />
The total costs of the investment program in <strong>2011</strong> are projected to increase by<br />
approximately $96 million to $313.58 million, or 43.0 basis points of assets under<br />
management. This compares to 31.2 basis points as shown in the 2010 Annual <strong>Investment</strong><br />
<strong>Plan</strong>. The increase reflects the growing allocations to externally managed areas such as<br />
private equity, real estate, U.S. equity mid-cap and 130/30 strategies, hedge funds, and<br />
non-U.S. equity active managers.<br />
Total<br />
Internal External Invest. % of<br />
Mgmt. Mgmt. Division Total<br />
Total Compensation 8.11 3.21 11.32 3.6%<br />
Operating Budget less Compensation 4.54 2.82 7.36 2.3%<br />
Manager Fees 291.58 291.58 92.7%<br />
Custody and Overhead 4.34 1.4%<br />
Total Costs 12.65 297.61 314.60 100.0%<br />
Percent of Total 4.0% 94.6%<br />
Average <strong>2011</strong> Asset Size ($ billions) 35.31 37.66 72.96<br />
Costs in Basis Points 3.6 79.0 NA<br />
Costs in Basis Points to Total Fund 1.7 40.8 43.1<br />
Page 11<br />
Estimated <strong>2011</strong> Total Costs<br />
($ millions)<br />
In 2009 (the latest year for which figures are available), <strong>OPERS</strong> actual cost of 30.4 basis<br />
points was below the CEM benchmark cost of 35.1 basis points. CEM Benchmarking, Inc.<br />
is an independent benchmarking firm for pension plans and provides an assessment of<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> investment operations relative to a global set of peers.
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Peer Group Comparison<br />
The following chart compares the <strong>OPERS</strong> asset base and staffing to its peer group as of<br />
June 30, 2010.<br />
The chart above suggests that the <strong>Investment</strong> Division staffing level is relatively low<br />
compared to its asset base, particularly given the extent of internal management of assets.<br />
The focus of the management team continues to be on effectively increasing productivity<br />
and improving results without significantly increasing staff size, except when new<br />
responsibilities, investment strategies or sub-asset classes are added.<br />
The following table lists the public pension peer group referenced in the chart.<br />
Peers<br />
Public <strong>Plan</strong> Peer Group (as of 6/30/2010)<br />
Assets<br />
($ millions)<br />
California Public Employees' Retirement System $199,966 272<br />
California State Teachers' Retirement System $129,773 106<br />
State Board of Administration of Florida $109,344 82<br />
New York State Teachers' Retirement System $76,542 65<br />
State of Wisconsin <strong>Investment</strong> Board $74,444 124<br />
Washington State <strong>Investment</strong> Board $71,878 80<br />
New Jersey Division of <strong>Investment</strong> $66,851 67<br />
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System $65,937 50<br />
North Carolina Retirement System $65,253 24<br />
Ohio State Teachers Retirement System $56,891 109<br />
Oregon Public Employees' Retirement Fund $50,863 20<br />
Employees Retirement System of Georgia $13,604 46<br />
Page 12<br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Staff
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Risk Management<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> is committed ―to provide secure retirement benefits to our members‖ and believes<br />
that an effective and integrated investment risk management program is a fundamental part<br />
of that mission.<br />
Just as risk is an inseparable and essential part of investing, <strong>OPERS</strong> views risk<br />
management as an integral part of investment management. <strong>OPERS</strong> <strong>Investment</strong>s group<br />
strives to develop and uphold a ―risk-conscious culture‖ where risk owners and the<br />
responsibility to manage risk exist at every level of the investment organization. The<br />
reason for this is that risk management is believed to be most effective when it is<br />
incorporated throughout the decision making process - not just after the fact.<br />
Risk management is not risk elimination. <strong>OPERS</strong> views effective risk management as a<br />
dynamic process of identifying, assessing and prioritizing exposures, developing and<br />
implementing policies, programs and procedures to control, manage or mitigate risks, as<br />
well as monitoring and reporting of risks and activities. To be most successful, the risk<br />
management process must continually evolve and adapt to meet the changing environment<br />
and organizational needs.<br />
Objectives<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> seeks to enhance risk-adjusted returns – either through reducing losses or costs,<br />
minimizing the possibility of losses, or enhancing returns, and to ensure the prudent<br />
management of investment-related risks in accordance with <strong>OPERS</strong> policies and industry<br />
best-practices. The two components include (1) the proactive effort to maximize risk<br />
adjusted returns and minimize losses and (2) due diligence, risk governance or associated<br />
―prudent investor‖ activities which should be part of any investment management operation.<br />
Approach<br />
Many approaches and organizational models can be employed to effectively manage<br />
investment risk. <strong>OPERS</strong>’ approach is part of a continual, evolutionary process toward<br />
perceived best practice, and focuses on the adequacy of people, process and structure.<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> is focusing on the development of a dedicated, fund-level risk oversight function<br />
(without involvement in the direct management of assets). This alignment provides:<br />
A targeted business group with reduced conflicts of interest relating to asset<br />
management;<br />
An additional, discrete layer of risk control;<br />
Improved transparency and focus on risk management;<br />
A separate channel for escalation of risk issues.<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong>’ internal risk management approach is further supplemented by <strong>Investment</strong><br />
Compliance, Internal Audit, independent auditors, advisors and consultants to form a<br />
comprehensive ―governance, risk, and compliance‖ framework.<br />
Page 13
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Expected Asset Growth<br />
FUND STRATEGIES<br />
Defined Benefit Fund<br />
The table below summarizes Staff’s estimate (base case) of market value and ranges for<br />
the Defined Benefit Fund at December 31, <strong>2011</strong>. Pessimistic and optimistic cases are also<br />
provided for comparison purposes.<br />
Defined Benefit Fund<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Expected Asset Growth<br />
Estimated Market Values, Returns and Cash Flows<br />
Pessimistic Base Optimistic<br />
Case Case Case<br />
12/31/10 Market Value ($ billions) $60.1 $60.1 $60.1<br />
Expected Total Return -10.4% 6.3% 28.1%<br />
Expected <strong>Investment</strong> Gain ($ billions) -$6.2 $3.8 $16.9<br />
Expected Cash Flow ($ billions) -$2.4 -$2.4 -$2.4<br />
12/31/11 Market Value ($ billions) $51.5 $61.5 $74.6<br />
The anticipated market value of $60.1 billion for December 31, 2010 is derived by a<br />
smoothing projection.<br />
Asset Allocation<br />
The <strong>2011</strong> target asset allocation and ranges for the Defined Benefit Fund reflect an<br />
estimate by Staff of the progress made towards the long-term asset allocation targets. Also<br />
included are asset allocations for a comparable peer group as of June 30, 2010.<br />
12/31/2010 12/31/11 Peer<br />
Asset Class<br />
Estimated Target Range Group*<br />
Public Equity 58.5% 53.9% 40% to 60% 52.4%<br />
U.S. Equity 33.5% 24.9% Mkt. Wgt. ± 5% 32.8%<br />
Non-U.S. Equity 25.0% 29.0% Mkt. Wgt. ± 5% 19.6%<br />
Public Fixed Income 25.0% 25.0% 15% to 32% 30.9%<br />
Core Fixed 12.0% 18.0% 12% to 24% 27.2%<br />
Long Bonds 6.0% 0.0% 6% to 12% NA<br />
High Yield 5.0% 5.0% 2% to 8% 2.7%<br />
Liquidity 2.0% 2.0% 0% to 4% 1.0%<br />
Alternatives 16.5% 21.1% 8% to 30% 16.7%<br />
Private Equity 5.6% 7.1% 0% to 14% 8.6%<br />
Real Estate 8.8% 10.0% 0% to 14% 6.4%<br />
Hedge Funds 1.3% 2.4% 0% to 5% 1.7%<br />
Opportunistic 0.8% 1.6% 0% to 3% NA<br />
Total Defined Benefit Fund 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%<br />
*The asset allocations are derived from the organizations in the Peer Group Comparison section on page 11.<br />
Page 14
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Schedule of Expected Performance and Volatility<br />
Active Return Active Return Target Tracking<br />
Average Performance Performance Tracking Error Target<br />
Allocation Objectives Contribution Error Range Information<br />
(%) (bps) (bps) (bps) (bps) Ratio<br />
U.S. Equity 29.1% 20 5 50 0 - 100 0.40<br />
Non-U.S. Equity 27.0% 54 15 135 0 - 300 0.40<br />
Public Fixed Income 25.0% 20 5 50 0 - 200 0.40<br />
Alternatives 18.9% 77 15 NA NA NA<br />
Total DB Fund 100.0% NA 40 100 0 - 300* 0.40<br />
* The tracking error range for the Defined Benefit Fund is based on Public Markets assets.<br />
The above table shows an anticipated active management contribution of 40 basis points to<br />
the Fund’s return. The estimated tracking error of 100 basis points indicates a 68%<br />
probability that the active return will be in a range of -60 basis points to +140 basis points.<br />
This interval is calculated by subtracting the tracking error from, and adding the tracking<br />
error to, the expected active return. The expected contribution to fund performance is 40<br />
basis points for <strong>2011</strong> which compares to the 33 basis point target for 2010.<br />
The figures shown in the table above are aggregated from the component portfolios in each<br />
of the asset classes. The tracking error that results at the fund level is lower than would be<br />
suggested by a simple weighted average due to the diversifying effects of the active return<br />
interaction among the managers and the asset classes.<br />
Page 15
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Return and Risk<br />
The Defined Benefit Fund’s performance objective is to earn a long-term rate of return that<br />
exceeds the return of the Defined Benefit Fund policy benchmark within an appropriately<br />
constrained risk framework. The following table shows expected returns and return ranges<br />
for <strong>2011</strong>. These are the beta, or market returns, expected from each asset class, without<br />
regard to outperformance or underperformance relative to the benchmarks.<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Policy Return Assumptions<br />
Asset Classes Pessimistic Base Optimistic<br />
Public Equity -12.2% 8.2% 32.8%<br />
U.S. Equity -12.3% 8.1% 32.2%<br />
Non-U.S. Equity -12.0% 8.4% 33.7%<br />
Public Fixed Income -4.2% 0.3% 11.6%<br />
Core Fixed -3.9% -1.3% 9.4%<br />
High Yield -4.7% 6.2% 18.5%<br />
Liquidity 0.1% 0.3% 0.3%<br />
Alternatives -13.1% 8.4% 35.9%<br />
Private Equity -18.2% 9.2% 45.8%<br />
Real Estate -11.3% 8.2% 32.0%<br />
Hedge Funds -7.8% 7.4% 26.7%<br />
Opportunistic -7.8% 7.4% 26.7%<br />
Total Return -10.4% 6.3% 28.1%<br />
The return estimates in the table below were derived from the asset class return<br />
expectations developed by Mercer. The single-point estimate return of 6.68% is comprised<br />
of an expected return of 6.28% from the policy mix and an additional contribution of 0.40%<br />
from active management net of fees.<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Total Return Assumptions<br />
Sources of Return Pessimistic Base Optimistic<br />
Policy -10.36% 6.28% 28.08%<br />
Tactical -0.50% 0.00% 0.50%<br />
Active -0.60% 0.40% 1.40%<br />
Total Return -11.46% 6.68% 29.97%<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Total Risk and Risk for Return Assumptions<br />
Sources of Variability Information Sharpe<br />
Risk Risk Ratio Ratio<br />
Policy 10.50% 0.61<br />
Tactical 0.50%<br />
Active 1.00% 0.40<br />
Total Risk 11.20% 0.57<br />
Staff divides risk and return into three components as described below:<br />
Policy: The risk and return derived from the target policy asset allocation and the<br />
historical risk and return characteristics of the underlying asset classes.<br />
Tactical: The return and risk introduced by deviations from the policy asset mix.<br />
Active: The return and risk introduced by active management (security selection).<br />
Page 16
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Expected Asset Growth<br />
Health Care Fund<br />
The table below summarizes Staff’s estimate (base case) of market value and ranges for<br />
the Health Care Fund at December 31, <strong>2011</strong>. Pessimistic and optimistic cases are also<br />
provided for comparison purposes.<br />
Health Care Fund<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Expected Asset Growth<br />
Estimated Market Values, Returns and Cash Flows<br />
Pessimistic Base Optimistic<br />
Case Case Case<br />
12/31/10 Market Value ($ billions) $12.2 $12.2 $12.2<br />
Expected Total Return -9.0% 5.5% 24.9%<br />
Expected <strong>Investment</strong> Gain ($ billions) -$1.1 $0.7 $3.0<br />
Expected Cash Flow ($ billions) -$0.7 -$0.7 -$0.7<br />
12/31/11 Market Value ($ billions) $10.4 $12.1 $14.5<br />
The anticipated market value of $12.2 billion for December 31, 2010 is derived by a<br />
smoothing projection.<br />
Asset Allocation<br />
The <strong>2011</strong> target asset allocation and ranges for the Health Care Fund reflect Staff’s<br />
estimate of the progress that will be made towards the long-term asset allocation targets,<br />
which are shown below.<br />
12/31/2010 12/31/11<br />
Asset Class<br />
Estimated Target Range<br />
Public Equity 56.5% 54.8% 44% to 66%<br />
U.S. Equity 29.0% 22.9% Mkt. Wgt. ± 5%<br />
Non-U.S. Equity 27.5% 31.9% Mkt. Wgt. ± 5%<br />
Public Fixed Income 34.0% 34.0% 24% to 44%<br />
Core Fixed 21.5% 21.5% 15% to 28%<br />
TIPS 3.5% 3.5% 2% to 5%<br />
High Yield 2.0% 2.0% 0% to 4%<br />
Emerging Mkt Debt 5.0% 5.0% 1% to 9%<br />
Liquidity 2.0% 2.0% 0% to 4%<br />
Alternatives 9.5% 11.2% 2% to 14%<br />
Private Equity 0.2% 0.2% 0% to 2%<br />
REIT 6.0% 6.0% 2% to 10%<br />
Hedge Funds 1.4% 2.4% 0% to 5%<br />
Opportunistic 0.9% 1.6% 0% to 3%<br />
Commodities 1.0% 1.0% 0% to 2%<br />
Total Health Care Fund 100.0% 100.0%<br />
Unlike the Defined Benefit Fund, there is no peer universe of comparable large public<br />
pension plans that have dedicated health care funds.<br />
Page 17
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Schedule of Expected Performance and Volatility<br />
Active Return Active Return Target Tracking<br />
Average Performance Performance Tracking Error Target<br />
Allocation Objectives Contribution Error Range Information<br />
(%) (bps) (bps) (bps) (bps) Ratio<br />
U.S. Equity 26.0% 20 5 50 0 - 100 0.40<br />
Non-U.S. Equity 29.7% 54 16 135 0 - 300 0.40<br />
Public Fixed Income 34.0% 20 7 50 0 - 200 0.40<br />
Alternatives 10.3% 82 8 NA NA NA<br />
Total HC Fund 100.0% NA 36 90 0 - 300* 0.40<br />
* The tracking error range for the Health Care Fund is based on Public Markets assets.<br />
The above table shows an anticipated active management contribution of 36 basis points to<br />
the fund’s return. The estimated tracking error of 90 basis points indicates a 68%<br />
probability that the active return will be in a range of -54 basis points to +126 basis points.<br />
This interval is calculated by subtracting the tracking error from, and adding the tracking<br />
error to, the expected active return. The expected contribution to fund performance of 36<br />
basis points for <strong>2011</strong> is slightly lower than the 39 basis points target for 2010 primarily due<br />
to a lower performance objective for the Non-U.S. Equity asset class.<br />
The figures shown in the table above are aggregated from the component portfolios in each<br />
of the asset classes. The tracking error that results at the fund level is lower than would be<br />
suggested by a simple weighted average due to the diversifying effects of the active return<br />
interaction among the managers and the asset classes.<br />
Page 18
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Return and Risk<br />
The Health Care Fund’s performance objective is to earn a long-term rate of return that<br />
exceeds the return of the Health Care Fund policy benchmark within an appropriately<br />
constrained risk framework. The following table shows expected returns and return ranges<br />
for <strong>2011</strong>. These are the beta, or market returns, expected from each asset class, without<br />
regard to outperformance or underperformance relative to the benchmarks.<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Policy Return Assumptions<br />
Asset Classes Pessimistic Base Optimistic<br />
Public Equity -12.2% 8.2% 32.9%<br />
U.S. Equity -12.3% 8.1% 32.2%<br />
Non-U.S. Equity -12.0% 8.4% 33.7%<br />
Public Fixed Income -4.2% 0.5% 11.4%<br />
Core Fixed -3.9% -1.3% 9.4%<br />
TIPS -1.8% 0.4% 8.2%<br />
High Yield -4.7% 6.2% 18.5%<br />
Emerging Mkt Debt -8.8% 6.3% 24.1%<br />
Liquidity 0.1% 0.3% 0.3%<br />
Alternatives -8.2% 6.9% 25.4%<br />
REIT -7.4% 7.1% 24.3%<br />
Hedge Funds -7.8% 7.4% 26.7%<br />
Opportunistic -7.8% 7.4% 26.7%<br />
Commodities -12.2% 3.4% 24.1%<br />
Total Return -9.0% 5.5% 24.8%<br />
The return estimates in the table below were derived from the asset class return<br />
expectations developed by Mercer. The single-point estimate return of 5.84% is comprised<br />
of an expected return of 5.48% from the policy mix and an additional contribution of 0.36%<br />
from active management net of fees.<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Total Return Assumptions<br />
Sources of Return Pessimistic Base Optimistic<br />
Policy -9.05% 5.48% 24.85%<br />
Tactical -0.50% 0.00% 0.50%<br />
Active -0.54% 0.36% 1.26%<br />
Total Return -10.08% 5.84% 26.61%<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Total Risk and Risk Attribution Assumptions<br />
Sources of Variability Information Sharpe<br />
Risk Risk Ratio Ratio<br />
Policy 8.50% 0.64<br />
Tactical 0.50%<br />
Active 0.90% 0.40<br />
Total Risk 9.10% 0.61<br />
Due to rounding, the total return may not appear to sum from the sources of return.<br />
Variability risk is measured by standard deviation for policy and total risk and by tracking<br />
error is used for active risk.<br />
Page 19
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Expected Asset Growth<br />
Defined Contribution Fund<br />
Since its inception on January 2, 2003 the Defined Contribution Fund’s assets have grown<br />
to $393 million. For the year through August 31, asset growth has been $33 million.<br />
Future growth of the Defined Contribution Fund assets is expected to be slightly above<br />
historical averages due to the addition of nearly 2,000 new participants each year.<br />
The following table shows the distribution of assets across the various <strong>OPERS</strong> investment<br />
options within the Defined Contribution Fund as of August 31, 2010.<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> <strong>Investment</strong> Options<br />
Defined Contribution Fund Assets<br />
Total for <strong>2011</strong><br />
Assets Under<br />
Management<br />
($ millions)<br />
Page 20<br />
Estimated<br />
Annual Fees<br />
($ millions)<br />
Estimated<br />
Annual Fees<br />
(bps)<br />
Core Funds<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Stable Value Fund $37.6 $0.06 23<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Bond Index Fund $24.4 $0.03 4<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Stock Index Fund $34.9 $0.04 3<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Large Cap Index Fund $26.3 $0.03 5<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Small Cap Index Fund $22.8 $0.03 8<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Non-U.S. Stock Index Fund $27.8 $0.04 10<br />
Target Date Funds<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target Payout Fund $8.8 $0.02 10<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2015 Fund $16.4 $0.02 7<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2020 Fund $27.3 $0.03 7<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2025 Fund $34.5 $0.04 8<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2030 Fund $42.3 $0.05 8<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2035 Fund $45.3 $0.05 8<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2040 Fund $46.2 $0.05 8<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2045 Fund $29.1 $0.04 8<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2050 Fund $10.5 $0.02 8<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2055 Fund $0.6 $0.01 8<br />
Total $434.7 $0.57 13<br />
Asset Allocation<br />
The target asset allocation and ranges for the Target Date Funds can be found in the<br />
Defined Contribution Fund Policy. Target asset allocations for the Target Date Funds<br />
migrate over time with the mix between equity-oriented allocations and fixed incomeoriented<br />
allocations becoming more conservative as the target date approaches the<br />
retirement date.<br />
The <strong>OPERS</strong> Target Date Funds were introduced on October 1, 2008. In December 2010,<br />
the <strong>OPERS</strong> <strong>Investment</strong> Options, including the Target Date Funds, will become primarily<br />
passive with the exception of the Stable Value Fund. Additionally, as part of normal<br />
progression, the <strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2010 Fund will transition into the <strong>OPERS</strong> Target Payout<br />
Fund. The asset allocation for several of the Target Date Funds will include TIPS and Long<br />
Duration as of December 2010 to improve risk-adjusted return expectations and enhance<br />
diversification.
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Moving the Core Funds and Target Date Funds to primarily passive management provides<br />
less active risk and lower fees. However, transitioning completely to passive management<br />
constrains DC participants who want active investment options. During the first quarter of<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, a self-directed mutual fund brokerage account will be available to the DC <strong>Plan</strong><br />
participant in an effort to broaden the amount of active management available to interested<br />
participants.<br />
The self-directed brokerage account will include the following protective parameters:<br />
Only designated mutual funds can be purchased through the window,<br />
Maximum of 50% of the member’s portfolio is allowed to be invested though the<br />
brokerage window though the <strong>Plan</strong> will not rebalance the brokerage investments<br />
should they grow to exceed 50% of participants assets.<br />
An account minimum of $5,000 is required before a participant can use the window.<br />
The annual cost of the window is borne by the participant using the window.<br />
Return, Risk and Benchmark<br />
Mercer <strong>Investment</strong> Consulting provided the asset class return expectations listed in the<br />
table below based on their capital markets modeling assumptions. Those assumptions<br />
reflect forward looking total returns, fundamental data and valuation levels. The <strong>Investment</strong><br />
Staff does attempts to mitigate tactical risk by rebalancing the <strong>OPERS</strong> <strong>Investment</strong> Options<br />
quarterly when the allocations are outside their respective policy ranges. The returns listed<br />
below are neither predictions of, nor guarantees for, future performance.<br />
Schedule of Expected Performance and Volatility<br />
Average<br />
Assets Under<br />
Management<br />
($ millions) Benchmark<br />
Page 21<br />
Return<br />
(%)<br />
Risk*<br />
(%)<br />
Performance<br />
Objectives<br />
(bps)<br />
Target<br />
Tracking<br />
Error<br />
(bps)<br />
Target<br />
Information<br />
Ratio<br />
Core Funds<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Stable Value Fund $37.6 Custom SV** 3.70% 3.00% 10 NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Bond Index Fund $24.4 Barclays Aggregate 4.10% 6.00% 0 25 0.00<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Stock Index Fund $34.9 Russell 3000 8.00% 20.80% 30 70 0.43<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Large Cap Index Fund $26.3 Russell 1000 7.90% 20.00% 0 15 0.00<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Small Cap Index Fund $22.8 Russell 2000 8.20% 24.30% 0 25 0.00<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Non-U.S. Stock Index Fund $27.8 MSCI ACWI ex-US 8.30% 20.90% 0 75 0.00<br />
Target Date Funds<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target Payout Fund $8.8 Custom Payout*** 5.65% 6.62% 6.1% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2015 Fund $16.4 Custom 2015*** 6.51% 9.67% 7.4% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2020 Fund $27.3 Custom 2020*** 7.26% 12.76% 7.8% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2025 Fund $34.5 Custom 2025*** 7.85% 15.57% 8.0% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2030 Fund $42.3 Custom 2030*** 8.00% 16.34% 8.1% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2035 Fund $45.3 Custom 2035*** 8.07% 16.70% 8.2% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2040 Fund $46.2 Custom 2040*** 8.15% 17.25% 8.2% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2045 Fund $29.1 Custom 2045*** 8.23% 17.79% 8.3% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2050 Fund $10.5 Custom 2050*** 8.23% 17.79% 8.4% NA NA<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target 2055 Fund $0.6 Custom 2055*** 8.23% 17.79% 8.4% NA NA<br />
* Risk is defined in this table as the forward-looking annualized standard deviation of returns.<br />
** The Custom Stable Value Index is comprised of the following weights: 5% Merrill Lynch 3-Month Treasury<br />
Bills, 45% Barclays 1-5 Year Government/Corporate Bond, 35% Barclays Intermediate<br />
Government/Corporate and 15% Barclays Aggregate; smoothed over three year periods.<br />
*** The custom indices for the Target Date Funds are weighted based on the benchmarks of the respective<br />
<strong>OPERS</strong> Target Date Fund target allocations.
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
ASSET CLASS STRATEGIES<br />
Tactical Outlook<br />
The following tactical outlook provides a background and context for the asset class<br />
strategies for both the Defined Benefit and Health Care Funds.<br />
The following are overviews of the two components of the tactical outlook: the economic<br />
outlook and the investment outlook. The economic outlook summary was provided by the<br />
Board’s general investment advisor, Mercer <strong>Investment</strong> Consulting, in November, 2010. A<br />
comprehensive economic outlook from Mercer is included as Appendix A. The investment<br />
outlook below is provided by <strong>OPERS</strong>’ <strong>Investment</strong> Staff and summarized by asset class.<br />
Economic Outlook<br />
Continued subdued growth in developed economies and average growth in emerging<br />
markets.<br />
Low inflation to continue into <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Efforts to fight deflation are modestly successful, producing low inflation in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
The downside of Quantitative Easing (QE) is a continued steep yield curve, as the<br />
market fears rising inflation in the middle of the decade.<br />
The Federal Reserve is not expected to raise interest rates until mid to late <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Unemployment rate starts to gradually fall.<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Outlook<br />
Information gathered from a variety of sources was used to determine the investment<br />
outlook for <strong>2011</strong>. Information considered includes Mercer’s outlook, research from<br />
investment banks, discussions with and research by external investment managers,<br />
feedback from asset class advisors, discussions with peers and industry experts and<br />
academic and informational periodicals.<br />
U.S. Equity Outlook<br />
We expected strong performance in the first half of 2010, but were uncertain on how the<br />
medication provided to the economy via fiscal and monetary stimulus would affect the<br />
balance of 2010. The S&P 500 appreciated into April 2010, but was ultimately bogged<br />
down by a lack of understanding by investors of the government forces at work both<br />
domestically, as well as abroad and the uncertainty surrounding their effectiveness.<br />
Currently, investors fear the unknown as the Federal Reserve embarks on another<br />
round of QE. <strong>Investment</strong> banks’ ―Buy‖ ratings are at their lowest levels in many years,<br />
confidence continues to show a relatively anemic and shaky improvement pattern, and<br />
downward revisions or negative preannouncements in front of the third quarter earnings<br />
per share season were very high relative to the last several quarters, and for stock<br />
investors is considered good news.<br />
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Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
With all the constant bearishness, it might be helpful to explain why the S&P 500 is at its<br />
current price level. For the most part, the S&P 500 has an extremely low multiple<br />
because investors have difficulty projecting S&P 500 earnings over the next 3 years<br />
since there is a large range of potential outcomes. Consequently, investors are not<br />
willing to assign a full valuation multiple.<br />
A question for <strong>2011</strong> is: ―Are there events on the horizon which can reduce the level of<br />
potential outcomes and thereby narrow the range of earnings per share possibilities for<br />
the S&P 500?‖ In the short-term, the answer is yes. In the long-term, it is not as clear,<br />
leaving us practically with a similar outlook that we had at this time last year.<br />
In the short term, the ―cancel-replace‖ scenario from the U.S. election results is actually<br />
a positive for the stock market. It is positive because it is unlikely that much legislation,<br />
―change‖, as has been passed in the last two years will occur. Consequently, investors<br />
have to tighten their expectations for S&P 500 earnings in the forward three years as<br />
the uncertainty surrounding legislation will be reduced. In addition, the Federal Reserve<br />
has made it as clear that they will maintain an accommodative monetary policy. Also,<br />
the Obama administration may take a more business-friendly stance and therefore, you<br />
have both monetary and fiscal stimulus in an accommodative stance.<br />
Despite all the bad news and concerns, we believe the U.S. equity market will trend<br />
higher in <strong>2011</strong> and advance over 10%.<br />
Non-U.S. Equity Outlook<br />
Despite the best efforts of central banks, developed economies continue to grow below<br />
historical levels. Developed nations also continue to face headwinds from excessive<br />
budget deficits, growing debt levels, reduced consumer spending and aging<br />
populations.<br />
Emerging countries are generally better positioned for growth due to their modest levels<br />
of government and consumer debt, combined with a younger and growing consumer<br />
culture. In addition, the dependence of those markets on exports for economic growth<br />
is moderating.<br />
Globally, monetary policy remains accommodative in all major regions, corporate<br />
balance sheets are flush with cash, earnings are growing and there is increasing global<br />
political gridlock leading to reduced political risk aversion. All these factors should be<br />
beneficial to equities.<br />
U.S. dollar weakness continues, driven by low interest rates and continued fiscal and<br />
monetary measures to stimulate the economy.<br />
Given this outlook, the <strong>OPERS</strong> Non-U.S. Equity portfolio is overweight emerging<br />
markets and remains unhedged versus the U.S. dollar.<br />
Fixed Income Outlook<br />
Our base case scenario for <strong>2011</strong> calls for moderate economic growth in the 1to 3<br />
percent range, a slowly falling unemployment rate and a bottoming of inflation<br />
Page 23
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
expectations. As a result, the Federal Reserve will most likely maintain a zero interest<br />
rate policy longer than they normally would during a cyclical economic recovery, which<br />
could keep monetary tightening at bay for at least half of <strong>2011</strong> and quite possibly for<br />
most of the calendar year. Of course, this policy could be reversed if economic growth<br />
surprises to the upside during the year. Given this backdrop, interest rates are<br />
expected to stay low until it is clear the economy can grow without substantial fiscal or<br />
monetary policy assistance and could begin to trend upwards as early as the second<br />
quarter but more likely in the second half of the year. The yield curve will then most<br />
likely exhibit a bearish steepener with the long end of the curve trading off initially and<br />
then the front end of the curve following suit as the Federal Reserve makes clear its QE<br />
exit strategy.<br />
TIPS will offer downside protection relative to nominal treasuries once rates begin to<br />
rise and inflation expectations begin to creep back into the market.<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> grade credit should benefit from low, range bound interest rates early in the<br />
year and then narrow in spread to U.S. treasuries securities if rates rise, particularly if<br />
the economy recovers more quickly than anticipated. Risks include debt financed M&A<br />
and share buybacks.<br />
Government intervention will dictate the performance of Agency Mortgage Backed<br />
Securities. It will be mildly positive if the Federal Reserve includes it in future QE<br />
initiatives but overwhelmingly negative if the government indiscriminately sponsors a<br />
mortgage refinance wave so a tactical underweight is warranted to start the year.<br />
Another year of shrinking supply in securitized product should benefit that sector relative<br />
to U.S. treasuries in <strong>2011</strong> although expectations of losses have already fallen<br />
significantly in 2010 reducing their potential outperformance for the coming year.<br />
Private Equity Outlook<br />
New investment activity should gradually increase as credit markets continue to improve<br />
and the business environment becomes less volatile, but the scale of investment activity<br />
should remain below the peak levels of 2006 to 2007.<br />
Exit activity should broadly increase as potential buyers become more confident in their<br />
own stability and as they obtain greater visibility into a target company’s future<br />
performance expectations.<br />
The secondary market should experience increased transaction volume driven by a<br />
structural shift in investor’s preference for liquidity and by sellers needing to rebalance<br />
their portfolios for regulatory and strategic reasons.<br />
Distressed and other credit related strategies are considered interesting investment<br />
opportunities as the pace of the deleveraging/restructuring of corporate balance sheets<br />
increases.<br />
Valuations for quality companies will continue to remain high, buoyed by credit-starved<br />
investors reaching for yield.<br />
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Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Real Estate Outlook<br />
Real estate fundamentals will improve in <strong>2011</strong> because of the expected growth in GDP<br />
and the limited property development pipeline.<br />
Transaction volume will continue to increase in the coming year due to aggressive<br />
bidding by potential buyers.<br />
Capitalization rates will remain low and asset pricing will remain aggressive as long as<br />
the low interest rate environment persists.<br />
Page 25
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Public Equity<br />
In <strong>2011</strong>, a key objective for the Public Equity allocation is to reallocate toward a global<br />
equity exposure. The Public Equity allocation’s structure will be transitioned from an equal<br />
weight of U.S. Equity and Non-U.S. Equity to a global market weighting. The target weights<br />
will be determined quarterly based on the MSCI All Country World Index - Investable<br />
Market Index (MSCI ACWI-IMI) U.S. versus Non-U.S. weights. The index weight at the end<br />
of November 2010 was 43% U.S. Equity and 57% Non-U.S. Equity.<br />
As shown in the following table, the benchmark for the U.S. Equity asset class is the<br />
Russell 3000 and the performance objective is to outperform by 20 basis points, net of<br />
fees. The tracking error target is 50 basis points with a range of 0 to 100 basis points. The<br />
benchmark for the Non-U.S. Equity asset class is the All Country World excluding the<br />
United States - Investable Market Index (MSCI ACWIxU.S.- IMI), unhedged, and net of<br />
dividends. The performance objective is to outperform by 54 basis points, net of fees, with<br />
a target tracking error of 135 basis points with a range of 0 to 300 basis points. During<br />
<strong>2011</strong>, the Non-U.S. Equity benchmark will be transitioning to 65% MSCI World Index<br />
excluding the United States - Investable Market Index and 35% MSCI Emerging Markets.<br />
Public Equity<br />
Expected Performance and Tracking Error<br />
Performance Target<br />
Objectives Tracking Target<br />
(net of fees) Error Information<br />
Benchmark (bps) (bps) Ratio<br />
U.S. Equity Russell 3000 20 50 0.40<br />
Non-U.S. Equity MSCI ACWI-xUS-IMI 54 135 0.40<br />
Staff is seeking to increase the proportion of active management during <strong>2011</strong> in Public<br />
Equity with a commensurate increase in the target tracking error with the goal of achieving<br />
higher levels of alpha. To accomplish this, new managers are being sourced in areas such<br />
as U.S. and Non-U.S. small cap active, Non-U.S. Core, U.S. mid-cap active and 130/30<br />
U.S. equity, which will be allocated to external managers and one internal portfolio.<br />
The U.S. Equity assets are planned to be allocated to managers employing various<br />
strategies including index, enhanced index, active, quantitative, options-based and 130/30<br />
(long-short). U.S. Equity managers are assigned various domestic equity-oriented<br />
benchmarks including the Russell 200 (mega-cap), Russell 1000 (large-cap), Russell 800<br />
(mid-cap), or Russell 2000 (small-cap). The mega-cap (greater than $10 billion) space in<br />
the U.S. Equity market is highly efficient and will largely be indexed while active<br />
management will predominantly be used in the mid and small-cap areas.<br />
The structure of the Non-U.S. Equity allocation will be transitioned in <strong>2011</strong> from<br />
benchmark-weighted allocations to MSCI developed international markets (EAFE –Europe,<br />
Australasia, Far East) and Emerging Markets to a structure that overweights Emerging<br />
Markets and has an allocation to developed Non-U.S. equity small-cap markets.<br />
The use of derivatives is also employed as a cost-effective, flexible, operationally efficient<br />
and expeditious way to manage exposures in both the U.S. Equity and Non-U.S. Equity<br />
asset classes.<br />
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Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Public Fixed Income<br />
The objective for the Public Fixed Income asset class is obtain global fixed income<br />
exposure with allocations to the following sub-asset classes.<br />
The Core Fixed allocation is benchmarked to the Barclays Aggregate Index and<br />
provides broad-based exposure to fixed income assets including treasury securities,<br />
corporate bonds, agency bonds and structured securities. Internal management is used<br />
for the majority of this exposure.<br />
The High Yield allocation is benchmarked to the Barclays High Yield Index and provides<br />
exposure to corporate non-investment grade bonds. External managers are employed<br />
to manage the high yield exposure.<br />
The Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) portfolio is benchmarked to the<br />
Barclays TIPS Index and is managed internally.<br />
Emerging Market Debt portfolios provide exposure to international emerging market<br />
bonds and is currently managed utilizing two external managers.<br />
The Liquidity Funds, managed internally, are to provide liquidity during periods when the<br />
ability to liquidate other asset classes are constrained or too costly.<br />
Public Fixed Income<br />
Expected Performance and Tracking Error<br />
Performance Target<br />
Objectives Tracking Target<br />
(net of fees) Error Information<br />
Benchmark (bps) (bps) Ratio<br />
Core Fixed Barclays Agg 30 75 0.40<br />
Long Bonds Barclays Long G/C 40 100 0.40<br />
High Yield Barclays HY 100 250 0.40<br />
Liquidity 3-Month T-Bill 0 0 NA<br />
TIPS Barclays TIPS 30 75 0.40<br />
Emerging Market Debt Custom* 140 350 0.40<br />
* 50/50 mix of the JP Morgan EM Bond Index Global & the JP Morgan Govt Bond<br />
Index-Emerging Markets Global Diversified<br />
The Defined Benefit and Health Care Funds each have allocations designed to meet their<br />
long-term obligations and have allocations to the above fixed income security types. See<br />
page 15 for the Defined Benefit Fund allocation and page 18 for the Health Care Fund<br />
allocations.<br />
Securities Lending<br />
The securities lending program uses a combination of lending agents to maximize lending<br />
revenue. <strong>OPERS</strong> uses agents who provide competitive fee splits, while providing adequate<br />
risk controls and expertise in the asset class being loaned. There is a bias toward lending<br />
assets in an auction environment so that borrowers are providing maximum revenue in a<br />
competitive environment on a regular basis. In <strong>2011</strong>, Staff plans to begin lending the<br />
Treasury and Agency assets in-house. This change will increase revenue and necessitate<br />
the addition of another internal resource to assist with that process. The collateral from the<br />
securities lending program is managed internally. The combined lending revenue and<br />
investment income comprise the total securities lending performance.<br />
Page 27
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Cash Management<br />
The cash portfolios are managed with a low-to-moderate risk profile that results in principal<br />
preservation, while exceeding the performance of the respective benchmarks. The<br />
benchmark of the <strong>OPERS</strong> Short Term <strong>Investment</strong> Funds (STIF) is the 91-day Treasury bill.<br />
The benchmark for the Securities Lending STIF is the Fed Funds Open Rate. Each<br />
portfolio is run separately, with Staff targeting assets that are most likely to generate<br />
performance above the respective portfolio benchmarks. Staff is currently considering new<br />
guidelines and a new structure for the cash portfolios that would allow greater focus on the<br />
management of liquidity in this asset class. The general structure will incorporate new<br />
liquidity buckets that will be unitized for purchase by the individual cash portfolios.<br />
Page 28
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Alternatives<br />
The Alternatives asset class is composed of private equity, real estate, hedge funds,<br />
infrastructure and commodities investment strategies. The Defined Benefit and Health<br />
Care Funds invest differently in the Alternatives asset class to meet their unique investment<br />
objectives. The Defined Contribution Fund does not have an allocation to Alternatives<br />
The following table summarizes the benchmark, performance objectives and tracking error<br />
for the various alternative investment strategies utilized within the Fund.<br />
Private Equity<br />
Alternatives<br />
Expected Performance and Tracking Error<br />
Performance Target<br />
Objectives Tracking Target<br />
(net of fees) Error Information<br />
Benchmark (bps) (bps) Ratio<br />
Private Equity Russell 3000 + 3% 100 NA NA<br />
Real Estate NPI 50 NA NA<br />
Hedge Funds LIBOR + 4%* 50 NA NA<br />
Opportunistic Custom** 200 NA NA<br />
REIT DJ RESI 80 200 0.40<br />
* With a minimum return of 7%<br />
** Market cap weighted average of underlying investments<br />
The current investing environment for most large sophisticated investors today is<br />
constrained by the excesses of 2006-2008 commitment period which typically resulted in<br />
either an over allocation to the asset class and/or the need for investors to rebalance their<br />
portfolios. As a consequence, the Private Equity Staff intends to invest in secondaries,<br />
distressed credit strategies, and other situations. In addition, Staff intends to continue to<br />
invest in high quality general partners. A special focus will be given to emerging markets,<br />
sector-focused strategies, and small/mid market corporate finance related managers.<br />
Real Estate<br />
Core real estate properties are intended to be reduced with increases to opportunistic and<br />
distressed real estate equity and debt.<br />
The Private Market Real Estate program consists of two components; a stable (beta)<br />
portfolio and a high-return (alpha) portfolio. The beta portfolio is comprised of stable,<br />
positive cash-flowing core properties and constitutes no less than 65% of the Private<br />
Market Real Estate portfolio. The high-return (alpha) portfolio consists of both U.S. and<br />
non-U.S. Real Estate investments, such as non-core development, redevelopment or<br />
repositioning of all property types.<br />
The Health Care Fund’s exposure to real estate is obtained through investments in publicly<br />
traded Real Estate <strong>Investment</strong> Trusts (REITs).<br />
Page 29
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Hedge Funds<br />
The Hedge Fund allocation is expected to grow from $105 million at the end of the third<br />
quarter of 2010, to approximately $2 billion by the end of <strong>2011</strong>. Staff is in the final stages<br />
of the hiring process for new fund of hedge fund managers, which will be funded in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
We are also in the process of identifying hedge fund consultants which will begin working<br />
with the Board and Staff in <strong>2011</strong>. In addition, we will focus on direct multi-strategy and<br />
single strategy hedge funds to bring <strong>OPERS</strong> total allocation to the $2 billion level.<br />
Opportunistic<br />
The Opportunistic allocation allows <strong>OPERS</strong> to allocate to investment strategies or employ<br />
instruments that do not fit within one of the traditional asset class categories. Each strategy<br />
will be evaluated on its own merit and whether or not the strategy is feasible and scalable.<br />
An internally managed Emerging Markets currency portfolio was developed and funded in<br />
November 2010 and will likely be expanded in <strong>2011</strong>. The Opportunistic Debt portfolios are<br />
planned to be restructured to be more actively managed.<br />
Commodities<br />
The Health Care Fund’s commodity allocation of 1% was fully funded in 2010 and<br />
commodity exposure has also been used tactically in the Defined Benefit Fund as part of<br />
the Opportunistic allocation.<br />
Page 30
<strong>2011</strong><br />
Appendix A
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
The Economic Prospects for <strong>2011</strong><br />
October 30, 2010<br />
Global Growth: Issues and Themes<br />
� Continued subdued growth in developed economies. Average growth in emerging<br />
markets.<br />
� Low inflation continues into <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
� Efforts to fight deflation are modestly successful, producing low inflation in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
However, the downside of Quantitative Easing is a continued steep yield curve, as the<br />
market fears rising inflation in the middle of the decade.<br />
� Fed doesn’t raise interest rates until mid- to late <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
� Unemployment starts to gradually fall.<br />
Overview<br />
Overall, we project another year of slightly below average economic growth across the<br />
globe for <strong>2011</strong>. Developed markets, struggling to contain budget deficits and nurse still<br />
fragile financial sectors, will produce slightly below average growth. Emerging markets are<br />
stronger and should produce average growth, which for them, is above the average growth<br />
for developed markets. However, emerging markets will start to see strains of overheated<br />
and unbalanced economies.<br />
Inflation should be slightly below average as well, as the deflationary effects of the credit<br />
crunch and excess capacity are felt.<br />
Perhaps the major issue of <strong>2011</strong> will be sovereign debt globally and state and municipal<br />
debt locally. There is a reasonable possibility that Europe will avoid another Greek fiscal<br />
crisis during the year, but we are not optimistic that the problem has been resolved.<br />
Ireland, Portugal, Spain, and Italy face strenuous fiscal pressures that are unlikely to<br />
improve without a burst of global growth.<br />
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Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Summary Economic Projections for <strong>2011</strong>, In Percent<br />
Overall Global Growth<br />
Mercer Projections IMF Survey [1] Bloomberg Survey [2]<br />
Region Growth Inflation Growth Inflation Growth Inflation<br />
US 2.6 1.5 2.6 1.4 2.4 1.5<br />
Eurozone 2.0 1.2 1.7 1.6 -- --<br />
UK 2.3 1.5 1.7 3.1 -- --<br />
Japan 2.0 0.5 2.8 -1.0 -- --<br />
China -- -- 10.5 3.5 -- --<br />
India -- -- 9.7 13.2 -- --<br />
[1] International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook , October 2010<br />
[2] Bloomberg October 13, 2010 Survey of economic forecasts<br />
Global growth should return to above average levels in <strong>2011</strong><br />
Global Projected Growth Rates for 2010 and <strong>2011</strong><br />
Projected Projected Average<br />
Region 2007 2008 2009 2010 <strong>2011</strong> Since 1980<br />
World 5.3 2.8 -0.6 4.8 4.2 3.3<br />
Developed 2.7 0.2 -3.2 2.7 2.2 2.5<br />
Emerging Markets 8.7 6.0 2.5 7.1 6.4 4.4<br />
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook , October 2010<br />
Projected Growth and Inflation for Selected Countries and Regions<br />
Economic Growth Inflation<br />
2010 <strong>2011</strong> 2010 <strong>2011</strong><br />
US 2.6 2.3 1.4 1.0<br />
Europe-Euro Area 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.5<br />
United Kingdom 1.7 2.0 3.1 2.5<br />
Japan 2.8 1.5 -1.0 -0.3<br />
China 10.5 9.6 3.5 2.7<br />
India 9.7 8.4 13.2 6.7<br />
Developing Western Hemishere 5.7 4.0 6.1 5.8<br />
Asia Emerging Markets 9.4 8.4 6.1 4.2<br />
Central and Eastern Europe 3.7 3.1 5.2 4.1<br />
Russia 4.0 4.3 6.6 7.4<br />
Sub-Saharan Africa 5.0 5.5 7.5 7.0<br />
Middle East and North Africa 4.1 5.1 6.8 6.2<br />
World 4.8 4.2 3.7 3.1<br />
Source: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook , October 2010<br />
Page 33
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
United States<br />
Although clearly improved in the last 18 months, the US economy still faces many<br />
headwinds.<br />
� The biggest impediment to a stronger recovery is the anemic housing market. Just<br />
about every measure of the market—housing starts, sales, inventories, foreclosures—<br />
shows a market with profound problems. Housing prices stopped falling in 2009, but<br />
have stalled in the last few months. A strong housing market is one of the hallmarks of<br />
post-WWII recoveries. We do not expect the housing market to improve much in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
� Restrained consumption growth. Household savings rates have increased to 6.0%, a<br />
reasonable level, but other measures are not encouraging. Net Worth is still well below<br />
the peak in 2007 and remains at 2004 levels (even worse in inflation-adjusted terms).<br />
The tough job market does not help consumer confidence. We expect modest<br />
consumption growth in <strong>2011</strong>—around 2.0% to 2.5%.<br />
� Fiscal problems at the Federal, State, and local level. We worry that some states and<br />
municipalities face even more cut-backs and budgetary woes in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
� Continued restraint in the financial sector as it nurses back to health.<br />
There are strengths in the US economy.<br />
� Corporate sector. US corporations adjusted very quickly and rebounded back to<br />
profitability very quickly. They have ample cash reserves, so they could start investing<br />
and hiring very quickly.<br />
� A lower dollar could spark a round of export growth. After improving dramatically from<br />
2007 to 2009, the trade deficit has worsened in the last few quarters. However, the<br />
declining dollar and moderate growth in the emerging markets should provide a lift to<br />
exports in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Mercer Projections for US Inflation and Economic Growth: <strong>2011</strong>-2030<br />
Inflation<br />
<strong>2011</strong> 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 to Cumulative Rates<br />
Probability Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 2030 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 10 yr 20 yr<br />
Highest Inflation 10% 3.0% 4.5% 5.5% 7.5% 5.0% 3.8% 3.0% 3.7% 4.3% 5.1% 4.4% 4.1%<br />
Higher Inflation 20% 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 3.5% 3.2%<br />
Baseline 40% 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 2.6% 1.5% 1.7% 2.2% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6%<br />
Lower Inflation 20% 0.7% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 2.0% 2.2%<br />
Lowest Inflation 10% -0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.8% -0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5%<br />
Weighted Average 100% 1.5% 2.4% 3.3% 3.7% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7%<br />
Real GDP Growth<br />
<strong>2011</strong> 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 to Cumulative Rates<br />
Probability Dec Dec Dec Dec Dec 2030 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 10 yr 20 yr<br />
Highest Growth 10% 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 4.4% 4.1% 3.5% 3.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.1% 3.8% 3.6%<br />
Higher Growth 20% 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 3.0% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2%<br />
Baseline 35% 2.6% 2.9% 3.1% 3.3% 3.1% 2.9% 2.6% 2.7% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9%<br />
Lower Growth 25% 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.2% 2.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2.3%<br />
Lowest Growth 10% 0.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 0.0% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0%<br />
Weighted Average 100% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 2.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 2.8% 2.8% 2.8%<br />
Page 34
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
Europe<br />
The economic recovery in Europe is slow and uneven, as domestic demand in France and<br />
the UK remains low and peripheral countries are plagued by more structural economic<br />
issues. Industrialized countries in Europe are projected to grow at 1.7% in 2010 and 1.5%<br />
in <strong>2011</strong>, while emerging Europe is expected to grow at 3.7% in 2010 and 3.1% in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Forecasters are concerned with Europe’s financial sector, as the sovereign debt crisis in<br />
peripheral countries can trickle into the euro area. Many European banks are dependent on<br />
government aid, and Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain have to grapple with<br />
competitiveness issues in their economies. For these reasons, economists believe that<br />
there will be no immediate and widespread recovery in Europe.<br />
Forecasters expect 1.5% inflation in the euro area in <strong>2011</strong>, while prices in the UK are<br />
predicted to grow by 2.5% in <strong>2011</strong>. The projected unemployment for <strong>2011</strong> in advanced<br />
European countries is 9.3%, indicating that economists have little faith in job creation. In<br />
order to spur Europe’s economies and foster long-term growth, the IMF believes that public<br />
debt needs to decline significantly and EU policy must be reformed to emphasize crisis<br />
management and integrated supervision. The IMF also believes that regulatory reform is<br />
necessary, as it encourages banks to start lending again. It is important to keep in mind,<br />
though, that these proposed solutions will not happen quickly.<br />
Japan<br />
Japan’s economy has seen some bright spots in the global economic recovery. Its exports<br />
have risen as demand picked up in the US and China. Analysts also expect that Japan will<br />
attract investment activity. Yet issues remain, as the yen has appreciated and rendered its<br />
exports more expensive. The government is already unwinding its fiscal stimulus and<br />
Japan’s labor market remains weak. The International Monetary Fund predicts that the<br />
Japanese economy will grow by 2.8% in 2010 and 1.5% in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Asia: China, India, and Emerging Markets<br />
Asia’s GDP growth is expected to vastly outperform its developed Western counterparts;<br />
the IMF forecasts Asia to grow by 7.9% in 2010 and 6.7% in <strong>2011</strong>. The forecast for China’s<br />
growth in <strong>2011</strong> is 9.6%, while India is expected to expand by 8.4%. According to the IMF,<br />
Asian economies have fared well in comparison to other regions thanks to a combination of<br />
Page 35
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
expansionary monetary policy, healthy domestic consumer demand and strong capital<br />
inflows. Inflation expectations for Asian economies have moderated since last year; prices<br />
in advanced markets are projected to rise by 1.2% in <strong>2011</strong> while those in developing<br />
markets are forecast to rise 4.2%. Emerging Asia is not completely exempt from risks to<br />
short-term growth, though; weak demand in developed countries may negatively impact<br />
exports from Asia. Additionally, analysts believe that housing prices in Australia and New<br />
Zealand may drop, leading to a weaker market environment in the two countries. Asian<br />
nations are encouraged by the IMF to implement measures to boost the current economic<br />
recovery while also considering policies to ensure fiscal stability in the long term. Lifting<br />
demand domestically as opposed to relying solely on exports would also help to ensure<br />
longer-term growth in Asia.<br />
Latin America<br />
Similar to Asia, countries in Latin America are recovering from the global economic crisis<br />
better than their more developed counterparts. Analysts expect Latin America to grow at<br />
5.7% in 2010 and 4.0% in <strong>2011</strong>. However, inflation is predicted to reach 6.9% in South<br />
America and 5.5% in the Caribbean in <strong>2011</strong>. Prices are expected to rise 1.2% in North<br />
America and 4.1% in Central America in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
According to analysts, Latin America’s post-recessionary growth was encouraged by<br />
economic stimulus packages, low interest rates and healthy commodities exports.<br />
However, the IMF believes that Latin American nations should address fiscal issues, which<br />
will limit both inflationary and exchange rate risk.<br />
Middle East and North Africa<br />
GDP growth in the region is projected to be 4.1% in 2010 and 5.1% in <strong>2011</strong>. The Middle<br />
East and North Africa (MENA) was helped by rising oil prices and successful economic<br />
stimulus programs. Differences between oil-exporting and oil-importing countries have<br />
diminished thanks to spillover effects from the former’s expansionary policies.<br />
Inflation remains problematic for nations in the Middle East. In <strong>2011</strong>, inflation in Egypt is<br />
expected to reach 10.0%, while that of the Islamic Republic of Iran is expected to hit 8.5%.<br />
Page 36
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
However, many oil-importing countries have started to unravel their stimulus packages as<br />
inflation looms.<br />
MENA countries are encouraged by the IMF to dedicate resources toward long-term<br />
growth. This involves job creation, better education and more robust legal and regulatory<br />
frameworks. By promoting a more stable business environment, MENA can attract greater<br />
foreign direct investment (FDI) from Western Europe and the US, which will bring stability<br />
to the financial sector.<br />
Sub-Saharan Africa<br />
The GDP growth in Sub-Saharan Africa is expected to climb from 5.0% in 2010 to 5.5% in<br />
<strong>2011</strong>. Oil-exporting countries, like Nigeria and Angola, are expected to fare well as oil<br />
prices and demand for oil are projected to rise. However, inflation risks loom large as<br />
projected inflation among oil-exporting nations in the region is 11.3% in 2010 and 9.4% in<br />
<strong>2011</strong>. Sub-Saharan Africa’s current account balance is expected to shrink from -1.1% in<br />
2010 to -1.9% in <strong>2011</strong>. However, employment figures are not promising for countries in this<br />
region; Swaziland’s projected unemployment rate in both 2010 and <strong>2011</strong> is 30.0%, while<br />
that of South Africa is 24.8% in 2010 and 24.4% in <strong>2011</strong>. Economists also speculate that<br />
budget-tightening in Western countries may have an adverse impact on Africa’s economy,<br />
as aid and private financial inflows are diminishing. For countries that are not mired in debt,<br />
the International Monetary Fund recommends that the government invest in education,<br />
health and infrastructure to foster long-term growth.<br />
Fundamental Global Issues and Problems<br />
The global recovery which began in 2009 has had varied effects on different countries.<br />
Many emerging economies are benefiting from rising oil and commodity prices, as well as<br />
well-timed government responses to the financial crisis. Developed countries, on the other<br />
hand, are still suffering from decreased demand and weak labor markets. Yet the IMF<br />
points out that all regions in the world need to be wary of instability in the credit market, as<br />
the sovereign debt crisis that began in Europe has raised prospects for volatility. The<br />
International Monetary Fund predicts that the global economy will expand by 4.8% in 2010<br />
and 4.2% in <strong>2011</strong>. To encourage further global growth, economists believe that domestic<br />
demand in advanced economies needs to be boosted. Additionally, many countries need to<br />
Page 37
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
strike a delicate balance between unwinding their unprecedented fiscal stimulus programs<br />
and encouraging short-term productive growth.<br />
Conclusion<br />
The global economy is still struggling to recover from The Great Recession of 2008 and<br />
2009. Low GDP growth and inflation will remain in the U.S. until mid-<strong>2011</strong>, as consumers<br />
and businesses remain reluctant to spend. In the short run, the prospect of higher interest<br />
rates remains distant, as the Federal Open Market Committee has historically raised rates<br />
only after unemployment has peaked. Although unemployment has declined slightly over<br />
the last year, it is not enough for the Fed to unleash interest rates. As in 2010, a weak<br />
dollar and relatively strong demand in emerging markets remain bright spots for the U.S.<br />
economy in <strong>2011</strong>.<br />
Page 38
<strong>2011</strong><br />
Appendix B
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Steven Barker<br />
Joshua Biddinger<br />
Teresa Black<br />
John Blue<br />
Joseph Boushelle<br />
David Buchholz<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Office of the CIO<br />
Associate<br />
Risk Analyst<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Cash/Securities<br />
Lending Analyst<br />
External Public<br />
Markets<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fund Management<br />
Fund Management<br />
Analyst<br />
11 11<br />
2 6<br />
11 15<br />
18 19<br />
2 8<br />
2 4<br />
United States Marine Corps<br />
Supply Officer<br />
Citigroup/BISYS Fund Services<br />
Supervisor, Fund Accounting<br />
BISYS Fund Services<br />
Supervisor, Financial Services<br />
Huntington Bank<br />
Global Bonds - Sr. Portfolio Manager, Sr. Analyst,<br />
Credit Analyst - Commercial Lending<br />
JPMorgan <strong>Investment</strong> Bank, Prudential Securities/Wachovia Securities,<br />
United States Marine Corps<br />
Associate Vice President, Credit Portfolio Research Associate,<br />
Equity Research Associate, Captain, First Lieutenant<br />
JP Morgan, Western & Southern Financial, Fidelity <strong>Investment</strong>s<br />
Fund Accountant, Registered Representative<br />
Page 40<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BS, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
MBA, Ashland University<br />
BS, Ashland University<br />
AAB, North Central State<br />
College<br />
CFA Level II Candidate<br />
BS, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BS, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
CAIA Charterholder<br />
MBA, Cornell University<br />
BA, University of Chicago<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
BS, Wright State University<br />
CFA Level III Candidate
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Erik Cagnina<br />
Greg Cotterman<br />
Louis Darmstadter<br />
Alan J. Davidson<br />
Pat Edgington<br />
Mark Ehresman<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Private Equity<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Private Equity<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Office of the CEO<br />
Compliance Officer<br />
Office of the CEO<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Reporting<br />
Manager<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
5 16<br />
1 9<br />
4 12<br />
5 47<br />
Huntington National Bank, D3 Multisport, Reed Financial Services,<br />
National City Commerce Finance, NatCity <strong>Investment</strong>s<br />
Vice President/Senior Portfolio Manager-<strong>Investment</strong>s Group, Financial<br />
Analyst, Underwriter, <strong>Investment</strong> Officer/Liability Portfolio Manager-Treasury<br />
Group<br />
Nationwide Insurance, Invesco, BISYS<br />
Analyst, <strong>Investment</strong> Accountant<br />
Teachers' Retirement System of the State of Illinois, U.S. Small<br />
Business Administration, U.S. Naval Reserves<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Officer for Private Equities, Regulatory and Financial Analyst,<br />
Lieutenant<br />
Mellon Bank, National City Corporation<br />
Senior <strong>Investment</strong> and Trust Counsel, Head of Retirement <strong>Plan</strong> Services,<br />
Chief Fiduciary Officer<br />
Armco <strong>Investment</strong> Management, Inc.<br />
11 32 BS, Miami (OH) University<br />
Manager, <strong>Investment</strong> Services Defined Benefit and Defined Contribution<br />
9 9<br />
The Huntington Bancshares Inc.<br />
Commercial Banking Portfolio Manager and Credit Officer<br />
Page 41<br />
MBA, Case Western<br />
Reserve<br />
BS, Miami University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
BS, Franklin University<br />
BM, Capital University<br />
MBA, University of Chicago<br />
MA, University of Chicago<br />
BA, Tulane University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
JD, Harvard Law School<br />
BA, The Pennsylvania<br />
State University<br />
MBA, Case Western<br />
Reserve<br />
BS, Miami (OH) University<br />
CFA Charterholder
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Tony Enderle<br />
Eric France<br />
Dan German<br />
Paul Greff<br />
Christopher Gregson<br />
Xinyang Gu<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Office of the CIO<br />
Risk Manager<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Senior<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fund Management<br />
Quantitative Analyst<br />
9 9<br />
7 25<br />
3 12<br />
1 27<br />
10 10<br />
10 10<br />
Banc One <strong>Investment</strong> Management Group, BISYS Fund Services<br />
Huntington National Bank, Kemper National Insurance Companies<br />
Vice President, Risk Management; Senior Commercial Credit Analyst,<br />
Commercial Credit Underwriter<br />
State Street Global Advisors, Munder Capital Management,<br />
Manufacturers National Bank of Detroit, Standard Federal Bank,<br />
Xytec Corportation, Onmi Systems<br />
Senior Managing Director, Head of U.S. Fixed Income, Sr. Portfolio Manager,<br />
Portfolio Manager, Equity <strong>Investment</strong> Analyst, Senior Systems Analyst,<br />
Founder/Partner, Business Manager<br />
Huntington Bank, First of America Bank Indiana<br />
Commercial Lending Officer<br />
The Ohio Department of Development, <strong>OPERS</strong><br />
Data System Coordinator, LAN Administrator, Internet Security Administrator<br />
Page 42<br />
BS, Bowling Green State<br />
University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
The Ohio Police and Fire Pension Fund, The Ohio Bureau of Workers'<br />
MS, The Ohio State<br />
Compensation, The State Teachers Retirement System of Ohio, U.S. Marine Corps. University<br />
MA, Ohio University<br />
Head of Fixed Income Department, Corporate and MBS Analyst,<br />
BA, Yale University<br />
Assistant Portfolio Manager, 1st Lieutenant<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, University of<br />
Pittsburgh<br />
BS, Allegheny College<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, University of Detroit<br />
BA, Kalamazoo College<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
BS, Indiana University<br />
BA, Indiana University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MS, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BS, Southeast University,<br />
China<br />
Series 63
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Sajjad S. Hussain<br />
Mary Ann Kabbaz<br />
Ryan Khoury<br />
Nick Kotsonis<br />
Prabu Kumaran<br />
Jack Lake<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Office of the CIO<br />
Executive Assistant<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Office of the CIO<br />
Senior Risk Analyst<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
1 13<br />
11 11<br />
1 12<br />
3 6<br />
2 13<br />
3 17<br />
Ocwen Financial Corporation, Terminus Asset Management Company,<br />
SunTrust Capital Markets, Fitch Ratings<br />
Director-Portfolio Manager, Director-Principal Finance and Asset<br />
Securitization, Director-Credit Products Group<br />
Red Roof Inns, MM Group, Inc.<br />
Senior Administrative Assistant, Business/Office Manager<br />
Susquehanna International Group, Hudson Square Research<br />
Software Equity Analyst, Equity Research<br />
Summit <strong>Investment</strong> Partners<br />
Fixed Income Analyst, Index Fund Analyst, Financial Analyst<br />
Lusight Research Inc., Ontario (Canada) Teachers' Pension <strong>Plan</strong>,<br />
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation, Rashid Hussain Securities, Inc<br />
Senior <strong>Investment</strong> Analyst, Assistant Vice-President-Strategy & Change<br />
Management, Senior Research Analyst<br />
Victory Capital Management, KeyCorp Trust Services<br />
Research Analyst, Research Associate, Equity Trader<br />
Page 43<br />
BA, Northwestern<br />
University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
AS, Ohio Dominican<br />
University<br />
BS, University of<br />
Minnesota, Twin Cities<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
BS, Miami (OH) University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, Asian Institute of<br />
Management<br />
B Eng (Mech), Anna<br />
University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, Case Western<br />
Reserve University<br />
BS, Marist College<br />
CFA Charterholder
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Deryck Lampe<br />
John C. Lane<br />
J.G. Lee<br />
Kevin Martin<br />
Jerry May<br />
Vonetta McDonald<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
Senior<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Office of the CIO<br />
CIO<br />
Office of the CIO<br />
Fund Manager<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Cash/Securities<br />
Lending Manager<br />
4 18<br />
1 30<br />
9 14<br />
13 14<br />
7 19<br />
Cheyne Capital, FHS <strong>Investment</strong>s, Stein Roe<br />
Executive Director, Portfolio Manager<br />
Eastman Kodak, Pennsylvania Public School Employees' Retirement System,<br />
Makefield Securities Corporation<br />
Director Pension <strong>Investment</strong>s Worldwide, Chief <strong>Investment</strong> Officer,<br />
President<br />
Mellon Equity Associates, LLP<br />
Head of Quantitative Research, Vice President/Quantitative Analyst<br />
Provident Financial Group, Victory Mortgage Ltd<br />
Corporate Accountant II, Staff Accountant<br />
Bank One, Boatmen's Trust<br />
State Farm Insurance, Columbus Urban League<br />
Analyst 1 1 BBA, Ohio University<br />
Claim Team Manager, Vice President of Operations<br />
Page 44<br />
MBA, University of<br />
Cincinnati<br />
MS, University of<br />
Cincinnati<br />
BS, Purdue University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, LaSalle University<br />
BS, LaSalle University<br />
PhD, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
FRM Charterholder<br />
PRM Charterholder<br />
MBA, University of<br />
Cincinnati<br />
BA, Thomas More College<br />
CPA<br />
Series 63<br />
MBA, Ashland University<br />
BA, Abilene Christian<br />
University<br />
CTP
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Scott Murray<br />
Michael T. Parker<br />
Gerry Peters<br />
DeAnne B. Rau<br />
Chris Rieddle<br />
Christy Ruoff<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fund Management<br />
Sr. Portfolio Manager<br />
External Public<br />
Markets<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Fund Management<br />
Equity Trader<br />
6 20<br />
2 8<br />
1 25<br />
10 16<br />
4 21<br />
Banc One <strong>Investment</strong> Advisors<br />
Sector Manager, Senior Equity Analyst<br />
FBR Capital Markets Corp, Gregory J. Schwartz & Co., Inc.<br />
Assistant Vice-President, <strong>Investment</strong> Consultant<br />
Pennsylvania Public School Employee's Retirement System,<br />
Susquehanna Intl. Group, Bear Stearns<br />
Managing Director and Head of Trading, Senior Trader, Associate - NYFX Floor<br />
Huntington National Bank<br />
Portfolio Manager, Senior Commercial Credit Analyst, Federal Funds Trader<br />
Fifth Third Asset Management, Inc., FirstTrust Indiana, First Chicago,<br />
NBD <strong>Investment</strong> Management Company, Lumbermens Life Insurance<br />
Company, Marathon Oil Company<br />
Vice President and Senior Portfolio Manager, Senior Vice President and<br />
Institutional <strong>Investment</strong> Manager, Vice President and Trust Officer,<br />
Project and Financial Analyst, Financial Analyst, Refined Product Supply<br />
Analyst<br />
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
28 28 Series 63<br />
Equity Research Assistant, Fixed Income Research Assistant,<br />
Fixed Income Statistician, Short-term Trading<br />
Page 45<br />
MBA, Washington<br />
University<br />
BA, University of<br />
Connecticut<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
BS, Wharton, U of PA<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, Drexel University<br />
BS, Lafayette College<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BA, Mt. Holyoke College<br />
CFA Level II Candidate<br />
CAIA Level I Candidate<br />
MBA, Indiana University<br />
BS, Indiana University<br />
CFA Charterholder
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Daniel J. Sarver<br />
Rick Shafer<br />
Matthew Sherman<br />
Samir Sidani<br />
Todd Soots<br />
Joan Stack<br />
External Public<br />
Markets<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
External Management<br />
Deputy CIO<br />
Fund Management<br />
Senior<br />
Equity Trader<br />
Private Equity<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Fixed Income<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fund Management<br />
Trading Manager<br />
26 26<br />
2<br />
5<br />
9<br />
37<br />
16<br />
5 9<br />
12<br />
8 35<br />
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
Domestic Equity Portfolio Manager<br />
Alaska Permanent Fund, New Hampshire Retirement System,<br />
Lincoln National, The Aetna, The Hartford<br />
Chief <strong>Investment</strong> Officer, Sr. <strong>Investment</strong> Officer, Director of <strong>Investment</strong>s,<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
National City <strong>Investment</strong> Management Company, State Teachers<br />
Retirement System of Ohio, BankOne <strong>Investment</strong> Management & Trust<br />
Head Equity Trader, Securities Trader<br />
National City Bank, Sterling Private <strong>Investment</strong>s<br />
Manager Research Analyst<br />
KeyCorp, Ohio Savings Bank<br />
Product Analyst, Secondary Market Analyst<br />
ING Group, Strong Funds, Bankers Trust Company<br />
Senior Vice President and Head of Equity Trading<br />
Page 46<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BS, Marietta College<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
BA, Dartmouth College<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, Otterbein College<br />
BA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
Series 63<br />
BA, University of<br />
Rochester<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
CAIA Charterholder<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BS, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, Fordham University<br />
BA, Mt. Holyoke College
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Stephen Stuckwisch<br />
Bradley E. Sturm<br />
Timothy J. Swingle<br />
Roger Tong<br />
Lewis Tracy<br />
Andrew Urban<br />
Private Real Estate<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
Private Real Estate<br />
Portfolio Manager<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fund Management<br />
Quantitative Analyst<br />
Private Real Estate<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fund Management<br />
Fund Management<br />
Analyst<br />
15 15<br />
17 17<br />
12 12<br />
7 16<br />
10 10<br />
1 5<br />
Chemical Mortgage Company, Don R. Scheidt & Company<br />
REIT Manager, Commercial Servicing/Administrative Officer, Staff Appraiser<br />
Associated General Contractors, 3M Company<br />
Real Estate Acquisitions Manager<br />
U.S. Office of Thrift Supervision, Cummins Krasik & Hohl, CPAs,<br />
Norman Jones Enlow & Company, CPAs<br />
Federal Thrift Regulator, Staff Accountant<br />
Stein Roe, Score Reinsurance Company, Guy Carpenter & Company<br />
Equity Quantitative Analyst, Actuarial Analyst<br />
Texas Tech University<br />
Real Estate Analyst, Equity Analyst, University Professor<br />
Nationwide Financial, Key <strong>Investment</strong> Services<br />
Retirement Specialist, Relationship Manager<br />
Page 47<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BA, Hanover College<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
CAIA Charterholder<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
MA, University of Cincinnati<br />
MAIR, University of<br />
Cincinnati<br />
BA, University of Cincinnati<br />
BSBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
CMT Charterholder<br />
CPA (Inactive)<br />
CMA<br />
MBA, The College of<br />
Insurance<br />
MS, New Jersey Institute<br />
of Technology<br />
PhD, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BA, University of California<br />
at Berkeley<br />
CAIA Charterholder<br />
BBA, Ohio University<br />
CFA Level II Candidate
Ohio Public Employees Retirement System<br />
<strong>2011</strong> Annual <strong>Investment</strong> <strong>Plan</strong><br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Experience<br />
Education/<br />
Name Title <strong>OPERS</strong> Total Prior Employers/Positions Designations<br />
Kimberly Van Gundy<br />
Xiaoling Wang<br />
Erick Weis<br />
Joyce Williams<br />
Brian H. Wright<br />
JoAnn Yocum<br />
External Management<br />
<strong>Investment</strong><br />
Administration<br />
Analyst<br />
U.S. Equity<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fund Management<br />
Fund Manager<br />
External Management<br />
Portfolio Assistant<br />
External Public<br />
Markets<br />
Senior<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Analyst<br />
Fixed Income<br />
<strong>Investment</strong> Assistant<br />
9 9<br />
1 11<br />
16 17<br />
1 3<br />
1 10<br />
Holdridge Mechanical<br />
Sr. Financial Projects Analyst, Accountant<br />
Citigroup Inc., PriceWaterhouseCoopers Financial / <strong>Investment</strong> Advisory<br />
Services<br />
Financial Consultant, Lead Analyst<br />
Prudential Securities<br />
Portfolio Manager, Senior Equity Analyst, Equity Sales<br />
Levinson Jewelers, Diehl-Whittaker, Inc.<br />
Accounts Receivable Specialist, Bookkeeper<br />
Ashland, Inc., Alliance Data Systems<br />
Manager, Pension Trust <strong>Investment</strong>s, Senior Auditor<br />
Merck, Principal Financial<br />
11 25 AS, Bliss Business College<br />
Research Analyst<br />
Page 48<br />
MBA, Franklin University<br />
BS, University of Dayton<br />
MS, Columbia University<br />
M Phil, The Chinese<br />
University of Hong Kong<br />
BA, Southwestern<br />
University of Finance and<br />
Economics<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
MBA, The Ohio State<br />
University<br />
BBA, University of Toledo<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
BS, Franklin University<br />
BSBA, Auburn University<br />
CFA Charterholder<br />
CPA
277 East Town Street Columbus, Ohio 43215-4642<br />
www.opers.org 800-222-7377